Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.42
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Atletico-MG Rest
14 days
RB Bragantino Rest
13 days
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino: the result in context
Atletico-MG beat RB Bragantino 1-0 in the Serie A on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.10
X27%3.40
226%3.41
Double Chance
1X74%1.29
X253%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.65
No44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 0.98 = 2.69
Over 1.576%1.25
Over 2.553%1.85
Over 3.531%3.05
Under 1.524%3.70
Under 2.547%1.97
Under 3.569%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.5 = 10.4
Over 8.565%1.33
Over 9.554%1.59
Over 10.544%1.95
Under 8.535%2.88
Under 9.546%2.21
Under 10.556%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.44
Over 4.544%1.88
Under 3.536%2.69
Under 4.556%1.83
Match Events
6'Alix Vinicius INEduardo Santos out
18'Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
23'Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza INLéo Duarte out
45'Fábio Silva de Freitas INIgnacio Sosa Ospital out
45'Agustin Sant Anna INHenry Mosquera out
57'Reinier Jesus Carvalho INMateo Cassierra out
57'Mamady Cisse INVictor Hugo Gomes Silva out
68'Wallace Yan INLucas Henrique Barbosa out
72'Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte INAlexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa out
76'Eric Ramires INJose Herrera out
76'Eduardo Sasha INIsidro Pitta out
84'Ignacio Sosa OspitalFoul
90+3'Mateo Cassierra INIgor Gomes out
90+6'Frederico Rodrigues de Paula SantosFoul
Lineups
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
4-1-4-1Coach: Vagner ManciniAvg ratingAvg rating
1G. Delfim
2Natanael
13Lyanco
14V. Hugo
6R. Lodi
39M. Cisse
8Maycon
28T. Cuello
7Fred
11Bernard
19Reinier
18T. Volpi
23A. Sant'Anna
2G. Rodríguez
16G. Marques
29J. Capixaba
4Alix
47Wallace
7E. Ramires
5Fabinho
11Fernando
8E. SashaAtletico-MG Substitutes
30Victor Hugo57'for Mamady Cisse
3Léo Duarte23'for Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
5Alexsander72'for Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
34Samuel Lima Barros
92Dudu
31Robert
48Gutte
25T. Pérez
17Igor Gomes90+3'replaced by Mateo Cassierra
38Índio
9M. Cassierra57'for Reinier Jesus Carvalho90+3'for Igor Gomes
29Caua
RB Bragantino Substitutes
3Eduardo Santos6'for Alix Vinicius
6Gabriel
32J. Herrera76'for Eric Ramires
21Lucas Barbosa68'for Wallace Yan
35Matheus Fernandes
30Henry Mosquera45'for Agustin Sant Anna
9I. Pitta76'for Eduardo Sasha
15I. Sosa45'for Fábio Silva de Freitas84'
12Vanderlan
17Vinicius
19Bruninho
1Cleiton
Match Stats
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino 40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots23
3Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box10
0Blocked Shots7
16Fouls9
3Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves2
321Total Passes477
253Passes Accurate408
9Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino1770Elo Rating 1683
1.43Attack 1.52
2.01Defense 1.63
59%Hit Rate 23%
14.8Shots per Game 21.2
6.5Shots on Target 7.5
6.3Corners per Game 6.9
1.9Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico-MG- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RB Bragantino- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico-MG5Wins · 50%Draws330%
RB Bragantino2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
20/08/2026Atletico-MGRB Bragantino22
13/08/2026RB BragantinoAtletico-MG01
04/02/2026RB BragantinoAtletico-MG10
16/11/2025RB BragantinoAtletico-MG20
03/08/2025Atletico-MGRB Bragantino21
22/09/2024Atletico-MGRB Bragantino30
12/06/2024RB BragantinoAtletico-MG12
27/10/2023RB BragantinoAtletico-MG12
10/06/2023Atletico-MGRB Bragantino11
07/09/2022Atletico-MGRB Bragantino11
Recent Form
Atletico-MG4W4D2L
19/09/2026Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-scAtletico-MG
SantosAtletico-MG
FluminenseSantosAtletico-MG
Sao PauloAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
CruzeiroAtletico-MG
VitoriaCruzeiroAtletico-MG
InternacionalAtletico-MGAtletico-MGRB Bragantino
Atletico-MGChapecoense-sc11
D17/09/2026Atletico-MGSantos3412
W12/09/2026Atletico-MGFluminense31
W10/09/2026SantosAtletico-MG20
L05/09/2026Sao PauloAtletico-MG20
L02/09/2026Atletico-MGCruzeiro21
W29/08/2026Atletico-MGVitoria21
W26/08/2026CruzeiroAtletico-MG11
D22/08/2026InternacionalAtletico-MG00
D20/08/2026Atletico-MGRB Bragantino22
DRB Bragantino2W3D5L
20/09/2026
FlamengoRB Bragantino
BotafogoRB BragantinoRB Bragantino
BahiaSao PauloRB BragantinoRB Bragantino
GremioAtletico-MGRB Bragantino
Atletico ParanaenseRB BragantinoRB BragantinoAtletico-MGRB Bragantino
CorinthiansRB Bragantino
Sporting Cristal
FlamengoRB Bragantino21
L13/09/2026BotafogoRB Bragantino11
D05/09/2026RB BragantinoBahia23
L30/08/2026Sao PauloRB Bragantino21
L23/08/2026RB BragantinoGremio10
W20/08/2026Atletico-MGRB Bragantino22
D15/08/2026Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino11
D13/08/2026RB BragantinoAtletico-MG01
L09/08/2026RB BragantinoCorinthians02
L30/07/2026RB BragantinoSporting Cristal10
WReferee Profile
4.59Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.59 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).
Cards come from 54 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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About the Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico-MG and RB Bragantino in the Serie A table
Atletico-MG and RB Bragantino are close in the Serie A table, 7th and 9th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico-MG 44-38, RB Bragantino 42-38. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.