Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Prediction

Vila Nova
6-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Ponte Preta
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia·Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Vila Nova Rest
4 days
Ponte Preta Rest
5 days

Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Ponte Preta 6-0 in the Serie B on 20 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vila Nova had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 9 matches. Vila Nova tend to win more corners, 4.4 a game to 2.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.36
X
15%4.45
2
5%8.80
Double Chance
1X
94%1.06
X2
20%2.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.20
No
54%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 0.8 = 2.60
Over 1.5
77%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.89
Over 3.5
30%3.25
Under 1.5
23%3.40
Under 2.5
51%1.86
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.80
Over 10.5
40%2.25
Under 8.5
40%2.48
Under 9.5
49%1.91
Under 10.5
60%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

9'JandersonAssist: Andre Luis
13'Andre LuisAssist: Dellatorre
19'Elvis INJuan Rodrigues out
40'Marquinhos GabrielAssist: Higor
46'Dellatorre INEverton Galdino out
46'Higor INIgor Carius out
46'Baianinho INGustavo Telles out
64'DuduAssist: Janderson
66'Everton GaldinoAssist: Janderson
66'Andre Luis INRyan out
66'Marquinhos Gabriel INDodo out
72'Tiago Pagnussat INWillian Formiga out
72'Leo Gomes INM. L. Diego out
72'David da Hora INMiguel Morais out
73'Juan RodriguesFoul
79'S. PalaciosUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'Willian FormigaAssist: Dodo
84'Brandao INJoao Damiao out
90+4'Miguel MoraisFoul

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Ferreira Guto
Ponte Preta
3-4-2-1Coach: Zanardi Marcio
Avg rating7.93
Avg rating6.29
Helton Leite7.91H. Leite
Hayner7.722Hayner
Tiago Pagnussat7.93T. Pagnussat
Breno7.223Breno
Higor7.66Higor
Dudu Dos Santos9.515D. Dos Santos
João Vieira7.95J. Vieira
André Luís9.27A. Luís
Marquinhos GabrielC8.310M. Gabriel
Janderson9.399Janderson
Dellatorre7.349Dellatorre
Vinicius7.730Vinicius
Sergio Palacios5.023S. Palacios
Lucas Cunha6.03L. Cunha
Gustavo Almeida5.544G. Almeida
Julio de Oliveira7.02J. de Oliveira
Léo Gomes6.316L. Gomes
André Lima6.28A. Lima
Daniel Baianinho6.37D. Baianinho
David da Hora6.918D. da Hora
ElvisC6.210Elvis
Brandão6.021Brandão

Vila Nova Substitutes

16Igor Cariús46'for Higor7.2
17Everton Galdino46'for Dellatorre66'8.2
11Ryan Lima6.5
31Dodô66'for Marquinhos Gabriel7.3
13Willian Formiga72'for Tiago Pagnussat80'7.9
29Dalberson
33Bruno Xavier
8Willian Maranhão
21Higor Meritão
20Nathan Camargo
18Enzo
9Gustavo Puskas

Ponte Preta Substitutes

6Juan19'for Elvis73'5.5
35Gustavo Telles46'for Baianinho7.3
4Diego Leão72'for Leo Gomes6.2
17Miguel Morais72'for David da Hora90+4'6.3
9João Damião84'for Brandao6.2
1Guilherme Viana
13Matheus Souza Santos
15Gabriel Cicala
32Caio Vinicius Nogueira do Nascimento

Match Stats

Vila NovaPonte Preta
64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots4
15Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal1
19Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
14Fouls18
5Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves9
457Total Passes261
385Passes Accurate191
84%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1661Elo Rating 1334
1.53Attack 0.50
1.73Defense 0.58
34%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 8.6
4.2Shots on Target 3.5
4.4Corners per Game 2.0
2.9Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+327 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova2Wins · 22%
Draws556%
Ponte PretaPonte Preta2Wins · 22%
1.7Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie B11/04/2026
Ponte PretaVila Nova
01
Serie B11/11/2024
Vila NovaPonte Preta
21
Serie B24/07/2024
Ponte PretaVila Nova
20
Serie B16/09/2023
Vila NovaPonte Preta
11
Serie B28/05/2023
Ponte PretaVila Nova
10
Serie B09/10/2022
Ponte PretaVila Nova
11
Serie B29/06/2022
Vila NovaPonte Preta
11
Serie B03/10/2021
Ponte PretaVila Nova
11
Serie B04/07/2021
Vila NovaPonte Preta
00

Referee Profile

Maguielson Lima Barbosa90 matches

5.74Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Maguielson Lima Barbosa5.74
Other referees5.31

5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Vila Nova are 3rd in the Serie B, while Ponte Preta sit 20th, 47 points behind. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 50-36, Ponte Preta 21-76. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.