Sport Recife vs Cuiaba Prediction

Sport Recife
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
Ilha do Retiro, Recife·Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil 28/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
Sport Recife Rest
4 days
Cuiaba Rest
3 days

Sport Recife vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Sport Recife and Cuiaba drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 27 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 0.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Cuiaba tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.8 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.04
X
27%2.95
2
24%4.12
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
51%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.15
No
48%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.88 = 2.30
Over 1.5
69%1.50
Over 2.5
45%2.58
Over 3.5
24%4.90
Under 1.5
31%2.50
Under 2.5
55%1.48
Under 3.5
76%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.45
Over 9.5
46%1.79
Over 10.5
36%2.25
Under 8.5
44%2.52
Under 9.5
54%1.93
Under 10.5
64%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%1.38
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%2.70

Match Events

24'Pedro MartinsFoul
33'Pedro Martins INDiego Hernandez out
33'David MiguelFoul
53'Pedro Perotti
59'Rodrigo Rodrigues INKauan Cristtyan out
59'Marlon INLorenzo out
68'Clayson INDudu out
70'Jean Dias INH. Pedro out
70'Raylan INIgor Inocencio out
70'David Miguel INLuiz Otavio out
71'Biel Fonseca INYago Felipe out
75'Fabio GomesAssist: Kauan Cristtyan

Lineups

Sport Recife
4-4-1-1Coach: Pozzo Gilmar
Cuiaba
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.66
Thiago Couto6.626T. Couto
Augusto Pucci7.268A. Pucci
Marcelo BenevenutoC7.25M. Benevenuto
Habraão7.028Habraão
Felipinho6.560Felipinho
Biel Fonseca7.26B. Fonseca
Zé Gabriel6.623Z. Gabriel
Pedro Martins6.748P. Martins
Clayson6.625Clayson
Chrystian Barletta6.730C. Barletta
Perotti7.39Perotti
Marcelo Carné6.331M. Carné
João Basso6.913J. Basso
Calebe Costa6.65C. Costa
Alan EmpereurC6.733A. Empereur
Railan6.637Railan
Raul7.330Raul
David6.520David
Marlon Lopes6.36M. Lopes
Jean Dias6.277J. Dias
Rodrigo Rodrigues6.327R. Rodrigues
Fábio Gomes7.290F. Gomes

Sport Recife Substitutes

20Diego Hernández33'for Pedro Martins6.3
42Antônio Adriano
1Halls
33Kayky Almeida
27Claudinho
96Edson Lucas
3Marcelo Ajul
54Adriel
7Yago Felipe71'for Biel Fonseca6.9
31Marlon
99Zé Roberto
77Dudu68'for Clayson6.3

Cuiaba Substitutes

1João Carlos
4Vitor Mendes
2Igor Inocencio70'for Raylan6.5
36Lorenzo59'for Marlon6.7
70Wesley
41Kauan Cristtyan59'for Rodrigo Rodrigues7.0
97Luiz Otavio70'replaced by David Miguel6.7
29Vinicius Peixoto
96Pedro Henrique70'for Jean Dias6.7
11Eliel

Match Stats

Sport RecifeCuiaba
68%Ball Possession32%
8Corner Kicks11
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
506Total Passes223
435Passes Accurate169
86%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Sport RecifeSport Recife
CuiabaCuiaba
1598Elo Rating 1612
1.35Attack 0.33
1.77Defense 2.08
58%Hit Rate 17%
15.1Shots per Game 18.0
4.9Shots on Target 5.0
4.8Corners per Game 8.1
1.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Sport RecifeSport Recife0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
CuiabaCuiaba1Wins · 33%
0.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B22/03/2026
CuiabaSport Recife
00
Serie A15/10/2021
CuiabaSport Recife
10
Serie A28/06/2021
Sport RecifeCuiaba
00

Referee Profile

Lucas Canetto Bellote67 matches

5.12Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Canetto Bellote5.12
Other referees4.97

5.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.97).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Sport Recife vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sport Recife and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Sport Recife are 7th and Cuiaba 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sport Recife 47-38, Cuiaba 32-28. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.