Avai vs Nautico Recife Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 17
Avai
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Nautico Recife
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianópolis·Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil 12/07/2026
AvaiAvai
2-0
Finished
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Avai Rest
5 days
Nautico Recife Rest
6 days

Avai vs Nautico Recife: the result in context

Avai beat Nautico Recife 2-0 in the Serie B on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Avai tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 6.6 for Nautico Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.75
X
24%3.08
2
35%2.60
Double Chance
1X
65%1.47
X2
58%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.77
No
50%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.98 = 2.25
Over 1.5
70%1.35
Over 2.5
43%2.08
Over 3.5
23%3.67
Under 1.5
30%3.02
Under 2.5
57%1.72
Under 3.5
77%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.43
Over 9.5
44%1.70
Over 10.5
33%2.10
Under 8.5
46%2.57
Under 9.5
56%2.05
Under 10.5
67%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%-

Match Events

7'DGAssist: Wallison
46'Leonai Souza INReginaldo out
46'Derek INKauan Maranhao out
62'Sorriso INWilliam out
69'Wallison INWesley Gasolina out
69'Victor Andrade INFelipe Cardoso out
69'Matheus Ribeiro INLuiz Claudio out
76'DG INJoao Maistro out
76'Jefferson Maciel INGuilherme Aquino out
76'Thayllon INJuan Rocha out
78'Jean LucasFoul
79'Igor Fernandes INLeo Jance out
84'Gustavo HenriqueFoul
90'Daniel PenhaAssist: Juan Rocha
90+6'William FernandoFoul

Lineups

Avai
4-4-2Coach: Almeida Cauan de
Nautico Recife
4-1-4-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.64
Igor Bohn6.91I. Bohn
Wallison7.02Wallison
Allyson7.23Allyson
Jefferson Maciel7.338J. Maciel
DG7.236DG
Thayllon7.043Thayllon
Ze RicardoC7.277Z. Ricardo
Luiz Henrique6.38L. Henrique
Sorriso6.911Sorriso
Daniel Penha7.514D. Penha
Jean Lucas6.910J. Lucas
Muriel BeckerC5.91M. Becker
Matheus Ribeiro6.614M. Ribeiro
Wanderson7.234Wanderson
Gustavo Henrique46G. Henrique
Igor Fernandes6.323I. Fernandes
Wenderson7.38Wenderson
Junior Todinho7.229J. Todinho
Leonai Souza6.522L. Souza
Luiz Felipe6.627L. Felipe
Victor Andrade7.911V. Andrade
Derek6.272Derek

Avai Substitutes

21Otavio Passos
52Wesley Gasolina69'for Wallison6.9
95Wenderson
50Joao Maistro76'for DG6.9
4Gabriel Simples
15Guilherme Aquino76'for Jefferson Maciel6.5
66Quaresma
90Kevin
29Marcio Vitor
16Jamerson
56William62'for Sorriso90+6'6.5
17Juan Rocha76'for Thayllon7.0

Nautico Recife Substitutes

55G. Guruceaga
5Auremir
93Reginaldo46'for Leonai Souza6.3
19Kauan Maranhao46'for Derek6.2
30Felipe Cardoso69'for Victor Andrade6.7
41Samuel Felix
16Luiz Claudio69'for Matheus Ribeiro6.3
18Halan
60Luiz Paulo
15Leo Indio
66Leo Jance79'for Igor Fernandes6.3

Match Stats

AvaiNautico Recife
31%Ball Possession69%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
15Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal12
8Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots3
17Fouls12
7Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
256Total Passes553
172Passes Accurate480
67%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1532Elo Rating 1553
0.53Attack 0.59
2.15Defense 1.85
36%Hit Rate 14%
18.4Shots per Game 14.2
5.5Shots on Target 3.0
8.6Corners per Game 6.6
3.2Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AvaiAvai2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B21/11/2021
Nautico RecifeAvai
12
Serie B15/08/2021
AvaiNautico Recife
20

Recent Form

AvaiAvai
4W0D6L
07/07/2026
Botafogo SPAvai
31
L
28/06/2026
Athletic ClubAvai
10
L
21/06/2026
AvaiCuiaba
10
W16/06/2026
LondrinaAvai
32
L11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
L07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
W
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
L
28/05/2026
AvaiVolta Redonda
30
W
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
L
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
3W3D4L
06/07/2026
Nautico RecifeJuventude
00
D28/06/2026
Nautico RecifeGoias
01
L21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
L15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D

Referee Profile

Joao Vitor Gobi85 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Vitor Gobi4.81
Other referees5.06

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Avai vs Nautico Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avai and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

Nautico Recife and Avai are close in the Serie B table, 15th and 17th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Avai 33-45, Nautico Recife 39-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Avai and Nautico Recife have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.