Novorizontino vs Sport Recife Prediction

Novorizontino
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Novorizontino Rest
4 days
Sport Recife Rest
4 days

Novorizontino vs Sport Recife: the result in context

Novorizontino beat Sport Recife 2-1 in the Serie B on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.62
X
32%3.60
2
18%5.50
Double Chance
1X
82%1.14
X2
50%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.00
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 0.77 = 2.25
Over 1.5
66%1.31
Over 2.5
39%2.01
Over 3.5
20%3.42
Under 1.5
34%3.17
Under 2.5
61%1.76
Under 3.5
80%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 4 = 10.8
Over 8.5
69%1.22
Over 9.5
57%1.44
Over 10.5
46%1.73
Under 8.5
31%3.52
Under 9.5
43%2.54
Under 10.5
54%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
43%1.43
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
57%2.55

Match Events

41'RomuloAssist: Luis Oyama
46'Clayson INDudu out
61'Nicolas Careca INDiego Galo out
61'Ze Gabriel INBiel Fonseca out
61'Claudinho INAugusto out
74'Reidiney INJuninho out
75'Leo Naldi INMatheus Bianqui out
75'Diego Hernandez INMarlon Douglas out
77'Matheus BianquiAssist: Diego Galo
85'Kayky AlmeidaFoul
88'Romulo INCarlao out
88'Willian Oliveira INZe Roberto out
88'Robson INMarlon out
90+1'Pedro Perotti
90+6'JuninhoFoul
90+7'AugustoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Moreira Enderson
Sport Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Pozzo Gilmar
Avg rating7.05
Avg rating6.64
Jordi6.993Jordi
Madson7.02Madson
Gabriel Bahia6.326G. Bahia
Patrick6.94Patrick
Maykon Jesus6.966M. Jesus
Luís Oyama7.56L. Oyama
Leo Naldi6.518L. Naldi
Reidiney7.941Reidiney
Rômulo7.610Rômulo
Nicolas Careca7.230N. Careca
RobsonC6.711Robson
Thiago Couto7.026T. Couto
Claudinho6.327Claudinho
Marcelo Ajul6.93M. Ajul
Kayky Almeida7.033K. Almeida
Edson Lucas6.296E. Lucas
Zé GabrielC7.023Z. Gabriel
Willian Oliveira7.029W. Oliveira
Diego Hernández6.720D. Hernández
Juan Alano6.78J. Alano
Clayson6.225Clayson
Perotti6.59Perotti

Novorizontino Substitutes

19Diego Galo61'for Nicolas Careca6.9
50Juninho74'for Reidiney90+6'
17Matheus Bianqui75'for Leo Naldi77'7.3
31César
24Jhilmar Lora
14Eduardo Brock
3Carlinhos
28Marlon88'for Robson
27Diego Mathias
15Tavinho
7Ronald Barcellos
9Carlão88'for Romulo

Sport Recife Substitutes

77Dudu46'for Clayson6.6
68Augusto Pucci61'for Claudinho90+7'6.3
6Biel Fonseca61'for Ze Gabriel6.5
31Marlon75'for Diego Hernandez
21Brenno
28Habraão
5Marcelo Benevenuto
15Murilo Rhikman
48Pedro Martins
10Carlos De Pena
99Zé Roberto88'for Willian Oliveira

Match Stats

NovorizontinoSport Recife
41%Ball Possession59%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots13
9Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots6
14Fouls8
2Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves7
345Total Passes522
260Passes Accurate433
75%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1740Elo Rating 1598
2.46Attack 1.35
2.35Defense 1.77
77%Hit Rate 58%
16.0Shots per Game 15.4
6.6Shots on Target 4.9
4.5Corners per Game 4.8
2.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+142 Elo
📈BTTS Trend29% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
Sport RecifeSport Recife4Wins · 57%
1.4Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B26/04/2026
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
10
Serie B11/10/2024
NovorizontinoSport Recife
13
Serie B26/06/2024
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
12
Serie B05/08/2023
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
10
Serie B30/04/2023
NovorizontinoSport Recife
00
Serie B31/08/2022
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
10
Serie B18/05/2022
NovorizontinoSport Recife
00

Referee Profile

Maguielson Lima Barbosa90 matches

5.74Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Maguielson Lima Barbosa5.74
Other referees5.31

5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina36882045:54-932LLWDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3645:5432
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Novorizontino vs Sport Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Sport Recife 7th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 64-31, Sport Recife 48-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.