Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque Prediction

Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta·Carlos Betancur 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.37
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Atletico-MG Rest
3 days
Atletico Torque Rest
5 days

Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque: result, form and history

Atletico-MG beat Atletico Torque 3-0 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 14 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atletico-MG had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Atletico Torque.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.37
X
18%4.45
2
11%8.90
Double Chance
1X
89%1.07
X2
29%2.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.25
No
58%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 0.79 = 2.52
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
45%2.01
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.30
Under 2.5
55%1.81
Under 3.5
75%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
57%1.51
Over 9.5
45%1.89
Over 10.5
34%2.43
Under 8.5
43%2.35
Under 9.5
55%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.33
Over 4.5
45%1.67
Under 3.5
36%3.15
Under 4.5
55%2.10

Match Events

37'Reinier Jesus CarvalhoAssist: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
42'Bernard AnĂ­cio Caldeira DuarteAssist: Reinier Jesus Carvalho
46'Pablo SilesFoul
57'Vitor Fernandes Chaves TeixeiraFoul
63'Reinier Jesus Carvalho INThiago Borbas out
63'Victor Hugo Gomes Silva INIgor Gomes out
77'Bernard AnĂ­cio Caldeira Duarte INMamady Cisse out
80'Franco Pizzichillo INEzequiel Busquets out
80'Pablo Siles INDiogo Guzmán out
80'Thiago BorbasAssist: Renan Lodi
81'E. ObregĂłn INLuka Andrade out
85'Tomás Cuello INAlan Minda out
85'Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira INVitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza out
88'SalomĂłn RodrĂ­guez INAlexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero out
90+2'Luka AndradeFoul

Lineups

Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1Coach: E. DomĂ­nguez
Atletico Torque
5-4-1Coach: Marcelo Méndez
Avg rating7.37
Avg rating6.02
Gabriel Delfim6.71G. Delfim
A. Franco7.421A. Franco
VitĂŁo7.440VitĂŁo
Lyanco8.013Lyanco
Renan Lodi8.16R. Lodi
Maycon7.18Maycon
K. Castaño7.215K. Castaño
T. Cuello6.728T. Cuello
Victor Hugo7.730V. Hugo
Bernard8.211Bernard
Reinier8.619Reinier
F. Torgnascioli5.91F. Torgnascioli
E. AgĂĽero6.217E. AgĂĽero
G. Kagelmacher6.024G. Kagelmacher
K. Silva5.73K. Silva
B. Gutierrez6.62B. Gutierrez
F. Silvera6.326F. Silvera
F. Pizzichillo5.85F. Pizzichillo
P. Siles5.48P. Siles
G. Montes6.320G. Montes
E. ObregĂłn5.610E. ObregĂłn
S. RodrĂ­guez6.19S. RodrĂ­guez

Atletico-MG Substitutes

23A. Preciado
36K. Pascini
92Dudu
17Igor Gomes63'for Victor Hugo Gomes Silva6.9
3Léo Duarte
18T. Borbas63'for Reinier Jesus Carvalho80'7.8
39Mamady Cisse77'for Bernard AnĂ­cio Caldeira Duarte6.8
14Vitor Hugo85'for Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira7.0
5Alexsander
27A. Minda85'for Tomás Cuello6.5
2Natanael
31Robert

Atletico Torque Substitutes

32S. Cáceres
23L. Duré
19D. Guzmán80'for Pablo Siles5.9
18R. Lecchini
16ignacio molina
21N. Perez
30J. Quintana
13G. RodrĂ­guez
27J. Tarán
11N. da Silva88'for SalomĂłn RodrĂ­guez6.4
15E. Busquets80'for Franco Pizzichillo5.9
7Luka Andrade81'for E. ObregĂłn90+2'6.2

Match Stats

Atletico-MGAtletico Torque
65%Ball Possession35%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
8Fouls7
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
666Total Passes343
611Passes Accurate265
7Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
1770Elo Rating 1665
1.43Attack 0.93
2.01Defense 1.68
59%Hit Rate 44%
14.8Shots per Game 16.5
6.5Shots on Target 4.9
6.3Corners per Game 6.3
1.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Carlos Betancur168 matches

5.97Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Betancur5.97
Other referees5.72

5.97 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.72).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG63128:6+210WWDLW
2CiencianoCienciano62225:7-28DLLWW
3JuventudJuventud614110:7+37DDDWL
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello62136:9-37LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG68:610
2CiencianoCienciano65:78
3JuventudJuventud610:77
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello66:97

Group F

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque641111:5+613DWWLW
2GremioGremio63218:3+511DWWDW
3Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra61234:10-65DLLWL
4PalestinoPalestino60331:6-53DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque611:513
2GremioGremio68:311
3Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra64:105
4PalestinoPalestino61:63
Promotion

About the Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.7 out of 10 by our context model. Atletico-MG and Atletico Torque have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.