Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16CupKnockout
Arena da Baixada, Curitiba 04/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Atletico Paranaense Rest
4 days
Vitoria Rest
4 days
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria: result, form and history
Atletico Paranaense beat Vitoria 2-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 8.9 a game to 3.1 for Vitoria.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.62
X26%3.68
224%6.00
Double Chance
1X76%1.12
X250%2.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.28
No52%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.18 = 2.45
Over 1.570%1.42
Over 2.538%2.37
Over 3.519%4.47
Under 1.530%2.75
Under 2.562%1.58
Under 3.581%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
9'Joao CruzAssist: Leozinho
21'Emmanuel Martinez
26'Arthur Dias
46'Fabiano INErick out
50'Leozinho
61'Caca
66'Joao Cruz INDudu Kogitzki out
66'Leozinho INLeo Derik out
67'Emmanuel Martinez
67'Emmanuel Martinez
70'Matheuzinho INZe Vitor out
70'Gilberto INK. A. Calderon Vargas out
78'Dudu KogitzkiAssist: K. Viveros
80'S. Mendoza INJ. Rivaldo out
80'Luiz Gustavo INB. Zapelli out
85'Dudu Kogitzki
89'Rene INFabricio out
Lineups
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria
5-3-2Coach: Ventura JairAvg ratingAvg rating
C23Santos
29G. Benavídez
33J. Felipe Aguirre
4A. Dias
12Gilberto
16Jádson
14L. Gustavo
7S. Mendoza
21Leozinho
8J. Cruz
9K. Viveros
1L. Arcanjo
70F. Souza
2E. Brítez
25Cacá
36L. Cândido
13Ramon
C44G. Baralhas
95C. Gonçalves
6E. Martínez
91R. Sousa
10MatheuzinhoAtletico Paranaense Substitutes
6Leonardo Derik
53Dudu66'replaced by Joao Cruz78'85'
18Kerwin Calderón Vargas70'for Gilberto
10Bruno Zapelli80'for Luiz Gustavo
19Jorge Rivaldo80'for S. Mendoza
1Mycael
22Carlos Terán
2Gilberto Junior
3Léo
5Felipinho
27Juan Portilla
70Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
Vitoria Substitutes
33Erick46'for Fabiano
88Zé Vitor70'for Matheuzinho
23Fabrício Santos89'for Rene
71Yuri Sena
83Jamerson
26Edenilson
98Mateusinho
12Diego Tarzia
20Lucas Silva
7Marinho
41Wendell dos Santos Sacramento
79Renato Kayzer
Match Stats
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria 55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots2
16Fouls10
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
427Total Passes358
376Passes Accurate294
88%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria1727Elo Rating 1627
1.66Attack 1.50
1.61Defense 1.69
34%Hit Rate 17%
17.0Shots per Game 12.7
5.4Shots on Target 5.1
8.9Corners per Game 3.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Paranaense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vitoria- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Paranaense2Wins · 67%Draws00%
Vitoria1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
26/04/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoria31
02/11/2024Atletico ParanaenseVitoria12
30/06/2024VitoriaAtletico Paranaense01
Recent Form
Atletico Paranaense4W3D3L
31/07/2026
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Internacional
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
CorinthiansAtletico Paranaense00
D25/07/2026Atletico ParanaenseInternacional20
W23/07/2026Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense12
W11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense21
L09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense10
L30/05/2026Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol10
W18/05/2026Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo11
D15/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense1040
W11/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense10
L03/05/2026Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico ParanaenseGremio00
DVitoria6W1D3L
30/07/2026Vitoria
Palmeiras
RemoVitoria
BotafogoVitoriaVitoriaVasco DA Gama
VitoriaPalmeiras04
L27/07/2026RemoVitoria20
L24/07/2026BotafogoVitoria00
D17/07/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama10
W06/06/2026Vitoria
Fortaleza EC
VitoriaFortaleza EC21
W03/06/2026Fortaleza ECVitoria
Fortaleza ECVitoria12
W31/05/2026
SantosVitoria
SantosVitoria31
L28/05/2026
ABCVitoria
ABCVitoria34
W23/05/2026VitoriaInternacional
VitoriaInternacional20
W21/05/2026VitoriaABC
VitoriaABC62
WBracket
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Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13Botafogo
Chapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
BahiaRemo
CruzeiroSantos
CoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoria
Atletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GASFortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital BrasiliaAtletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AMABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePalmeiras-Vasco DA Gama-Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Vitoria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.