Nautico Recife vs Londrina Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 19
Nautico Recife
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Londrina
Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife·Bruno Mota Correia, Brazil 23/07/2026
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
2-1
Finished
LondrinaLondrina

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.28
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Nautico Recife Rest
6 days
Londrina Rest
5 days

Nautico Recife vs Londrina: the result in context

Nautico Recife beat Londrina 2-1 in the Serie B on 23 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Londrina had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Nautico Recife.

Londrina have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Nautico Recife tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.2 for Londrina.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.80
X
30%3.50
2
27%4.33
Double Chance
1X
73%1.18
X2
57%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.85
No
50%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.89 = 2.25
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
44%1.99
Over 3.5
23%3.45
Under 1.5
30%3.25
Under 2.5
56%1.78
Under 3.5
77%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.42
Over 9.5
52%1.68
Over 10.5
40%1.85
Under 8.5
38%2.60
Under 9.5
48%2.00
Under 10.5
60%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
63%1.38
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
37%2.70

Match Events

35'Kauan MaranhaoAssist: Jean Carlos
38'Jean CarlosFoul
46'Kaue Leonardo INRai Nascimento out
46'Joao Tavares INLucas Marques out
46'Vitinho Mota INNino Paraiba out
49'HeronFoul
56'Arnaldo INReginaldo out
58'Pablo Dyego INGilberto out
59'Samuel FelixFoul
74'Jean Carlos(Penalty)
75'Kauan Maranhao INLuiz Claudio out
75'Derek INVictor Andrade out
77'Luiz ClaudioFoul
81'Igor FernandesFoul
82'Gabriel LacerdaAssist: Joao Vitor
87'Tarik INKevyn out
89'Jean Carlos INAuremir out
89'Samuel Felix INWanderson out

Lineups

Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Londrina
4-1-4-1Coach: Micale Rogerio
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.63
MurielC7.21Muriel
Arnaldo7.02Arnaldo
Léo Índio6.515L. Índio
Gustavo Henrique6.646G. Henrique
Igor Fernandes6.923I. Fernandes
Samuel6.241Samuel
Wenderson6.98Wenderson
Luiz Felipe6.927L. Felipe
Derek Freitas7.572D. Freitas
Jean Carlos9.020J. Carlos
Kauã Maranhão7.219K. Maranhão
Kozlinski6.930Kozlinski
Kauê Leonardo6.275K. Leonardo
Yago Lincoln5.73Y. Lincoln
Gabriel LacerdaC7.615G. Lacerda
Heron6.634Heron
Tarik7.05Tarik
Vitinho6.37Vitinho
João Tavares6.632J. Tavares
João Vitor6.620J. Vitor
Pablo Dyego6.711P. Dyego
Paulinho Moccelin6.618P. Moccelin

Nautico Recife Substitutes

93Reginaldo56'for Arnaldo6.5
11Victor Andrade75'for Derek6.7
16Luiz Claudio75'for Kauan Maranhao77'6.2
5Auremir89'for Jean Carlos6.7
34Wanderson89'for Samuel Felix7.0
55Gastón Guruceaga
14Matheus Ribeiro
37Juan Rikelme
3Betão
18Halan
35Matheus Antonio Uchoa da Silva

Londrina Substitutes

2Nino Paraíba46'for Vitinho Mota6.3
8Lucas Marques46'for Joao Tavares7.0
28Raí Nascimento46'for Kaue Leonardo6.9
9Gilberto58'for Pablo Dyego6.3
33Kevyn87'for Tarik6.7
1Luan
6Rafael Monteiro
44Caio Rodrigues
4Wallace Reis
22Artur
27Murilo Sousa

Match Stats

Nautico RecifeLondrina
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots2
18Fouls21
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
309Total Passes281
234Passes Accurate217
76%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
LondrinaLondrina
1553Elo Rating 1518
0.59Attack 0.92
1.85Defense 1.54
14%Hit Rate 27%
14.2Shots per Game 13.7
3.0Shots on Target 4.2
6.6Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LondrinaLondrina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife1Wins · 17%
Draws117%
LondrinaLondrina4Wins · 66%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie C10/08/2025
LondrinaNautico Recife
02
Serie C24/08/2024
LondrinaNautico Recife
32
Serie B23/07/2022
Nautico RecifeLondrina
12
Serie B10/04/2022
LondrinaNautico Recife
20
Serie B22/09/2021
Nautico RecifeLondrina
12
Serie B23/06/2021
LondrinaNautico Recife
00

Recent Form

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
2W2D6L
17/07/2026
CRBNautico Recife
21
L12/07/2026
AvaiNautico Recife
20
L06/07/2026
Nautico RecifeJuventude
00
D28/06/2026
Nautico RecifeGoias
01
L21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
L15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
LondrinaLondrina
4W3D3L
18/07/2026
LondrinaBotafogo SP
00
D14/07/2026
America MineiroLondrina
11
D04/07/2026
LondrinaCRB
50
W26/06/2026
CuiabaLondrina
22
D20/06/2026
LondrinaAthletic Club
20
W16/06/2026
LondrinaAvai
32
W
06/06/2026
CriciumaLondrina
10
L
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
L
23/05/2026
Fortaleza ECLondrina
30
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
W

Referee Profile

Bruno Mota Correia84 matches

5.89Cards per match
5.49Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
32.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Mota Correia5.89
Other referees5.49

5.89 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.49).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Nautico Recife vs Londrina forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nautico Recife and Londrina in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Nautico Recife are 15th and Londrina 18th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Nautico Recife 39-46, Londrina 44-51. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.