Vila Nova vs Goias Prediction

Vila Nova
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Goias
A. Daronco 11/09/2026
Vila NovaVila Nova
2-0
Finished
GoiasGoias

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Vila Nova Rest
5 days
Goias Rest
5 days

Vila Nova vs Goias: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Goias 2-0 in the Serie B on 10 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vila Nova had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Goias.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.2 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee A. Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.00
X
29%3.00
2
20%4.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.22
X2
49%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.20
No
49%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.78 = 2.15
Over 1.5
65%1.52
Over 2.5
38%2.63
Over 3.5
20%5.00
Under 1.5
35%2.40
Under 2.5
62%1.45
Under 3.5
80%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.74
Over 10.5
40%2.27
Under 8.5
39%2.50
Under 9.5
49%2.00
Under 10.5
60%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

11'Lucas RibeiroFoul
14'João Pedro VieiraFoul
21'Luis Fellipe Campos DoriaFoul
36'HaynerArgument
45'Douglas MendesFoul
45'Ryan lima INEverton Galdino out
45+4'Eduardo Dos SantosFoul
46'Bruno XavierDissent
64'Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida INCarlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro out
64'Wellington Rato INLucas Lima out
67'HaynerAssist: João Pedro Vieira
68'André Luís
71'João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço INAdilson dos Anjos Oliveira out
72'Ramon Menezes INMarcos Vinicius out
76'André LuísAssist: João Pedro Vieira
78'Lucas Rodrigues INJean Carlos out
78'Marquinhos Gabriel INRaphael Guimarães de Paula out
78'Eduardo Dos Santos INWillian Maranhão out
83'João Pedro Vieira INHigor Meritão out
85'André Luís INEmerson out

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Guto Ferreira
Goias
4-2-3-1Coach: Mozart
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.32
Helton Leite7.31H. Leite
Hayner7.222Hayner
Jonathan Costa6.423J. Costa
Douglas Mendes6.44D. Mendes
Willian Formiga6.813W. Formiga
João Vieira8.65J. Vieira
Dudu6.515Dudu
Ryan Lima6.711R. Lima
Marquinhos Gabriel6.210M. Gabriel
Janderson6.399Janderson
André Luís8.17A. Luís
Tadeu7.223Tadeu
Luis Fellipe6.525L. Fellipe
Ramon Menezes6.64R. Menezes
Lucas Ribeiro6.314L. Ribeiro
Djalma Silva5.754D. Silva
Luquinhas6.435Luquinhas
Filipe Machado6.95F. Machado
Wellington Rato6.727W. Rato
Lourenço6.297Lourenço
Kadu5.840Kadu
Felipe Clemente6.011F. Clemente

Vila Nova Substitutes

18Enzo
16Igor Cariús
14Rodrigo Esmeraldo Caixeta Júnior
8Willian Maranhão78'for Eduardo Dos Santos6.6
29Dalberson
17Everton Galdino45'for Ryan lima7.2
31Dodô78'for Marquinhos Gabriel6.5
70Emerson Urso85'for André Luís7.0
21Higor Meritão83'for João Pedro Vieira6.6
9Puskas Gustavo
33Bruno Xavier46'

Goias Substitutes

63Marcos Vinícius72'for Ramon Menezes6.1
1Thiago Rodrigues
28Gegê
17Pedro Junqueira
66Danilo Cunha
19Murilo Camara
88Brayann
55Guilherme Baldória
10Lucas Lima64'for Wellington Rato6.3
18Cadu64'for Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida6.2
21Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira78'for Lucas Rodrigues6.5
8Juninho71'for João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço5.9

Match Stats

Vila NovaGoias
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks7
6Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots3
18Fouls14
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
256Total Passes488
185Passes Accurate410
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
GoiasGoias
1661Elo Rating 1622
1.53Attack 0.85
1.73Defense 2.17
34%Hit Rate 42%
11.2Shots per Game 18.0
4.2Shots on Target 4.8
4.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
GoiasGoias2Wins · 20%
1.2Avg Goals
10%Both teams scored1 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie B09/05/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
Goiano - 101/02/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
Serie B16/08/2025
Vila NovaGoias
20
Serie B18/04/2025
GoiasVila Nova
22
Goiano - 116/03/2025
Vila NovaGoias
00
Goiano - 109/03/2025
GoiasVila Nova
01
Goiano - 102/02/2025
Vila NovaGoias
10
Serie B13/10/2024
GoiasVila Nova
01
Serie B23/06/2024
Vila NovaGoias
10
Goiano - 104/02/2024
GoiasVila Nova
00

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
4W1D5L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
L
30/08/2026
Vila NovaCeara
20
W
23/08/2026
Operario-PRVila Nova
00
D
20/08/2026
Vila NovaPonte Preta
60
W
15/08/2026
Atletico GoianienseVila Nova
02
W
08/08/2026
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
L
28/07/2026
CRBVila Nova
20
L
22/07/2026
Vila NovaFortaleza EC
21
W
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
L
11/07/2026
JuventudeVila Nova
10
L

Referee Profile

A. Daronco306 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.26Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Daronco4.49
Other referees5.20

4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 238 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Vila Nova vs Goias forecast

As a derby, this Serie B meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Goias in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and Goias 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 50-36, Goias 36-40. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.