Novorizontino vs Cuiaba Prediction

Serie B

Brazil · Regular Season - 28

Novorizontino

1-1

Finished

HT 1-1

Cuiaba

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·B. Machado 13/09/2026

Novorizontino

1-1

Finished

Cuiaba

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

3.6 / 10

Value Analysis

65%Trust

Away Corners

Away Corners Under 4.5

1.63

SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%

Novorizontino Rest

3 days

Cuiaba Rest

4 days

Novorizontino vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Novorizontino and Cuiaba drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. Novorizontino had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Cuiaba.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Referee B. Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result

56%1.69

31%3.42

13%5.38

Double Chance

87%1.15

44%2.10

Both Teams to Score

Yes

56%2.15

44%1.64

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.86 = 2.52

Over 1.5

75%1.40

Over 2.5

53%2.27

Over 3.5

29%4.20

Under 1.5

25%2.75

Under 2.5

47%1.60

Under 3.5

71%1.20

Corners

Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.7 = 9.8

Over 8.5

63%1.32

Over 9.5

54%1.61

Over 10.5

41%2.01

Under 8.5

37%2.88

Under 9.5

46%2.16

Under 10.5

59%1.73

Cards

Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7

Over 3.5

50%-

Over 4.5

31%1.78

Under 3.5

50%-

Under 4.5

69%1.95

Match Events

20'Vitor MendesAssist: Igor

36'Raul Lô GonçalvesDissent

37'Romulo Azevedo Simão(Penalty)

57'Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo INEliel Chrystian out

57'David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo INLuiz Otavio out

60'Diego Galo INMatheus Henrique Bianqui out

60'Leonardo Naldi de Matos INJuninho out

69'Jean Dias da Costa INRamon de Araujo Silva Moutinho out

75'Luis Henrique Fonseca Soares INWesley Dias Claudino out

75'Fabio Gomes INVinicius Peixoto out

79'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INRonald Barcellos Arantes out

88'Luiz OtavioFoul

90'Robson INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out

90'Romulo Azevedo Simão INLuiz Otavio Maria out

90+3'João BassoFoul

Lineups

Novorizontino

4-2-3-1Coach: Enderson Moreira

Cuiaba

3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros

Avg rating6.61

Avg rating6.37

6.593Jordi

6.92Madson

7.026G. Bahia

7.34Patrick

6.766Maykon

6.66L. Oyama

6.118L. Naldi

6.441Reidiney

6.610Romulo

7.119D. Galo

6.811Robson

7.01J. Carlos

6.113J. Basso

6.491Luisão

6.94V. Mendes

6.32I. Inocêncio

6.130Raul

6.420D. Miguel

6.536Lorenzo

5.941Kauan

6.677J. Dias

5.890F. Gomes

Novorizontino Substitutes

3Carlinhos

50Juninho60'for Leonardo Naldi de Matos6.3

31César

9Carlão90'for Robson

17Matheus Bianqui60'for Diego Galo6.0

7Ronald Barcellos79'for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes6.5

5Sander

24J. Lora

15Tavinho90'for Romulo Azevedo Simão

27Diego Mathias

28Marlon

14Eduardo Brock

Cuiaba Substitutes

50Pedro Felipetto Colen Barcellos

22Pedro Carminatti Jacomin

12Busatto

26João Vitor

97Luiz Otávio57'for David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo88'6.2

14Eric

70Wesley Dias75'for Luis Henrique Fonseca Soares6.4

29Vinicius Peixoto75'for Fabio Gomes6.5

11Eliel57'for Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo6.0

27Rodrigo Farofa

53Weverson

7Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho69'replaced by Jean Dias da Costa

Match Stats

NovorizontinoCuiaba

62%Ball Possession38%

10Corner Kicks7

0Yellow Cards3

25Total Shots9

6Shots on Goal2

11Shots off Goal5

12Shots Inside Box7

13Shots Outside Box2

8Blocked Shots2

6Fouls19

1Offsides0

1Goalkeeper Saves5

497Total Passes296

395Passes Accurate186

18Free Kicks6

Novorizontino

Cuiaba

1740Elo Rating 1612

2.46Attack 0.33

2.35Defense 2.08

77%Hit Rate 17%

16.0Shots per Game 18.0

6.6Shots on Target 5.0

4.5Corners per Game 8.1

2.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Novorizontino

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Cuiaba

Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Novorizontino2Wins · 67%

Draws133%

Cuiaba

0Wins · 0%

1.3Avg Goals

0%Both teams scored0 of 3

33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

17/05/2026

Cuiaba

Novorizontino

09/10/2025

Cuiaba

Novorizontino

15/06/2025

Novorizontino

Cuiaba

Recent Form

10/09/2026

Botafogo SP

Novorizontino

05/09/2026

Novorizontino

Avai

26/07/2026

Londrina

Novorizontino

05/09/2026

Criciuma

Cuiaba

29/08/2026

Botafogo SP

Cuiaba

Referee Profile

B. Machado211 matches

6.06Cards per match

5.77Yellow cards per match

0.29Red cards per match

27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Machado6.06

Other referees5.14

6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Novorizontino	35	18	10	7	62:30	+32	64	WDWWW
2	Juventude	35	18	10	7	45:23	+22	64	WDDWW
3	Vila Nova	35	18	8	9	50:36	+14	62	LDWDW
4	Fortaleza EC	35	16	13	6	43:31	+12	61	DWDWD
5	Criciuma	35	17	8	10	36:30	+6	59	LWWLW
6	CRB	35	16	7	12	53:49	+4	55	WLDWL
7	Sport Recife	35	14	12	9	47:38	+9	54	WLDWW
8	Atletico Goianiense	35	14	12	9	42:33	+9	54	LDDLW
9	Goias	35	15	7	13	36:40	-4	52	WDWWL
10	Operario-PR	35	14	9	12	45:46	-1	51	WLLLL
11	São Bernardo	35	13	10	12	49:39	+10	49	WLDLW
12	Botafogo SP	35	13	8	14	40:38	+2	47	WWWWL
13	Cuiaba	35	11	14	10	32:28	+4	47	LLLDW
14	Athletic Club	35	10	14	11	40:40	0	44	LDDLL
15	Nautico Recife	35	11	10	14	39:46	-7	43	LDLLD
16	Ceara	35	11	10	14	37:44	-7	43	LDLWW
17	Avai	35	10	7	18	33:45	-12	37	LDWWL
18	Londrina	35	8	8	19	44:51	-7	32	LWDLL
19	America Mineiro	35	6	5	24	23:54	-31	23	WWLLL
20	Ponte Preta	35	3	6	26	21:76	-55	15	DDLLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	62:30	64
2	Juventude	35	45:23	64
3	Vila Nova	35	50:36	62
4	Fortaleza EC	35	43:31	61
5	Criciuma	35	36:30	59
6	CRB	35	53:49	55
7	Sport Recife	35	47:38	54
8	Atletico Goianiense	35	42:33	54
9	Goias	35	36:40	52
10	Operario-PR	35	45:46	51
11	São Bernardo	35	49:39	49
12	Botafogo SP	35	40:38	47
13	Cuiaba	35	32:28	47
14	Athletic Club	35	40:40	44
15	Nautico Recife	35	39:46	43
16	Ceara	35	37:44	43
17	Avai	35	33:45	37
18	Londrina	35	44:51	32
19	America Mineiro	35	23:54	23
20	Ponte Preta	35	21:76	15

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About the Novorizontino vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Cuiaba 13th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 62-30, Cuiaba 32-28. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Novorizontino vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Match Forecasts

Match Events