CRB vs Nautico Recife Prediction

CRB
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Nautico Recife
Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio·Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
CRB Rest
4 days
Nautico Recife Rest
4 days

CRB vs Nautico Recife: the result in context

CRB beat Nautico Recife 2-1 in the Serie B on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin averages 5.73 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.97
X
25%3.27
2
29%3.92
Double Chance
1X
71%1.23
X2
54%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.73
No
50%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 0.92 = 2.30
Over 1.5
70%1.28
Over 2.5
44%1.94
Over 3.5
23%3.20
Under 1.5
30%3.40
Under 2.5
56%1.85
Under 3.5
77%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
62%1.32
Over 9.5
52%1.59
Over 10.5
39%1.91
Under 8.5
38%3.08
Under 9.5
48%2.27
Under 10.5
61%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.7 = 5.4
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
63%1.41
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
37%2.63

Match Events

20'WendersonFoul
34'Mikael(Penalty)
46'Matheus Ribeiro INArnaldo out
60'Junior Todinho INDerek out
63'Hereda INKevin out
65'Victor Andrade INKauan Maranhao out
72'Gustavo Henrique INLuiz Paulo out
72'Luiz Felipe INSamuel Felix out
75'Danielzinho INGuilherme Pato out
75'Thiaguinho INGeovane out
81'Kauan MaranhaoAssist: Jean Carlos
83'Crystopher RibeiroAssist: Dada Belmonte
85'Dada BelmonteFoul
85'Bressan INLyncon out
85'Dada Belmonte INDe Lucca out

Lineups

CRB
4-3-3Coach: Barroca Eduardo
Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.74
Vitor Caetano6.91V. Caetano
Diogo Hereda6.732D. Hereda
Bressan6.922Bressan
Fábio AlemãoC6.927F. Alemão
Lucas Lovat6.936L. Lovat
Crystopher7.68Crystopher
Pedro Castro6.721P. Castro
Danielzinho7.710Danielzinho
Thiaguinho6.317Thiaguinho
Mikael7.028Mikael
Dadá Belmonte7.697D. Belmonte
Muriel9.31Muriel
Matheus Ribeiro5.714M. Ribeiro
Léo Índio6.515L. Índio
Gustavo Henrique6.346G. Henrique
Igor Fernandes6.223I. Fernandes
Luiz Felipe6.727L. Felipe
Wenderson6.98Wenderson
Reginaldo6.593Reginaldo
Jean CarlosC6.920J. Carlos
Victor Andrade6.911V. Andrade
Todinho6.629Todinho

CRB Substitutes

2Kevin63'for Hereda6.2
11Guilherme Pato75'for Danielzinho6.6
18Geovane75'for Thiaguinho6.5
33Lyncon85'for Bressan6.6
45Patrick De Lucca85'for Dada Belmonte6.3
23Fábio Henrique
6Reverson
14Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
77Leo Campos
20Vinicius Barata
16Guilherme Kauan
7Douglas Baggio

Nautico Recife Substitutes

2Arnaldo46'for Matheus Ribeiro6.9
72Derek Freitas60'for Junior Todinho6.6
19Kauã Maranhão65'for Victor Andrade81'7.2
60Luiz Paulo72'replaced by Gustavo Henrique6.2
41Samuel72'for Luiz Felipe6.5
55Gastón Guruceaga
13Gabriel Índio
34Wanderson
37Juan Rikelme
5Auremir
18Halan

Match Stats

CRBNautico Recife
43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls12
3Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves6
360Total Passes467
296Passes Accurate385
82%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

CRBCRB
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1647Elo Rating 1553
1.63Attack 0.59
1.58Defense 1.85
34%Hit Rate 14%
18.3Shots per Game 14.2
5.6Shots on Target 3.0
8.5Corners per Game 6.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CRBCRB
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CRBCRB1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B11/08/2022
Nautico RecifeCRB
21
Serie B28/04/2022
CRBNautico Recife
12
Serie B29/09/2021
Nautico RecifeCRB
13
Serie B30/06/2021
CRBNautico Recife
11

Recent Form

CRBCRB
3W4D3L
13/07/2026
CRBGoias
22
D
04/07/2026
LondrinaCRB
50
L
01/07/2026
Botafogo SPCRB
01
W
21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D
13/06/2026
Atletico GoianienseCRB
33
D
07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
23
L
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
L
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
W
18/05/2026
Sport RecifeCRB
12
W
15/05/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
00
D
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
3W2D5L
12/07/2026
AvaiNautico Recife
20
L
06/07/2026
Nautico RecifeJuventude
00
D
28/06/2026
Nautico RecifeGoias
01
L
21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
L
15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Paulo Torezin128 matches

5.73Cards per match
5.36Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Paulo Torezin5.73
Other referees5.22

5.73 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the CRB vs Nautico Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CRB and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, CRB are 6th and Nautico Recife 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: CRB 53-49, Nautico Recife 39-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.