Fortaleza EC vs Ceara Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 28
M. de Lima 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Fortaleza EC Rest
3 days
Ceara Rest
3 days
Fortaleza EC vs Ceara: result, form and history
Fortaleza EC and Ceara drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.89
X28%3.18
213%4.33
Double Chance
1X87%1.19
X241%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.05
No52%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.79 = 2.42
Over 1.569%1.40
Over 2.544%2.38
Over 3.525%4.45
Under 1.531%2.65
Under 2.556%1.56
Under 3.575%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.2 = 10.7
Over 8.567%1.29
Over 9.556%1.56
Over 10.549%1.96
Under 8.533%3.05
Under 9.544%2.24
Under 10.551%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.551%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.549%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
12'Goal cancelledMaílton
20'Rodrigo Oliveira dos SantosArgument
20'Vinicius ZanoceloFoul
28'Pedro Henrique INPaulo Baya out
30'Vitor Ferreira
35'PierreDissent
41'Vinicius Zanocelo INVinícius out
61'Nicolás Ferreira INRian Bonfim De Santana out
65'Vitor Ferreira INChico da Costa out
68'Rian Bonfim De SantanaFoul
76'Sanchez Costa INSávio António Alves out
76'Julio Cesar Alves Goncalves INMatheus Araujo out
76'Saulo Mineiro INLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares out
80'Pierre INronald falkoski out
80'Luiz Fernando INRyan Gustavo de Lima out
80'Kaio Henrique INMaurício Mucuri out
87'Melquisedeque Costa De OliveiraAssist: Matheus Araujo
Lineups
Fortaleza ECCeara
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel PaulistaAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Ricardo
22Maílton
3L. Gazal
6T. Cardona
12K. Henrique
11Vitinho
5Pierre
29Rodrigo
75Rodriguinho
32L. Fernando
16P. Henrique
1Richard
18Júlio
4L. Otávio
13L. Otávio
12Sanchez
81J. Gabriel
25V. Zanocelo
60Enzo40Richard
11N. Ferreira
73S. MineiroFortaleza EC Substitutes
10Lucas Crispim
31Welliton
25Vinícius Silvestre
37Ryan Gustavo80'for Luiz Fernando
8Ronald80'for Pierre
77Paulo Baya28'for Pedro Henrique
23Neris
38Lucca
9J. Miritello
17Nathan Fogaça
19Lucas Emanoel
13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues80'for Kaio Henrique
Ceara Substitutes
26Richardson
6Sávio76'for Sanchez Costa
8Matheus Araújo76'for Julio Cesar Alves Goncalves
99Lucca76'for Saulo Mineiro
10L. Mugni
77Lenny Lobato
16Rian Bonfim De Santana61'replaced by Nicolás Ferreira68'
7R. López
45Vini Uchella
29Vina41'for Vinicius Zanocelo
23Caíque França
2Rafael Ramos
Match Stats
Fortaleza ECCeara 48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box9
1Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
17Fouls10
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
386Total Passes407
308Passes Accurate326
9Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
Fortaleza ECCeara1713Elo Rating 1611
1.64Attack 1.18
2.09Defense 1.95
46%Hit Rate 36%
11.5Shots per Game 13.1
3.5Shots on Target 3.9
5.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+103 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Fortaleza EC- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
Ceara- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Fortaleza EC0Wins · 0%Draws660%
Ceara4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
17/05/2026CearaFortaleza EC21
08/03/2026CearaFortaleza EC4151
01/03/2026Fortaleza ECCeara11
08/02/2026CearaFortaleza EC00
07/11/2025CearaFortaleza EC11
14/07/2025Fortaleza ECCeara01
22/03/2025CearaFortaleza EC11
15/03/2025Fortaleza ECCeara01
08/02/2025Fortaleza ECCeara12
06/04/2024CearaFortaleza EC11
Clássico-ReiFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Fortaleza EC5W4D1L
10/09/2026Fortaleza EC
AvaiFortaleza EC
São Bernardo
JuventudeFortaleza EC
CuiabaFortaleza ECFortaleza EC
PalmeirasPalmeirasFortaleza EC
Fortaleza ECAvai10
W05/09/2026
GoiasFortaleza EC
GoiasFortaleza EC01
W01/09/2026Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR11
D23/08/2026
CriciumaFortaleza EC
20/08/2026CriciumaFortaleza EC02
WFortaleza ECSão Bernardo11
D15/08/2026JuventudeFortaleza EC00
D09/08/2026CuiabaFortaleza EC11
D06/08/2026Fortaleza ECPalmeiras32
W02/08/2026PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
L29/07/2026Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
WCeara4W1D5L
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Juventude | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 45:23 | +22 | 64 | WDDWW |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 | LDWDW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 |  Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 52 | WDWWL |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | LLLDW |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39:46 | -7 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 43 | LDLWW |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 23:54 | -31 | 23 | WWLLL |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 | DDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 62:30 | 64 |
| 2 | Juventude | 35 | 45:23 | 64 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 35 | 50:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 43:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 36:30 | 59 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 53:49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 42:33 | 54 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 36:40 | 52 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 35 | 45:46 | 51 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 49:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 40:40 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 35 | 39:46 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 37:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 44:51 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 35 | 23:54 | 23 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 21:76 | 15 |
PromotionRelegation
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About the Fortaleza EC vs Ceara forecast
As a derby, this Serie B meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fortaleza EC and Ceara in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 4th and Ceara 16th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 43-31, Ceara 37-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.