Goias vs Sport Recife Prediction

Goias
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
Estádio da Serrinha, Goiânia·Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Goias Rest
4 days
Sport Recife Rest
4 days

Goias vs Sport Recife: result, form and history

Goias and Sport Recife drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 23 Jul 2026. Goias had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.11
X
26%3.20
2
23%3.50
Double Chance
1X
78%1.29
X2
49%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.88
No
50%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 0.79 = 2.17
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
40%2.17
Over 3.5
15%3.84
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
60%1.65
Under 3.5
85%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.34
Over 9.5
52%1.63
Over 10.5
39%2.00
Under 8.5
38%2.87
Under 9.5
48%2.15
Under 10.5
61%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.3 = 5
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
51%1.49
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
49%2.40

Match Events

22'Pedro PerottiAssist: Biel Fonseca
31'KaduFoul
46'Juninho INLourenco out
61'Jean Carlos INAnselmo Ramon out
61'Diego Hernandez INDudu out
72'Lucas Lima INGege out
72'Kadu INE. Garcia out
80'Rodrigo Soares INDjalma Silva out
81'Clayson INKayky Almeida out
87'Pedro Perotti INZe Roberto out
87'Biel Fonseca INAdriel out
87'Pedro Martins INClaudinho out
88'Djalma SilvaAssist: Luiz Felipe
90+1'Anselmo RamonFoul
90+5'Luiz FelipeUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Goias
4-2-3-1Coach: Mozart
Sport Recife
4-3-3Coach: Pozzo Gilmar
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.71
Thiago Rodrigues6.71T. Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares7.22R. Soares
Luiz Felipe6.93L. Felipe
Luis Fellipe6.625L. Fellipe
Nicolas6.66Nicolas
JuninhoC6.68Juninho
Filipe Machado6.75F. Machado
Jean Carlos6.321J. Carlos
Lucas Lima7.210L. Lima
Kadu7.340Kadu
Cadu6.718Cadu
Thiago Couto7.226T. Couto
Augusto Pucci6.068A. Pucci
Marcelo Ajul7.53M. Ajul
Habraão7.028Habraão
Felipinho6.360Felipinho
Biel Fonseca6.96B. Fonseca
Zé GabrielC6.323Z. Gabriel
Pedro Victor Martins6.648P. Victor Martins
Diego Hernández6.520D. Hernández
Perotti8.59Perotti
Clayson6.925Clayson

Goias Substitutes

97Lourenço46'for Juninho6.9
9Anselmo Ramon61'replaced by Jean Carlos90+1'6.2
15Esli García72'for Kadu6.6
28Gegê72'for Lucas Lima7.2
54Djalma80'for Rodrigo Soares88'7.9
12Ezequiel Oliveira
29Murilo Camara
88Brayann
55Guilherme Baldória

Sport Recife Substitutes

77Dudu61'for Diego Hernandez6.5
33Kayky Almeida81'for Clayson6.2
27Claudinho87'for Pedro Martins6.2
54Adriel87'for Biel Fonseca6.5
99Zé Roberto87'for Pedro Perotti6.2
1Halls
73Caio Moura
96Edson Lucas
13Madson
75Arthur Maron

Match Stats

GoiasSport Recife
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
15Fouls11
5Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
482Total Passes380
438Passes Accurate324
91%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

GoiasGoias
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1642Elo Rating 1598
1.26Attack 1.35
2.41Defense 1.77
63%Hit Rate 58%
17.8Shots per Game 15.4
6.1Shots on Target 4.9
6.4Corners per Game 4.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

GoiasGoias1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Sport RecifeSport Recife0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B20/09/2024
Sport RecifeGoias
11
Serie B01/06/2024
GoiasSport Recife
30

Recent Form

Sport RecifeSport Recife
2W5D3L
18/07/2026
Sport RecifeOperario-PR
22
D
11/07/2026
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
33
D
04/07/2026
CriciumaSport Recife
10
L
28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
L
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
D
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
W
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
L
24/05/2026
JuventudeSport Recife
01
W

Referee Profile

Ramon Abatti Abel244 matches

4.76Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ramon Abatti Abel4.76
Other referees5.11

4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina36882045:54-932LLWDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3645:5432
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Goias vs Sport Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Goias and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

Sport Recife and Goias are close in the Serie B table, 7th and 9th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Goias 36-40, Sport Recife 48-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Goias and Sport Recife have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.