Gremio vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Gremio
-
01/11/2026
22:30
Atletico-MG
Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre·Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
GremioGremio
01/11/202622:30
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Gremio Rest
2 days
Atletico-MG Rest
2 days

Gremio vs Atletico-MG preview: form and head-to-head

There is little to separate the two on recent form: Gremio have won 2 of their last five and Atletico-MG 2. It is a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, played on 1 Nov 2026.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.5 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Gremio tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.6 for Atletico-MG.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.63
X
3.07
2
2.79
Double Chance
1X
1.40
X2
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.90
No
1.80
Goals
Over 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
2.29
Over 3.5
4.26
Under 1.5
2.75
Under 2.5
1.60
Under 3.5
1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

GremioGremio
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1653Elo Rating 1745
1.46Attack 1.05
1.91Defense 1.65
50%Hit Rate 31%
16.9Shots per Game 12.4
5.1Shots on Target 4.6
7.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GremioGremio5Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG5Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A16/08/2026
Atletico-MGGremio
30
Serie A26/02/2026
GremioAtletico-MG
21
Serie A17/08/2025
Atletico-MGGremio
13
Serie A29/03/2025
GremioAtletico-MG
21
Serie A10/10/2024
Atletico-MGGremio
21
Serie A01/09/2024
GremioAtletico-MG
23
Serie A26/11/2023
Atletico-MGGremio
30
Serie A23/07/2023
GremioAtletico-MG
10
Serie A10/12/2021
GremioAtletico-MG
43
Serie A04/11/2021
Atletico-MGGremio
21

Referee Profile

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda120 matches

5.16Cards per match
4.99Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda5.16
Other referees5.16

5.16 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
On penalties
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
On penalties
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
On penalties
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
On penalties
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Ponte Preta
Seeded
Confiança
Seeded
Paysandu
Seeded
Barra
Seeded
Boavista SC
Seeded
Maringá
Seeded
Joinville
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
America-RN
Seeded
GAS
Seeded
Fortaleza EC
Seeded
Castanhal
Seeded
Guarani Campinas
Seeded
Juazeirense
Seeded
Capital Brasilia
Seeded
Atletico Goianiense
Seeded
Novorizontino
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
ABC
Seeded
Londrina
Seeded
Penedense
Seeded
Retrô
Seeded
Uberlandia
Seeded
São Luiz
Seeded
Maranhão
Seeded
Tombense
Seeded
Oratório
Seeded
Anápolis
Seeded
Cianorte
Seeded
Imperatriz
Seeded
Amazonas
Seeded
Ceilândia
Seeded
Jacuipense
Seeded
Águia de Marabá
Seeded
Independência
Seeded
ASA
Seeded
Operario Ferroviario
Seeded
São Bernardo
Seeded
Atlético Alagoinhas
Seeded
Caxias
Seeded
Guarany de Bagé
Seeded
Goias
Seeded
Ypiranga-RS
Seeded
Mixto
Seeded
Botafogo PB
Seeded
Ceara
Seeded
CEOV Operário
Seeded
Porto Velho
Seeded
Portuguesa
Seeded
Altos
Seeded
CRB
Seeded
Figueirense
Seeded
Azuriz
Seeded
Nova Iguaçu
Seeded
Lagarto
Seeded
Tuna Luso
Seeded
Tocantinópolis
Seeded
Vila Nova
Seeded
Avai
Seeded
Porto Vitória
Seeded
Capital
Seeded
Manaus FC
Seeded
Operario-PR
Seeded
Rio Branco ES
Seeded
Athletic Club
Seeded
Cuiaba
Seeded
Volta Redonda
Seeded
Manauara
Seeded
AO Itabaiana
Seeded
America Mineiro
Seeded
Trem
Seeded
Fluminense PI
Seeded
Portuguesa RJ
Seeded
Maracanã
Seeded
Sport Recife
Seeded
Santa Cruz
Seeded
Sousa
Seeded
Juventude
Seeded
Boavista SC2
Maringá3
Joinville1
CSA0
America-RN3
GAS0
Fortaleza EC4
Maguary PE3
Castanhal15
Guarani Campinas13
On penalties
Juazeirense11
Capital Brasilia13
On penalties
Atletico Goianiense1
Primavera MG0
Novorizontino4
Nacional AM0
Madureira1
ABC0
Londrina1
Penedense0
Retrô1
Uberlandia2
São Luiz0
Maranhão1
Tombense14
Oratório12
On penalties
Anápolis3
Cianorte1
Imperatriz0
Amazonas3
Ceilândia11
Jacuipense14
On penalties
Águia de Marabá2
Independência0
ASA1
Operario Ferroviario2
São Bernardo2
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Caxias0
Guarany de Bagé1
Gama24
Goias25
On penalties
Ypiranga-RS2
Ji-Paraná0
Mixto14
Botafogo PB13
On penalties
Ceara2
Primavera SP1
CEOV Operário11
Porto Velho13
On penalties
Portuguesa5
Altos1
CRB6
Porto BA0
Figueirense1
Azuriz0
Nova Iguaçu14
Lagarto13
On penalties
Tuna Luso4
Tocantinópolis1
Velo Clube02
Vila Nova04
On penalties
Avai3
Porto Vitória0
Capital14
Manaus FC15
On penalties
Betim0
Operario-PR2
Rio Branco ES15
Athletic Club16
On penalties
Santa Catarina15
Cuiaba14
On penalties
Ivinhema2
Volta Redonda4
Manauara3
AO Itabaiana1
America Mineiro14
Tirol/CEFAT13
On penalties
Trem03
Fluminense PI04
On penalties
Portuguesa RJ1
Maracanã0
Desportiva ES03
Sport Recife04
On penalties
Santa Cruz02
Sousa04
On penalties
Juventude5
Guaporé0
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Ponte Preta
Seeded
Confiança
Seeded
Paysandu
Seeded
Barra
Seeded
Portuguesa14
Avai11
On penalties
Joinville0
São Bernardo1
Ponte Preta1
Guarany de Bagé0
Maringá3
Uberlandia2
Athletic Club2
Ypiranga-RS0
Manauara0
Fortaleza EC1
Volta Redonda05
America-RN03
On penalties
Goias3
Fluminense PI0
Confiança2
Tombense0
Castanhal0
Nova Iguaçu4
Santa Catarina0
Jacuipense1
Porto Velho0
Atletico Goianiense1
Manaus FC04
Londrina05
On penalties
Paysandu3
Portuguesa RJ1
Madureira0
Águia de Marabá1
Vila Nova15
Operario Ferroviario14
On penalties
Maranhão0
Ceara1
Operario-PR2
Capital Brasilia0
Sousa0
CRB2
Amazonas0
Figueirense1
Mixto0
Novorizontino3
Barra04
America Mineiro03
On penalties
Sport Recife15
Anápolis13
On penalties
Tuna Luso11
Juventude14
On penalties
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Nova Iguaçu0
Fortaleza EC1
São Bernardo02
Ceara03
On penalties
Londrina0
Operario-PR1
Sport Recife1
Athletic Club3
Portuguesa2
Paysandu3
Vila Nova03
Confiança05
On penalties
Atletico Goianiense1
Ponte Preta0
CRB1
Figueirense0
Jacuipense05
Novorizontino04
On penalties
Maringá0
Goias1
Juventude3
Águia de Marabá0
Volta Redonda01
Barra03
On penalties
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Palmeiras-
Vasco DA Gama-
01/11/2026
Palmeiras-
Vasco DA Gama-
01/11/2026

About the Gremio vs Atletico-MG forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Do Brasil

More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.