America Mineiro vs Goias Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 20
America Mineiro
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Goias
Arena Independência, Belo Horizonte·Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil 26/07/2026
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1-0
Finished
GoiasGoias

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalHIGHModel33%SurpriseHighGap+12.4%
America Mineiro Rest
4 days
Goias Rest
3 days

America Mineiro vs Goias: the result in context

America Mineiro beat Goias 1-0 in the Serie B on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Goias had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for America Mineiro.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Braulio Da Silva Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.90
X
36%2.90
2
27%2.63
Double Chance
1X
73%1.45
X2
63%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.14
No
48%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 0.89 = 2.10
Over 1.5
67%1.53
Over 2.5
38%2.67
Over 3.5
13%5.15
Under 1.5
33%2.37
Under 2.5
62%1.45
Under 3.5
87%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.42
Over 9.5
47%1.67
Over 10.5
36%2.04
Under 8.5
42%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.05
Under 10.5
64%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.5
62%1.37
Over 4.5
43%1.80
Under 3.5
38%2.70
Under 4.5
57%1.91

Match Events

45+7'Lucas Lima(Penalty missed)
46'Gabriel Barros INGonzalo Mastriani out
46'F. ElizariFoul
60'F. Elizari INT. Ostchega out
61'Paulo VictorAssist: Gonzalo Mastriani
67'Paulo Victor ING. Italo out
70'Jean Carlos INGege out
70'Lucas Lima INAnselmo Ramon out
75'Rodrigo Soares INDjalma Silva out
76'Juninho INE. Garcia out
80'Guilherme Parede INFilipe Dahora out
80'Felipe Amaral INJorge Jimenez out
81'GustavoUnsportsmanlike conduct
81'Filipe MachadoFoul
86'Lourenco INBrayann out

Lineups

America Mineiro
4-1-4-1Coach: Louzer Umberto
Goias
4-2-3-1Coach: Mozart
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.56
Gustavo9.01Gustavo
Alex Silva7.315A. Silva
ManoelC6.726Manoel
Luca Sosa7.03L. Sosa
Dalbert6.329Dalbert
Felipe Amaral6.68F. Amaral
Gabriel Barros6.211G. Barros
Yago Souza6.910Y. Souza
Fernando Elizari6.55F. Elizari
Guilherme Parede6.67G. Parede
Paulo Victor7.220P. Victor
Thiago Rodrigues6.21T. Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares6.52R. Soares
Ramon Menezes6.64R. Menezes
Lucas Ribeiro6.914L. Ribeiro
Nicolas6.66Nicolas
Filipe Machado6.65F. Machado
Lourenço7.397Lourenço
JuninhoC7.38Juninho
Lucas Lima6.210L. Lima
Jean Carlos6.921J. Carlos
Cadu6.318Cadu

America Mineiro Substitutes

91Bruno Brígido
4Rafael Barcelos
25Tobías Ostchega60'for F. Elizari6.3
30Luidy
32Filipe Pereira Dahora6.3
61Gabriel Oliveira
13Heitor
38Murilo Rodrigues Povoa
93Jorge Roa Jiménez80'for Felipe Amaral6.7
37Júlio
39Italo Charbaje67'for Paulo Victor6.7
17Gonzalo Mastriani46'for Gabriel Barros6.9

Goias Substitutes

12Ezequiel Oliveira
25Luis Fellipe
29Murilo Camara
55Guilherme Baldória
88Brayann86'for Lourenco6.5
15Esli García76'for Juninho6.3
28Gegê70'replaced by Jean Carlos6.3
54Djalma75'for Rodrigo Soares6.3
9Anselmo Ramon70'for Lucas Lima6.2

Match Stats

America MineiroGoias
34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots19
2Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal9
1Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots3
11Fouls10
0Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves2
320Total Passes620
254Passes Accurate557
79%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
GoiasGoias
1451Elo Rating 1622
0.27Attack 0.85
2.10Defense 2.17
27%Hit Rate 42%
12.7Shots per Game 18.0
3.3Shots on Target 4.8
5.0Corners per Game 5.9
3.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)
GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 22%
Draws222%
GoiasGoias5Wins · 56%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie B22/03/2026
GoiasAmerica Mineiro
31
Serie B23/08/2025
GoiasAmerica Mineiro
10
Serie B21/04/2025
America MineiroGoias
10
Serie B18/10/2024
America MineiroGoias
22
Serie B02/07/2024
GoiasAmerica Mineiro
21
Serie A06/12/2023
GoiasAmerica Mineiro
10
Serie A13/08/2023
America MineiroGoias
01
Serie A27/10/2022
GoiasAmerica Mineiro
22
Serie A03/07/2022
America MineiroGoias
10

Recent Form

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1W2D7L
22/07/2026
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
21
L18/07/2026
America MineiroCeara
11
D14/07/2026
America MineiroLondrina
11
D03/07/2026
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
10
L27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
L24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
L17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
W
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
L
30/05/2026
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
30
L
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
L
GoiasGoias
4W4D2L
23/07/2026
GoiasSport Recife
11
D18/07/2026
Ponte PretaGoias
12
W13/07/2026
CRBGoias
22
D05/07/2026
GoiasCeara
20
W28/06/2026
Nautico RecifeGoias
01
W21/06/2026
GoiasOperario-PR
03
L14/06/2026
Athletic ClubGoias
11
D11/06/2026
GoiasNovorizontino
04
L
30/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseGoias
11
D
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
W

Referee Profile

Braulio Da Silva Machado211 matches

6.06Cards per match
5.77Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Braulio Da Silva Machado6.06
Other referees5.14

6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the America Mineiro vs Goias forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

America Mineiro and Goias in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Goias are 9th and America Mineiro 19th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: America Mineiro 23-54, Goias 36-40. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.