Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 27
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Botafogo SP Rest
5 days
Novorizontino Rest
4 days
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino: the result in context
Novorizontino beat Botafogo SP 3-1 in the Serie B on 9 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Novorizontino had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Botafogo SP.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%3.35
X27%3.13
243%2.16
Double Chance
1X57%1.64
X270%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.87
No49%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 0.99 = 2.08
Over 1.565%1.36
Over 2.529%2.20
Over 3.513%4.00
Under 1.535%2.88
Under 2.571%1.62
Under 3.587%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.9 = 10.4
Over 8.564%1.20
Over 9.555%1.38
Over 10.548%1.65
Under 8.536%3.73
Under 9.545%2.70
Under 10.552%2.10
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.553%-
Over 4.534%1.56
Under 3.547%-
Under 4.566%2.22
Match Events
12'Felipe Vieira AugustoFoul
19'Penalty confirmedRomulo Azevedo Simão
21'Romulo Azevedo Simão(Penalty)
30'Felipe Vieira AugustoAssist: Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos
33'Maykon Kesley de Jesus RamalhoFoul
45'Leandro MacielFoul
47'Gabriel de Souza InocencioArgument
47'Nicolas Morês da CruzArgument
56'RobsonAssist: Leonardo Naldi de Matos
62'Nicolas Morês da Cruz INJuninho out
62'Leonardo Naldi de Matos INMatheus Henrique Bianqui out
66'Leandro Maciel INArthur Caíke out
67'José Hugo Sousa dos Santos INWesley Santos out
73'Matheus Henrique BianquiAssist: Madson Ferreira dos Santos
77'Morelli INJadson Alves de Lima out
78'Felipe Vieira Augusto INJonathan out
78'Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos INMatheus Sales out
84'Gabriel Henrique Feitosa da Silva INCarlinhos out
84'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INDiego Galo out
87'Robson INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out
90+5'Rafael GavaFoul
Lineups
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Enderson MoreiraAvg ratingAvg rating
1V. Souza
22G. Inocêncio
3Ericson
4Vilar
26F. Vieira
5L. Maciel
30Z. Hugo
8E. Morelli
10R. Gava
7Kelvin
9Hygor
93Jordi
2Madson
26G. Bahia
4Patrick
66Maykon
6L. Oyama
18L. Naldi
41Reidiney
10Romulo
30N. Careca
11RobsonBotafogo SP Substitutes
17Guilherme Queiróz
18Arthur Caíke66'for Leandro Maciel
21Jadson Alves de Lima77'replaced by Morelli
2Jonathan78'for Felipe Vieira Augusto
16Matheus Sales78'for Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos
13Wallace
28Marco Antônio
12Jordan
31Pedro Henrique
23Wesley Pinheiro Santos67'for José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
29Thiago Henrique
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
Novorizontino Substitutes
77Hélio Borges
22A. Alvariño
50Juninho62'for Nicolas Morês da Cruz
28Marlon
7Ronald Barcellos
15Tavinho
9Carlão87'for Robson
31César
14Eduardo Brock
19Diego Galo84'for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes
3Carlinhos84'for Gabriel Henrique Feitosa da Silva
17Matheus Bianqui62'for Leonardo Naldi de Matos73'
Match Stats
Botafogo SPNovorizontino 54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots9
1Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
15Fouls17
5Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves0
382Total Passes337
308Passes Accurate255
16Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
Botafogo SPNovorizontino1588Elo Rating 1740
1.29Attack 2.46
2.69Defense 2.35
86%Hit Rate 77%
11.0Shots per Game 16.0
3.9Shots on Target 6.6
6.3Corners per Game 4.5
2.2Cards per Game 2.6
Game State Tendencies
Botafogo SP- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Novorizontino- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Botafogo SP3Wins · 30%Draws220%
Novorizontino5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%1.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
11/05/2026NovorizontinoBotafogo SP10
25/01/2026NovorizontinoBotafogo SP20
25/10/2025NovorizontinoBotafogo SP11
06/07/2025Botafogo SPNovorizontino00
23/02/2025Botafogo SPNovorizontino12
15/09/2024NovorizontinoBotafogo SP20
28/05/2024Botafogo SPNovorizontino01
21/10/2023Botafogo SPNovorizontino20
28/06/2023NovorizontinoBotafogo SP01
14/03/2022Botafogo SPNovorizontino21
Recent Form
Botafogo SP3W3D4L
04/09/2026
Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP
Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP10
L29/08/2026Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
26/08/2026Botafogo SPCuiaba12
L
Atletico GoianienseBotafogo SP30
L20/08/2026Botafogo SP
Criciuma11
D15/08/2026
São BernardoBotafogo SP01
W08/08/2026Botafogo SP
America Mineiro21
W29/07/2026
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP
24/07/2026Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
LBotafogo SP
Juventude42
W18/07/2026
LondrinaBotafogo SP00
D11/07/2026
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP33
DNovorizontino5W1D4L
05/09/2026Novorizontino
Avai
29/08/2026NovorizontinoAvai31
WNovorizontinoSport Recife21
W25/08/2026
Athletic ClubNovorizontino14
W21/08/2026NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro30
W16/08/2026
CRBNovorizontino00
D09/08/2026NovorizontinoJuventude01
L26/07/2026LondrinaNovorizontino
22/07/2026LondrinaNovorizontino14
WNovorizontinoCriciuma01
L18/07/2026Fortaleza ECNovorizontino10
L12/07/2026
Operario-PRNovorizontino21
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Juventude | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 45:23 | +22 | 64 | WDDWW |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 | LDWDW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 | LWWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 |  Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 52 | WDWWL |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39:46 | -7 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 16 |  Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 43 | LDLWW |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 23:54 | -31 | 23 | WWLLL |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 | DDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 62:30 | 64 |
| 2 | Juventude | 35 | 45:23 | 64 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 35 | 50:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 43:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 36:30 | 59 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 53:49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 42:33 | 54 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 36:40 | 52 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 35 | 45:46 | 51 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 49:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 40:40 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 35 | 39:46 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 37:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 44:51 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 35 | 23:54 | 23 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 21:76 | 15 |
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About the Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Botafogo SP and Novorizontino in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Botafogo SP 12th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Botafogo SP 40-38, Novorizontino 62-30. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.