Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 23
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras: the result in context
Fluminense beat Palmeiras 3-2 in the Serie A on 15 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Palmeiras had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Fluminense.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Fluminense
Avg ratingAvg rating
1Fábio
23Guga
21I. Rabello
44Jemmes
6Renê
35Hércules
8Martinelli
17A. Canobbio
C10Ganso
30Y. Soteldo
7Hulk
1C. Miguel
4A. Giay
26Murilo
C15G. Gómez
22J. Piquerez
40Allan
8A. Pereira
17M. Freitas
11J. Arias
42J. Manuel López
9V. RoqueFluminense Substitutes
Palmeiras Substitutes
Match Stats
FluminensePalmeiras Team Comparison
FluminensePalmeirasAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Fluminense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Fluminense4Wins · 40%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
26/02/2026PalmeirasFluminense23/11/2025PalmeirasFluminense24/07/2025FluminensePalmeiras08/12/2024PalmeirasFluminense25/07/2024FluminensePalmeiras03/12/2023PalmeirasFluminense06/08/2023FluminensePalmeiras28/08/2022FluminensePalmeiras08/05/2022PalmeirasFluminense14/11/2021FluminensePalmeirasRecent Form
FluminenseFluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
BotafogoFluminenseFluminense
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaFluminenseFluminense
Bahia
GremioFluminenseFluminense
RB BragantinoFluminenseBahia
CruzeiroFluminenseFluminense
Deportivo La GuairaPalmeirasPalmeiras
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
Internacional
Fortaleza ECPalmeirasPalmeirasFortaleza EC
VitoriaPalmeirasPalmeiras
Atletico-MG
CoritibaPalmeirasPalmeiras
Chapecoense-scPalmeiras
Junior
FlamengoPalmeirasReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 238 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Fluminense vs Palmeiras forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fluminense and Palmeiras in the Serie A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Palmeiras are 2nd in the Serie A, 16 points ahead of Fluminense in 4th. League goal record so far: Fluminense 52-42, Palmeiras 56-22. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.