Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 19
Vila Nova
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Fortaleza EC
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia·Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil 22/07/2026
Vila NovaVila Nova
2-1
Finished
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Vila Nova Rest
3 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days

Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Fortaleza EC 2-1 in the Serie B on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.46
X
29%2.96
2
24%3.05
Double Chance
1X
76%1.36
X2
53%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.89
No
50%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.87 = 2.20
Over 1.5
70%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.25
Over 3.5
21%3.94
Under 1.5
30%2.75
Under 2.5
57%1.62
Under 3.5
79%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.6 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.38
Over 9.5
52%1.69
Over 10.5
39%2.10
Under 8.5
39%2.71
Under 9.5
48%2.04
Under 10.5
61%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
66%1.29
Over 4.5
49%1.57
Under 3.5
34%3.05
Under 4.5
51%2.23

Match Events

14'Douglas MendesAssist: Marquinhos Gabriel
32'Joao Vieira
46'J. B. Miritello INNathan Fogaca out
46'Lucas Sasha INPierre out
46'Luiz Fernando INPaulo Baya out
62'Igor Carius INHayner out
65'Andre Luis INDudu out
66'Vitinho INWelliton out
69'Nathan FogacaFoul
77'Mauricio Junior INMailton out
78'Pedro Henrique
84'PierreFoul
85'Dellatorre INGustavo Puskas out
85'Marquinhos Gabriel INDodo out
85'Higor Meritao INEmerson Urso out
90+2'G. FuentesUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'Emerson UrsoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Ferreira Guto
Fortaleza EC
4-2-3-1Coach: Carpini Thiago
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.56
Helton Leite6.31H. Leite
Igor Cariús6.616I. Cariús
Douglas Mendes7.64D. Mendes
Breno6.923Breno
Willian Formiga6.513W. Formiga
João Vieira6.95J. Vieira
Higor Meritão6.621H. Meritão
André Luís6.97A. Luís
Marquinhos GabrielC7.510M. Gabriel
Janderson7.399Janderson
Dellatorre6.349Dellatorre
João RicardoC7.21J. Ricardo
Maurício Lima5.913M. Lima
Neris6.723Neris
Luan Freitas6.74L. Freitas
Gabriel Fuentes6.518G. Fuentes
Lucas Sasha5.988L. Sasha
Rodrigo Santos6.929R. Santos
Pedro Henrique7.216P. Henrique
Vitinho6.311Vitinho
Luiz Fernando6.332L. Fernando
Juan Miritello6.39J. Miritello

Vila Nova Substitutes

29Dalberson
17Kerlon
22Hayner62'for Igor Carius6.3
14Samuel Frota Nunes
15Dudu Dos Santos65'for Andre Luis6.3
20Nathan Camargo
31Dodô85'for Marquinhos Gabriel6.3
70Emerson Urso85'for Higor Meritao90+2'6.3
18Enzo
19Caique Jesus
9Gustavo Puskas85'for Dellatorre6.3

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

15Magrão
25Vinicius Silvestre
22Maílton77'replaced by Mauricio Junior6.3
6Tomás Cardona
33Kauã Rocha
5Pierre46'for Lucas Sasha84'7.3
8Ronald
31Welliton66'for Vitinho6.3
37Ryan Gustavo
77Paulo Baya46'for Luiz Fernando6.6
10Lucas Crispim
17Nathan Fogaça46'for J. B. Miritello69'6.5

Match Stats

Vila NovaFortaleza EC
52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots0
18Fouls12
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
371Total Passes340
297Passes Accurate265
80%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1661Elo Rating 1704
1.53Attack 1.69
1.73Defense 1.93
34%Hit Rate 39%
11.0Shots per Game 14.0
4.2Shots on Target 4.3
4.4Corners per Game 6.1
2.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
6W0D4L
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
L
11/07/2026
JuventudeVila Nova
10
L
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
L21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
W14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
L09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
W
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
W
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
W
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
W
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
4W1D5L
18/07/2026
Fortaleza ECNovorizontino
10
W12/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
10
L03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
W28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
W21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L

Referee Profile

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos34 matches

4.57Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos4.57
Other referees4.86

4.57 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC in the Serie B table

Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC are close in the Serie B table, 3rd and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 50-36, Fortaleza EC 43-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.