Juventude vs Athletic Club Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 28
Juventude
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Athletic Club
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul·S. Sampaio 13/09/2026
JuventudeJuventude
0-2
Finished
Athletic ClubAthletic Club

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
Juventude Rest
4 days
Athletic Club Rest
4 days

Juventude vs Athletic Club: the result in context

Athletic Club beat Juventude 2-0 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Juventude had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Athletic Club.

Referee S. Sampaio averages 4.52 cards a game, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.67
X
24%3.34
2
10%5.55
Double Chance
1X
90%1.13
X2
34%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.22
No
52%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 0.74 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.44
Over 2.5
52%2.36
Over 3.5
29%4.50
Under 1.5
25%2.61
Under 2.5
48%1.56
Under 3.5
71%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.34
Over 9.5
54%1.61
Over 10.5
41%1.97
Under 8.5
37%2.85
Under 9.5
46%2.15
Under 10.5
59%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.5 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
39%1.90
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
61%1.83

Match Events

6'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaFoul
15'Carlos Moisés de Lima INWilinton Aponza Carabali out
45'Dixon Vera INKauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes out
57'Marcos Paulo INFabio lima out
57'Safira INAlan Kardec out
62'Maswel Ananias Silva INOtavio Bruno Dos Santos out
65'Wilinton Aponza CarabaliFoul
67'Penalty confirmedMarcelo Henrique Laborão dos Santos
70'Wilinton Aponza Carabali(Penalty)
72'Luan Martins·GoncalvesFoul
73'Mandaca INLucas Alves out
73'Raí da Silva Pessanha INGabriel Pires out
76'Fabio limaFoul
81'Luan Martins·Goncalves INPablo Roberto Dos Santos Barbosa out
81'Aderlan INJuan out
87'Felipe Negrucci Berdague INJhan Pool Torres Cañete out
89'Wilinton Aponza Carabali INJoao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes out
90'João MiguelFoul
90+7'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesAssist: Otavio Bruno Dos Santos

Lineups

Juventude
3-4-3Coach: Maurício Barbieri
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: Alex
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating7.05
Jandrei6.093Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam7.034R. Sam
Gabriel Pinheiro6.797G. Pinheiro
Marcos Paulo6.847M. Paulo
Aderlan6.813Aderlan
Luan Gonçalves6.55L. Gonçalves
Mandaca6.544Mandaca
Diogo Barbosa7.216D. Barbosa
Raí6.575Raí
Alisson Safira6.225A. Safira
Marcos Paulo6.210M. Paulo
Luan Polli8.71L. Polli
Diogo Batista7.322D. Batista
Jhonatan7.13Jhonatan
Lucas Belezi7.44L. Belezi
Marcelo Henrique6.56M. Henrique
Felipe Negrucci6.45F. Negrucci
João Miguel7.116J. Miguel
Max6.411Max
Kauan6.617Kauan
D. Vera6.721D. Vera
Carlinhos6.59Carlinhos

Juventude Substitutes

28Alan Ruschel
12Pedro Rocha
70Juan Christian81'for Aderlan6.3
6Wadson
29Gabriel Pires73'for Raí da Silva Pessanha6.4
18L. Amarilla
11Fábio Lima57'for Marcos Paulo76'6.9
9Alan Kardec57'for Safira6.6
8Lucas Mineiro
2Raí Ramos
7Pablo Roberto81'for Luan Martins·Goncalves5.8
72Lucas Alves73'for Mandaca6.6

Athletic Club Substitutes

20W. Aponza15'for Carlos Moisés de Lima65'70'89'for Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes7.8
23Yarlen
15Jota89'replaced by Wilinton Aponza Carabali6.8
8G. Cabezas
10Kauan Lindes45'for Dixon Vera90+7'7.8
12Tony
13Philipe Sampaio
14Yago Santos
19J. Torres87'for Felipe Negrucci Berdague7.0
2Douglas Pelé
18Assis
7Bruninho62'for Maswel Ananias Silva6.6

Match Stats

JuventudeAthletic Club
65%Ball Possession35%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots3
18Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
567Total Passes314
495Passes Accurate245
12Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1696Elo Rating 1559
2.02Attack 0.70
2.00Defense 1.73
50%Hit Rate 0%
15.1Shots per Game 15.2
4.6Shots on Target 3.5
5.2Corners per Game 6.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+137 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B17/05/2026
Athletic ClubJuventude
11

Recent Form

JuventudeJuventude
5W4D1L
09/09/2026
CriciumaJuventude
02
W05/09/2026
JuventudeAtletico Goianiense
22
D
02/09/2026
LondrinaJuventude
00
D
26/08/2026
JuventudeCRB
21
W19/08/2026
GoiasJuventude
01
W15/08/2026
JuventudeFortaleza EC
00
D09/08/2026
NovorizontinoJuventude
01
W
05/08/2026
JuventudeAtletico-MG
01
L
02/08/2026
Atletico-MGJuventude
00
D29/07/2026
JuventudeAvai
10
W
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4W2D4L
09/09/2026
CuiabaAthletic Club
30
L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
W
29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
21
L
25/08/2026
Athletic ClubNovorizontino
14
L
21/08/2026
Athletic ClubCRB
02
L
16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
W09/08/2026
Athletic ClubCriciuma
20
W
29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
11
D
24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
21
W
18/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseAthletic Club
00
D

Referee Profile

S. Sampaio168 matches

4.52Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Sampaio4.52
Other referees5.18

4.52 cards a match, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Juventude vs Athletic Club forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and Athletic Club in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Juventude are 2nd and Athletic Club 14th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventude 45-23, Athletic Club 40-40. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude and Athletic Club have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.