Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16DerbyCupKnockout
Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil 01/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
2 days
Fluminense Rest
2 days
Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense: the result in context
Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense drew 0-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%3.12
X29%3.23
231%2.30
Double Chance
1X69%1.58
X260%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.91
No52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.28 = 2.47
Over 1.570%1.40
Over 2.538%2.25
Over 3.520%4.20
Under 1.530%2.88
Under 2.562%1.63
Under 3.580%1.22
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
28'L. Acosta
30'A. Gomez
46'Ramon Rique INJ. Rojas out
53'A. Canobbio
68'A. Canobbio INK. Serna out
69'L. Acosta INNonato out
69'J. Savarino INY. Soteldo out
69'David INC. Spinelli out
69'Jair INCauan Barros out
76'Adson INN. Moreira out
82'John Kennedy INHulk out
88'Hercules
90'A. Gomez INJ. Rodriguez out
90+4'C. Spinelli
Lineups
Vasco DA GamaFluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Zubeldia LuisAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Jardim
96P. Henrique
46C. Cuesta
30R. Renan
66Cuiabano
C8Jair
3T. Tchê
28Adson
83R. Rique
11A. Gómez
7David
C1Fábio
23Guga
4Ignácio
21I. Rabello
13G. Arana
35Hércules
8Martinelli
17A. Canobbio
32L. Acosta
11J. Savarino
9J. KennedyVasco DA Gama Substitutes
10Johan Rojas46'for Ramon Rique
88Cauan Barros69'for Jair
77Claudio Spinelli69'for David90+4'
17Nuno Moreira76'for Adson
2Puma Rodríguez90'for A. Gomez
13Daniel Fuzato
4Alan Saldivia
6Lucas Piton
43Lucas Freitas
18Marino Hinestroza
60João Vitor Silva
20Brenner
Fluminense Substitutes
90Kevin Serna68'for A. Canobbio
16Nonato69'for L. Acosta
30Yeferson Soteldo69'for J. Savarino
7Hulk82'for John Kennedy
27Marcelo Pitaluga
6Renê
2Samuel Xavier
94Otávio
10Ganso
25Alisson
28Riquelme Felipe
14Germán Cano
Match Stats
Vasco DA GamaFluminense 51%Ball Possession49%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
7Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
20Fouls16
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
427Total Passes429
350Passes Accurate355
82%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
Vasco DA GamaFluminense1731Elo Rating 1742
0.75Attack 1.26
1.82Defense 1.99
34%Hit Rate 41%
13.2Shots per Game 10.0
3.3Shots on Target 3.5
5.4Corners per Game 3.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vasco DA Gama- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Fluminense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Vasco DA Gama4Wins · 40%Draws110%
Fluminense5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
19/03/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense32
01/03/2026FluminenseVasco DA Gama11
22/02/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense01
15/12/2025FluminenseVasco DA Gama3140
12/12/2025Vasco DA GamaFluminense21
21/10/2025Vasco DA GamaFluminense20
24/05/2025FluminenseVasco DA Gama21
06/02/2025Vasco DA GamaFluminense12
11/08/2024Vasco DA GamaFluminense20
20/04/2024FluminenseVasco DA Gama21
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama2W3D5L
30/07/2026Vasco DA Gama
Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
MirassolIndependiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
Vasco DA GamaIndependiente Medellin10
W26/07/2026Vasco DA GamaMirassol11
D23/07/2026Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama22
D17/07/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama10
L31/05/2026Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MG01
L28/05/2026Vasco DA Gama
Barracas Central
Vasco DA GamaBarracas Central30
W25/05/2026Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA GamaRB Bragantino03
L21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama31
L16/05/2026
InternacionalVasco DA Gama
InternacionalVasco DA Gama41
L14/05/2026Vasco DA Gama
Paysandu
Vasco DA GamaPaysandu22
DFluminense5W4D1L
30/07/2026Fluminense
Bahia
GremioFluminenseFluminenseRB Bragantino
FluminenseBahia00
D26/07/2026GremioFluminense11
D18/07/2026FluminenseRB Bragantino11
D12/07/2026FluminenseBahia
FluminenseBahia20
W01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D28/05/2026Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira31
W24/05/2026MirassolFluminense
MirassolFluminense10
L20/05/2026Fluminense
Bolívar
FluminenseBolívar21
W17/05/2026Fluminense
Sao Paulo
FluminenseSao Paulo21
W13/05/2026Fluminense
Operario-PR
FluminenseOperario-PR21
WReferee Profile
4.76Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).
Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
Botafogo
Chapecoense-scSao PauloGremio
CorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahia
RemoCruzeiro
Santos
CoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassol
FlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MG
Palmeiras
Atletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
ConfiançaPaysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FCOperario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePalmeiras-Vasco DA Gama-Explore more predictions
This match
More Copa Do Brasil matches
About the Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense forecast
As a derby, this Copa Do Brasil meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.