Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16CupKnockout
Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil 06/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Fortaleza EC Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
3 days
Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras: the result in context
Fortaleza EC beat Palmeiras 3-2 in the Copa Do Brasil on 6 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Palmeiras had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fortaleza EC.
Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game. Fortaleza EC tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 2.9 for Palmeiras.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
111%4.61
X21%3.50
268%1.80
Double Chance
1X32%1.96
X289%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.85
No52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.42 = 2.50
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.538%2.01
Over 3.520%3.50
Under 1.529%3.30
Under 2.562%1.79
Under 3.580%1.28
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
34'J. B. MiritelloAssist: Rodriguinho
41'J. LopezAssist: Felipe Anderson
44'Rodriguinho
55'Lucas Evangelista INR. Sosa out
55'Vitor Roque INAndreas Pereira out
55'Riquelme Fillipi INJ. Arias out
61'MuriloAssist: Andreas Pereira
62'Welliton INPaulo Baya out
62'T. Cardona INNeris out
67'Rodrigo INVitinho out
68'Marlon Freitas INE. Martinez out
70'Mailton
82'Pierre INRyan out
82'Rodriguinho INLucas Emanoel out
83'Felipe Anderson INAllan Elias out
88'Lucas EmanoelAssist: Mailton
Lineups
Fortaleza ECPalmeiras
4-4-2Coach: Ferreira AbelAvg ratingAvg rating
C1J. Ricardo
22Maílton
3L. Gazal
6T. Cardona
18G. Fuentes
29R. Santos
5Pierre
88L. Sasha
31Welliton
9J. Miritello
75Rodriguinho
1C. Miguel
4A. Giay
C26Murilo
43L. Benedetti
56A. Gabriel
7F. Anderson
17M. Freitas
30L. Evangelista
37R. Fillipi
42J. Manuel López
9V. RoqueFortaleza EC Substitutes
23Neris62'for T. Cardona
77Paulo Baya62'for Welliton
11Vitinho67'for Rodrigo
37Ryan Gustavo82'for Pierre
19Lucas Emanoel82'for Rodriguinho88'
25Vinicius Silvestre
4Luan Freitas
13Maurício Lima
28Paulinho
10Lucas Crispim
32Luiz Fernando
17Nathan Fogaça
Palmeiras Substitutes
11Jhon Arias55'replaced by Riquelme Fillipi
8Andreas Pereira55'for Vitor Roque
19Ramón Sosa55'for Lucas Evangelista
32Emiliano Martínez68'for Marlon Freitas
40Allan83'for Felipe Anderson
21Kaique
14Marcelo Lomba
22Joaquín Piquerez
18Mauricio
50Luis Pacheco
48Larson
29Miguel Cinoncelli Bilong
Match Stats
Fortaleza ECPalmeiras 43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
12Fouls8
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
370Total Passes504
304Passes Accurate436
82%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
Fortaleza ECPalmeiras1713Elo Rating 1850
1.64Attack 1.65
2.09Defense 2.37
46%Hit Rate 73%
11.5Shots per Game 13.1
3.5Shots on Target 4.8
5.0Corners per Game 2.9
2.1Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Fortaleza EC- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Fortaleza EC2Wins · 20%Draws220%
Palmeiras6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10
Previous meetings
02/08/2026PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
21/09/2025PalmeirasFortaleza EC41
20/04/2025Fortaleza ECPalmeiras12
26/10/2024PalmeirasFortaleza EC22
27/06/2024Fortaleza ECPalmeiras30
26/11/2023Fortaleza ECPalmeiras22
22/07/2023PalmeirasFortaleza EC31
01/06/2023Fortaleza ECPalmeiras10
18/05/2023PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
03/11/2022PalmeirasFortaleza EC40
Recent Form
Fortaleza EC5W1D4L
02/08/2026PalmeirasFortaleza EC
Vila NovaFortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
Sport Recife
CRBFortaleza ECFortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
L29/07/2026Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
22/07/2026Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
WVila NovaFortaleza EC21
L18/07/2026Fortaleza ECNovorizontino10
W12/07/2026Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC10
L03/07/2026Fortaleza ECPonte Preta20
W28/06/2026Fortaleza ECSport Recife21
W21/06/2026CRBFortaleza EC11
D17/06/2026Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro03
L10/06/2026Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC01
WPalmeiras7W1D2L
02/08/2026PalmeirasFortaleza EC
VitoriaPalmeirasPalmeiras
Atletico-MG
CoritibaPalmeiras
PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
W30/07/2026VitoriaPalmeiras04
W27/07/2026PalmeirasAtletico-MG12
L23/07/2026CoritibaPalmeiras13
W31/05/2026Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc10
W29/05/2026Palmeiras
Junior
PalmeirasJunior41
W24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
FlamengoPalmeiras03
W21/05/2026Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
PalmeirasCerro Porteno01
L17/05/2026Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro11
D14/05/2026
JacuipensePalmeiras
JacuipensePalmeiras14
WReferee Profile
5.49Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.49 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).
Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
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Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
BotafogoChapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
RemoCruzeiro
SantosCoritiba
Internacional
RB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
FluminensePonte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GASFortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital BrasiliaAtletico GoianienseNovorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
CeilândiaJacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
AltosCRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
TocantinópolisVila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO ItabaianaAmerica Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
MaracanãSport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePalmeiras-Vasco DA Gama-Explore more predictions
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About the Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Palmeiras have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.