Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 21
Vila Nova
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia·Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho, Brazil 08/08/2026
Vila NovaVila Nova
0-1
Finished
Sport RecifeSport Recife

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
Vila Nova Rest
11 days
Sport Recife Rest
11 days

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife: result, form and history

Sport Recife beat Vila Nova 1-0 in the Serie B on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Vila Nova had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Sport Recife.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.1 goals a game across 7 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.18
X
29%3.06
2
24%3.40
Double Chance
1X
76%1.30
X2
53%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.85 = 2.22
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.15
Over 3.5
13%3.75
Under 1.5
33%2.92
Under 2.5
55%1.66
Under 3.5
87%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.37
Over 9.5
51%1.65
Over 10.5
38%2.01
Under 8.5
40%2.83
Under 9.5
49%2.13
Under 10.5
62%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
41%1.61
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
59%2.13

Match Events

6'Chrystian Barletta
42'AugustoFoul
45+2'Thiago CoutoDelay of game
46'Nathan Camargo INHayner out
46'Higor Meritao INDudu out
46'Augusto INClaudinho out
60'Clayson INMarlon Douglas out
62'HigorFoul
64'Everton Galdino INDellatorre out
69'Diego Hernandez INDudu out
73'DuduDelay of game
79'Janderson INEmerson Urso out
79'Douglas Mendes INTiago Pagnussat out
81'Marlon DouglasFoul
90+3'Pedro Perotti INBenevenuto out
90+4'Ze Gabriel INPedro Martins out
90+6'Chrystian BarlettaDelay of game

Lineups

Vila Nova
Coach: Ferreira Guto
Sport Recife
Coach: Pozzo Gilmar

Vila Nova Starting XI

1Helton Leite6.9
20Nathan Camargo46'replaced by Hayner6.5
4Douglas Mendes79'replaced by Tiago Pagnussat6.9
23Breno6.6
6Higor62'6.9
21Higor Meritão46'replaced by Dudu6.9
17Everton Galdino64'replaced by Dellatorre6.5
5João Vieira7.3
10Marquinhos GabrielC6.3
99Janderson79'replaced by Emerson Urso6.6
7André Luís6.3
Avg rating6.75

Sport Recife Starting XI

26Thiago Couto45+2'6.7
68Augusto Pucci42'46'replaced by Claudinho6.9
3Marcelo Ajul7.2
33Kayky Almeida7.5
60Felipinho7.3
23Zé GabrielC90+4'replaced by Pedro Martins6.7
29Willian Oliveira7.3
30Chrystian Barletta6'90+6'7.6
20Diego Hernández69'replaced by Dudu6.9
25Clayson60'replaced by Marlon Douglas7.2
9Perotti90+3'replaced by Benevenuto5.9
Avg rating6.93

Vila Nova Substitutes

22Hayner46'for Nathan Camargo7.3
15Dudu Dos Santos46'for Higor Meritao7.0
49Dellatorre64'for Everton Galdino6.5
3Tiago Pagnussat79'for Douglas Mendes6.6
70Emerson Urso79'for Janderson6.9
29Dalberson
16Igor Cariús
38Caio Marcelo
18Enzo
31Dodô
9Gustavo Puskas
11Warley

Sport Recife Substitutes

27Claudinho46'for Augusto7.0
31Marlon60'for Clayson81'6.2
77Dudu69'for Diego Hernandez73'6.6
5Marcelo Benevenuto90+3'for Pedro Perotti
48Pedro Martins90+4'for Ze Gabriel
1Erick
96Edson Lucas
28Habraão
15Murilo Rhikman
10Carlos De Pena
99Zé Roberto

Match Stats

Vila NovaSport Recife
62%Ball Possession38%
14Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots5
1Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots0
11Fouls19
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
432Total Passes282
346Passes Accurate203
80%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1661Elo Rating 1598
1.53Attack 1.35
1.73Defense 1.77
34%Hit Rate 58%
11.0Shots per Game 15.4
4.2Shots on Target 4.9
4.4Corners per Game 4.8
2.9Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova1Wins · 14%
Draws343%
Sport RecifeSport Recife3Wins · 43%
1.1Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
0%3+ goals0 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B02/04/2026
Sport RecifeVila Nova
11
Serie B17/08/2024
Vila NovaSport Recife
20
Serie B27/04/2024
Sport RecifeVila Nova
20
Serie B03/08/2023
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
Serie B18/06/2023
Sport RecifeVila Nova
10
Serie B06/11/2022
Vila NovaSport Recife
00
Serie B19/07/2022
Sport RecifeVila Nova
00

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
5W0D5L
28/07/2026
CRBVila Nova
20
L22/07/2026
Vila NovaFortaleza EC
21
W
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
L
11/07/2026
JuventudeVila Nova
10
L
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
L21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
W14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
L09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
W
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
W
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1W7D2L
28/07/2026
Sport RecifeCuiaba
11
D23/07/2026
GoiasSport Recife
11
D18/07/2026
Sport RecifeOperario-PR
22
D11/07/2026
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
33
D04/07/2026
CriciumaSport Recife
10
L28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
L
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
D
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
W

Referee Profile

Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho76 matches

5.00Cards per match
4.85Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho5.00
Other referees5.16

5.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and Sport Recife 7th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 52-38, Sport Recife 48-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.