Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 16
Fortaleza EC
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
F. Fernandes de Lima 03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
2-0
Finished
Ponte PretaPonte Preta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
Ponte Preta Rest
4 days

Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta: the result in context

Fortaleza EC beat Ponte Preta 2-0 in the Serie B on 3 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Fortaleza EC had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Referee F. Fernandes de Lima averages 5.66 cards a game, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.30
X
19%5.00
2
14%9.70
Double Chance
1X
86%1.05
X2
33%3.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.14
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.79 = 2.38
Over 1.5
70%1.22
Over 2.5
49%1.75
Over 3.5
25%2.80
Under 1.5
30%3.95
Under 2.5
51%2.05
Under 3.5
75%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.63
Over 10.5
34%2.01
Under 8.5
42%2.83
Under 9.5
54%2.13
Under 10.5
66%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
49%1.91

Match Events

43'Luiz FernandoUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'S. PalaciosUnsportsmanlike conduct
45'BaianinhoFoul
46'Baianinho INDiego Tavares out
54'PierreFoul
60'J. B. MiritelloAssist: Luiz Fernando
63'Pierre INLucas Sasha out
64'Mauricio Junior INLucca Prior out
64'Diego Porfirio INDavid da Hora out
66'Lucas GazalFoul
76'Kevyson INJuan Rodrigues out
78'Welliton INPaulo Baya out
79'Rodriguinho INMailton out
82'Brandao INRodriguinho out
83'Marcio Silva INJonathan Cafu out
84'MailtonAssist: Lucas Sasha
85'Rodrigo INRyan out
89'Diego TavaresFoul
90+4'Lucca PriorFoul

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1713Elo Rating 1334
1.64Attack 0.50
2.09Defense 0.58
46%Hit Rate 0%
11.5Shots per Game 8.6
3.5Shots on Target 3.5
5.0Corners per Game 2.0
2.1Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+379 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
4W1D5L
28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
W21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W
23/05/2026
Fortaleza ECLondrina
30
W
21/05/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
12
L
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1W1D8L
28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
L23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
L
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
W

Referee Profile

F. Fernandes de Lima184 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
31.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Fernandes de Lima5.66
Other referees5.13

5.66 cards a match, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortaleza EC and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Fortaleza EC are 4th in the Serie B, while Ponte Preta sit 20th, 46 points behind. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 43-31, Ponte Preta 21-76. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Ponte Preta have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.