Novorizontino vs America Mineiro Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 23
Novorizontino
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil 21/08/2026
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
3-0
Finished
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+2.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+11.4%
Novorizontino Rest
4 days
America Mineiro Rest
4 days

Novorizontino vs America Mineiro: the result in context

Novorizontino beat America Mineiro 3-0 in the Serie B on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Referee Braulio Da Silva Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.57
X
18%3.72
2
12%6.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.11
X2
30%2.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.10
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 0.77 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
49%2.08
Over 3.5
28%3.75
Under 1.5
30%3.10
Under 2.5
51%1.71
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.35
Over 9.5
51%1.60
Over 10.5
42%2.00
Under 8.5
37%3.00
Under 9.5
49%2.25
Under 10.5
58%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
57%1.29
Over 4.5
35%1.66
Under 3.5
43%3.00
Under 4.5
65%2.10

Match Events

17'Paulo VictorFoul
19'MadsonFoul
23'PatrickAssist: Diego Mathias
33'ManoelFoul
39'Romulo(Penalty missed)
46'Manoel INJorge Jimenez out
46'Gonzalo Mastriani INGuilherme Parede out
66'Yago Souza INR. Pineiro out
67'Reidiney INJuninho out
67'Diego Mathias INVinicius Paiva out
71'PatrickFoul
77'Willian Bigode INF. Elizari out
81'Robson
82'Robson INNicolas Careca out
82'Romulo INCarlao out
84'Gustavo Barreto INFelipe Amaral out
86'Nicolas CarecaUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Leo Naldi INMarlon out
90'CarlaoAssist: Luis Oyama

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Moreira Enderson
America Mineiro
3-4-1-2Coach: Louzer Umberto
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.61
Jordi6.993Jordi
Madson6.92Madson
Gabriel Bahia7.226G. Bahia
Patrick7.94Patrick
Sander7.35Sander
Luis Oyama7.96L. Oyama
Leo Naldi6.218L. Naldi
Reidiney7.241Reidiney
Romulo7.010Romulo
Diego Mathias7.627D. Mathias
RobsonC8.211Robson
Bruno Brigido7.991B. Brigido
Ricardo SilvaC7.045R. Silva
Manoel6.526Manoel
L. Sosa6.03L. Sosa
Alex Silva6.515A. Silva
Gustavo Barreto6.788G. Barreto
Yago Souza6.310Y. Souza
T. Ostchega6.625T. Ostchega
Paulo Victor6.320P. Victor
Gonzalo Mastriani6.717G. Mastriani
Willian Bigode6.99W. Bigode

Novorizontino Substitutes

31Cesar Augusto
66Maykon Jesus
14Eduardo Brock
3Carlinhos
17Matheus Bianqui
19Diego Galo
28Marlon89'for Leo Naldi
50Juninho67'for Reidiney6.7
30Nicolas Careca82'for Robson86'6.7
16Vinicius Paiva67'for Diego Mathias6.9
9Carlao82'for Romulo90'7.6
35Hector Bianchi

America Mineiro Substitutes

1Gustavo
19William
29Dalbert
31Fabio
4Rafa Barcelos
5F. Elizari77'for Willian Bigode6.2
93Jorge Jimenez46'for Manoel6.3
8Felipe Amaral84'for Gustavo Barreto6.2
7Guilherme Parede46'for Gonzalo Mastriani7.2
14R. Pineiro66'for Yago Souza6.5
99Marcelo Macola

Match Stats

NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
50%Ball Possession50%
13Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal5
17Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots0
15Fouls12
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
412Total Passes423
348Passes Accurate353
84%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1740Elo Rating 1466
2.46Attack 0.50
2.35Defense 2.36
77%Hit Rate 50%
16.0Shots per Game 10.9
6.6Shots on Target 2.9
4.5Corners per Game 4.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+273 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro1Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B12/04/2026
America MineiroNovorizontino
03
Serie B03/11/2025
America MineiroNovorizontino
22
Serie B12/07/2025
NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
31
Serie B17/08/2024
NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
11
Serie B27/04/2024
America MineiroNovorizontino
20

Recent Form

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
4W2D4L
16/08/2026
CRBNovorizontino
00
D09/08/2026
NovorizontinoJuventude
01
L
26/07/2026
LondrinaNovorizontino
14
W
22/07/2026
NovorizontinoCriciuma
01
L18/07/2026
Fortaleza ECNovorizontino
10
L12/07/2026
Operario-PRNovorizontino
21
L
04/07/2026
NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense
30
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
W23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
W15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
2W2D6L
16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
L08/08/2026
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro
21
L26/07/2026
America MineiroGoias
10
W22/07/2026
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
21
L18/07/2026
America MineiroCeara
11
D14/07/2026
America MineiroLondrina
11
D03/07/2026
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
10
L27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
L24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
L17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
W

Referee Profile

Braulio Da Silva Machado211 matches

6.06Cards per match
5.77Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Braulio Da Silva Machado6.06
Other referees5.14

6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina36882045:54-932LLWDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3645:5432
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Novorizontino vs America Mineiro forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and America Mineiro in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Novorizontino are 1st in the Serie B, while America Mineiro sit 19th, 41 points behind. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 64-31, America Mineiro 26-55. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.