Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino Prediction

Arena da Baixada, Curitiba·Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.92
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Atletico Paranaense Rest
6 days
RB Bragantino Rest
2 days

Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino: the result in context

Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 15 Aug 2026. Atletico Paranaense had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for RB Bragantino.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 8.9 a game to 6.9 for RB Bragantino.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.00
X
31%3.25
2
28%3.88
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
59%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.92
No
40%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.2 = 2.64
Over 1.5
75%1.37
Over 2.5
54%2.19
Over 3.5
32%4.00
Under 1.5
25%2.92
Under 2.5
46%1.67
Under 3.5
68%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.5
51%1.47
Over 9.5
44%1.80
Over 10.5
32%2.29
Under 8.5
49%2.43
Under 9.5
56%1.91
Under 10.5
68%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.4 = 3.7
Over 3.5
47%1.28
Over 4.5
27%1.49
Under 3.5
53%3.45
Under 4.5
73%2.47

Match Events

61'Leozinho INK. A. Calderon Vargas out
67'Pedro HenriqueAssist: A. Sant'Anna
75'K. A. Calderon VargasAssist: K. Viveros
76'Matheus Fernandes INEric Ramires out
76'Gabriel INFabinho out
76'J. Herrera INEduardo Sasha out
77'Joao Cruz INDudu Kogitzki out
78'Eduardo SashaUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'Vinicinho INYuri Alves out
90' INB. Zapelli out
90+1'Gilberto INJ. Rivaldo out

Lineups

Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Joao Correia
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Coach: Mancini Vagner
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.84
SantosC6.323Santos
Gastón Benavídez7.029G. Benavídez
Juan Felipe Aguirre6.733J. Felipe Aguirre
Arthur Dias6.64A. Dias
Gilberto6.912Gilberto
Jádson6.916Jádson
Luiz Gustavo6.614L. Gustavo
Steven Mendoza6.97S. Mendoza
Leozinho6.221Leozinho
João Cruz6.28J. Cruz
Kevin Viveros6.39K. Viveros
Tiago Volpi7.918T. Volpi
Agustin Sant Anna6.923A. Sant Anna
Pedro Henrique7.714P. Henrique
Gustavo Marques6.916G. Marques
Juninho Capixaba6.629J. Capixaba
Matheus FernandesC6.635M. Fernandes
Gabriel Girotto6.76G. Girotto
José Herrera6.532J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa6.921L. Barbosa
Vinicinho6.217Vinicinho
Isidro Pitta6.39I. Pitta

Atletico Paranaense Substitutes

1Mycael
25Dantas
2Gilberto Junior
3Léo
5Felipinho
18Kerwin Vargas61'for Leozinho75'
53Dudu77'replaced by Joao Cruz
10Bruno Zapelli90'
47Chiqueti
27Juan Portilla
70Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
19Jorge Rivaldo90+1'for Gilberto

RB Bragantino Substitutes

1Cleiton
4Alix Vinicius
51Cauê Nascimento
2Guzmán Rodríguez
3Eduardo Santos
34José Andrés Hurtado
7Eric Ramires76'for Matheus Fernandes
41Yuri Alves de Aquino88'for Vinicinho
22Gustavo Neves
15Ignacio Sosa
5Fabinho76'for Gabriel
8Eduardo Sasha76'for J. Herrera78'

Match Stats

Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino
50%Ball Possession50%
8Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots16
7Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal9
17Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
7Fouls8
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves6
459Total Passes460
398Passes Accurate383
87%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
1727Elo Rating 1683
1.66Attack 1.52
1.61Defense 1.63
34%Hit Rate 23%
17.0Shots per Game 21.2
5.4Shots on Target 7.5
8.9Corners per Game 6.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino5Wins · 50%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
21
Serie A25/02/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
11
Serie A06/12/2024
Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino
12
Copa Do Brasil08/08/2024
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
23
Copa Do Brasil01/08/2024
Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino
20
Serie A21/07/2024
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
10
Serie A08/10/2023
Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino
11
Serie A20/05/2023
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
20
Serie A22/10/2022
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
42
Serie A25/06/2022
Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino
42

Recent Form

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
5W2D3L
09/08/2026
SantosAtletico Paranaense
02
W
07/08/2026
VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
40
L
04/08/2026
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria
20
W
31/07/2026
CorinthiansAtletico Paranaense
00
D
25/07/2026
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
20
W
23/07/2026
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
12
W
11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
21
L
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
L
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
W
18/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo
11
D
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
5W3D2L
13/08/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
01
L
09/08/2026
RB BragantinoCorinthians
02
L
30/07/2026
RB BragantinoSporting Cristal
10
W
26/07/2026
RB BragantinoCoritiba
00
D
23/07/2026
Sporting CristalRB Bragantino
00
D
18/07/2026
FluminenseRB Bragantino
11
D
11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
21
W
31/05/2026
RB BragantinoInternacional
31
W
28/05/2026
RB BragantinoCarabobo FC
20
W
25/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaRB Bragantino
03
W

Referee Profile

Alex Gomes Stefano137 matches

5.16Cards per match
4.86Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alex Gomes Stefano5.16
Other referees5.26

5.16 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo32217464:27+3770WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWWLW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG321481044:38+650LWWDW
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
17GremioGremio328101435:44-934WLDDD
18CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3264:2770
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3244:3850
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
17GremioGremio3235:4434
18CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense are 4th and RB Bragantino 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Paranaense 50-38, RB Bragantino 42-38. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.