Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 18
Fortaleza EC
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Novorizontino
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza·Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 18/07/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1-0
Finished
NovorizontinoNovorizontino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Fortaleza EC Rest
5 days
Novorizontino Rest
5 days

Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino: the result in context

Fortaleza EC beat Novorizontino 1-0 in the Serie B on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio averages 4.52 cards a game, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.08
X
33%3.15
2
26%3.75
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
59%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.1 = 2.40
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.17
Over 3.5
23%3.76
Under 1.5
28%2.90
Under 2.5
53%1.65
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.9 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.43
Over 9.5
56%1.73
Over 10.5
43%2.18
Under 8.5
32%2.60
Under 9.5
44%2.02
Under 10.5
57%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.7 = 5.6
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.58
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.20

Match Events

3'Vitinho
40'Joao RicardoDelay of game
45+1'NerisUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'RobsonUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'Luiz Fernando INWelliton out
46'Helio Borges INJuninho out
56'RodriguinhoFoul
61'Romulo INVinicius Paiva out
61'Luis Oyama INTavinho out
64'Lucas GazalFoul
65'Rodriguinho INMailton out
65'Rodrigo INPierre out
68'Robson INC. Ortiz out
68'Reidiney INCarlao out
74'Neris INLuan Freitas out
79'Pedro Henrique INPaulo Baya out

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
4-2-3-1Coach: Carpini Thiago
Novorizontino
4-4-2Coach: Moreira Enderson
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.84
João RicardoC7.51J. Ricardo
Rodriguinho6.675Rodriguinho
Neris6.723Neris
Lucas Gazal7.23L. Gazal
Gabriel Fuentes7.218G. Fuentes
Lucas Sasha7.288L. Sasha
Rodrigo Santos7.229R. Santos
Pedro Henrique6.916P. Henrique
Vitinho7.911Vitinho
Luiz Fernando6.732L. Fernando
Juan Miritello6.29J. Miritello
Jordi7.793Jordi
Nilson Castrillón6.520N. Castrillón
Gabriel Bahia7.526G. Bahia
Patrick7.34Patrick
Maykon Jesus6.666M. Jesus
Hélio Borges6.577H. Borges
Matheus Bianqui7.717M. Bianqui
Luís Oyama6.26L. Oyama
Reidiney6.741Reidiney
Rômulo6.510Rômulo
RobsonC6.211Robson

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

31Welliton46'for Luiz Fernando7.2
22Maílton65'for Rodriguinho6.9
5Pierre65'for Rodrigo6.7
4Luan Freitas74'for Neris6.6
77Paulo Baya79'for Pedro Henrique6.7
25Vinicius Silvestre
6Tomás Cardona
38Lucca Prior
37Ryan Gustavo
8Ronald
10Lucas Crispim
19Lucas Emanoel

Novorizontino Substitutes

50Juninho46'for Helio Borges6.9
16Vinicius Paiva61'for Romulo6.6
15Tavinho61'for Luis Oyama6.9
9Carlão68'for Reidiney6.5
8Christian Ortíz68'for Robson7.2
31César
3Carlinhos
14Eduardo Brock
22Alexis Alvarino
27Diego Mathias
18Leo Naldi

Match Stats

Fortaleza ECNovorizontino
38%Ball Possession62%
10Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal10
12Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots5
17Fouls6
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
333Total Passes530
264Passes Accurate452
79%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
1704Elo Rating 1740
1.69Attack 2.46
1.93Defense 2.35
39%Hit Rate 77%
14.0Shots per Game 16.0
4.3Shots on Target 6.6
6.1Corners per Game 4.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
4W1D5L
12/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
10
L03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
W28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
W21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
5W3D2L
12/07/2026
Operario-PRNovorizontino
21
L
04/07/2026
NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense
30
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
W23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
W15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D11/06/2026
GoiasNovorizontino
04
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
W
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
L

Referee Profile

Savio Pereira Sampaio168 matches

4.52Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Savio Pereira Sampaio4.52
Other referees5.18

4.52 cards a match, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
15Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina36882045:54-932LLWDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
15Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3645:5432
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortaleza EC and Novorizontino in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 2nd and Fortaleza EC 5th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 43-31, Novorizontino 62-30. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Novorizontino have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.