Cuiaba vs America Mineiro Prediction

Cuiaba
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
Arena Pantanal·F. Rodrigues 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Cuiaba Rest
6 days
America Mineiro Rest
5 days

Cuiaba vs America Mineiro: result, form and history

Cuiaba beat America Mineiro 1-0 in the Serie B on 3 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cuiaba had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for America Mineiro.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Cuiaba tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 5.0 for America Mineiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.83
X
22%3.20
2
19%4.70
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
41%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.15
No
48%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.81 = 2.62
Over 1.5
73%1.46
Over 2.5
49%2.45
Over 3.5
28%4.78
Under 1.5
27%2.58
Under 2.5
51%1.52
Under 3.5
72%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.46
Over 9.5
50%1.83
Over 10.5
37%2.18
Under 8.5
39%2.48
Under 9.5
50%1.86
Under 10.5
63%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
58%1.65
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
42%2.15

Match Events

46'Vitor Mendes INRodrigo Rodrigues out
46'Dalbert INL. Montes out
60'Felipe AmaralFoul
61'Weverson INMarcos Junior out
61'Marlon INEric Melo out
66'Felipe Amaral INJorge Jimenez out
74'Vinicius Peixoto INAiyran out
79'Pepe INDavid Miguel out
82'Willian Bigode INGonzalo Mastriani out
82'Yago Souza INEverton Brito out
89'Eric MeloFoul
90'Aiyran
90+5'Eduardo Person INPaulo Victor out
90+8'Umberto LouzerUnsportsmanlike conduct

Match Stats

CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots0
10Fouls12
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
460Total Passes381
393Passes Accurate317
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CuiabaCuiaba
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1612Elo Rating 1451
0.33Attack 0.27
2.08Defense 2.10
17%Hit Rate 27%
18.0Shots per Game 12.7
5.0Shots on Target 3.3
8.1Corners per Game 5.0
1.8Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CuiabaCuiaba
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CuiabaCuiaba3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 25%
2.6Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie B16/11/2025
America MineiroCuiaba
11
Serie B24/07/2025
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
31
Serie A16/09/2023
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
22
Serie A07/05/2023
America MineiroCuiaba
12
Serie A29/09/2022
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
21
Serie A04/06/2022
America MineiroCuiaba
21
Serie A02/10/2021
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
02
Serie A17/06/2021
America MineiroCuiaba
00

Recent Form

CuiabaCuiaba
3W5D2L
26/06/2026
CuiabaLondrina
22
D
21/06/2026
AvaiCuiaba
10
L
14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
W
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
W
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
W
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1W1D8L
27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
L
24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
L
17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
W
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
L
30/05/2026
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
30
L
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
L
16/05/2026
São BernardoAmerica Mineiro
11
D
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
L
04/05/2026
America MineiroCRB
12
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
L

Referee Profile

F. Rodrigues11 matches analysed

4.41Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 46% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Cuiaba vs America Mineiro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cuiaba and America Mineiro in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cuiaba are 13th and America Mineiro 19th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Cuiaba 32-28, America Mineiro 23-54. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.