Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 19
Operario-PR
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa·Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos, Brazil 23/07/2026
Operario-PROperario-PR
3-2
Finished
Ponte PretaPonte Preta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Operario-PR Rest
4 days
Ponte Preta Rest
4 days

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta: the result in context

Operario-PR beat Ponte Preta 3-2 in the Serie B on 22 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Operario-PR had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Operario-PR tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
81%1.34
X
17%4.50
2
2%8.60
Double Chance
1X
98%1.06
X2
19%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.15
No
49%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.21 + 0.79 = 3.00
Over 1.5
81%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.85
Over 3.5
33%3.15
Under 1.5
19%3.55
Under 2.5
44%1.92
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.8 = 8.6
Over 8.5
50%1.40
Over 9.5
43%1.59
Over 10.5
32%1.95
Under 8.5
50%2.77
Under 9.5
57%2.22
Under 10.5
68%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
44%1.53
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
56%2.29

Match Events

-5'David da HoraArgument
7'BrandãoAssist: Marcio Silva
31'Pablo
34'Marcio SilvaFoul
49'BrandãoAssist: Elvis
51'BrandãoFoul
53'Hildeberto PereiraAssist: Gabriel Feliciano
65'Aylon INMoraes Júnior out
65'Matheus Trindade INNeto Paraíba out
65'Kevyson INDaniel Baianinho out
72'ViniciusTime wasting
77'Vinicius DinizFoul
79'Hildeberto Pereira INVinicius Mingotti out
80'Red card cancelledJulio de Oliveira
83'BrandãoFoul
83'BrandãoFoul
85'Pablo INCaio Dantas out
85'Gabriel Feliciano INMaxwell out
88'Elvis INNicolas Silva out
88'Léo Gomes INJuan out
90'Caio Dantas
90+7'Daniel BaianinhoFoul

Lineups

Operario-PR
Coach: Lopes Luizinho
Ponte Preta
Coach: Zanardi Marcio

Operario-PR Starting XI

33Vágner6.3
26Maguinho6.2
44William Klaus6.2
16Miranda6.2
27Gabriel Feliciano85'replaced by Maxwell7.2
10Gabriel BoschiliaC6.9
39Matheus Trindade65'replaced by Neto Paraíba6.9
20Vinicius Diniz77'7.0
14Hildeberto Pereira53'79'replaced by Vinicius Mingotti7.6
92Pablo31'85'replaced by Caio Dantas8.3
11Aylon65'replaced by Moraes Júnior6.3
Avg rating6.81

Ponte Preta Starting XI

30Vinicius72'6.0
23Sergio Palacios5.9
3Lucas Cunha5.6
44Marcio Silva34'6.5
2Julio de Oliveira6.0
16Léo Gomes88'replaced by Juan6.3
14Danilo BarcelosC6.7
13Diego Porfirio6.9
10Elvis88'replaced by Nicolas Silva7.9
32Kevyson65'replaced by Daniel Baianinho6.3
21Brandão7'49'51'83'83'8.3
Avg rating6.58

Operario-PR Substitutes

6Moraes Júnior65'for Aylon6.9
88Neto Paraíba65'for Matheus Trindade6.9
9Vinicius Mingotti79'for Hildeberto Pereira6.5
77Maxwell85'for Gabriel Feliciano6.3
99Caio Dantas85'for Pablo90'7.3
1Elias Martello
32Charles
23João Gabriel Rodrigues Botão
18André Simplicio
5Índio
30Pedro Vilhena

Ponte Preta Substitutes

26Daniel Baianinho65'for Kevyson90+7'6.7
6Juan88'for Léo Gomes6.3
7Nicolas Silva88'for Elvis6.7
1Guilherme Viana
15Gustavo Almeida
17Miguel Morais
4Diego Leão
35Gustavo Telles
90Rodriguinho
18David da Hora-5'

Match Stats

Operario-PRPonte Preta
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots3
17Fouls20
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
341Total Passes213
273Passes Accurate141
80%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

Operario-PROperario-PR
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1587Elo Rating 1339
0.44Attack 0.82
1.63Defense 0.70
27%Hit Rate 0%
15.7Shots per Game 9.8
3.1Shots on Target 4.6
7.1Corners per Game 3.0
2.6Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+248 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Operario-PROperario-PR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Operario-PROperario-PR2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
Ponte PretaPonte Preta2Wins · 33%
1.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B24/08/2024
Ponte PretaOperario-PR
01
Serie B11/05/2024
Operario-PRPonte Preta
11
Serie B31/07/2022
Ponte PretaOperario-PR
30
Serie B16/04/2022
Operario-PRPonte Preta
20
Serie B23/09/2021
Operario-PRPonte Preta
12
Serie B23/06/2021
Ponte PretaOperario-PR
00

Recent Form

Operario-PROperario-PR
6W2D2L
18/07/2026
Sport RecifeOperario-PR
22
D12/07/2026
Operario-PRNovorizontino
21
W08/07/2026
Athletic ClubOperario-PR
01
W27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
W21/06/2026
GoiasOperario-PR
03
W15/06/2026
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
21
L
06/06/2026
Operario-PRJuventude
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
L
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
0W1D9L
18/07/2026
Ponte PretaGoias
12
L09/07/2026
Ponte PretaCriciuma
12
L03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
L28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
L23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L

Referee Profile

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos94 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.15Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos5.40
Other referees5.21

5.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Operario-PR and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Operario-PR are 10th and Ponte Preta 20th, 36 points apart. League goal record so far: Operario-PR 45-46, Ponte Preta 21-78. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.