Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16CupKnockout
Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil 06/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days
Chapecoense-sc Rest
3 days
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc: the result in context
Cruzeiro beat Chapecoense-sc 2-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 5 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cruzeiro had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Chapecoense-sc.
Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game. Referee Matheus Delgado Candançan averages 4.59 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
183%1.33
X15%4.64
22%9.90
Double Chance
1X98%1.05
X217%3.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.19
No52%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.31 + 0.87 = 3.18
Over 1.586%1.25
Over 2.556%1.83
Over 3.538%3.06
Under 1.514%3.73
Under 2.544%1.97
Under 3.562%1.36
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
20'Camilo Reijers
20'Anderson
33'MarcinhoMisses next match
45+1'Matheus Henrique
45+2'Eduardo Doma
45+7'Max Alves
46'Rubens Ricoldi INEverton out
61'Matheus Henrique INL. Romero out
62'Fernando INTulio out
69'Kenji INFelipe Morais out
69'K. Arroyo INMarquinhos out
69'Bruno Tubarao INEnio out
69'Giovanni Augusto INBruno Matias out
71'G. Rojas
82'Marcinho INRodrigo out
86'Kaio Jorge(Penalty)
87'Kaio Jorge
87'G. Rojas INL. Villalba out
87'Kaio Jorge INBruno Rodrigues out
Lineups
CruzeiroChapecoense-sc
4-3-3Coach: Lacerda RafaelAvg ratingAvg rating
81O. Costa
C12W. Furtado
15F. Bruno
43J. Marcelo
27G. Rojas
7M. Henrique
8Gerson
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
70K. Kenji
19K. Jorge
98Anderson
20B. Tubarão
15R. Thyere
C3E. Doma
91B. Pacheco
22Max
27Camilo
12Fernando
70R. Tadeu
10G. Augusto
7MarcinhoCruzeiro Substitutes
29Lucas Romero61'for Matheus Henrique
11Marquinhos69'for K. Arroyo
38Felipe Morais69'for Kenji
25Lucas Villalba87'for G. Rojas
9Bruno Rodrigues87'for Kaio Jorge
51Vitor Lamounier Rego
23Fagner
34Jonathan Jesus
2Kauã Moraes
16Lucas Silva
57Rayan Lelis
5Zé Lucas
Chapecoense-sc Substitutes
26Everton46'for Rubens Ricoldi
9Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira62'for Fernando
97Ênio69'for Bruno Tubarao
16Bruno Matias69'for Giovanni Augusto
39Rodrigo Endrio82'for Marcinho
30Matheus
21Kauan
19David Antunes
17Vinicius Balieiro
18Neto Pessoa
50Kassio
29Franco Rossi
Match Stats
CruzeiroChapecoense-sc 64%Ball Possession36%
12Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
29Total Shots2
11Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box0
14Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots1
10Fouls12
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves9
499Total Passes292
448Passes Accurate237
90%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
CruzeiroChapecoense-sc1781Elo Rating 1508
2.33Attack 0.54
1.62Defense 0.59
81%Hit Rate 0%
15.9Shots per Game 12.4
7.2Shots on Target 2.8
6.7Corners per Game 4.5
1.8Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+273 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Chapecoense-sc- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Cruzeiro1Wins · 33%Draws267%
Chapecoense-sc0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3
Previous meetings
02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
13/08/2022CruzeiroChapecoense-sc11
01/05/2022Chapecoense-scCruzeiro02
Recent Form
Cruzeiro5W4D1L
02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro
CoritibaCruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
InternacionalCruzeiro
Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
D31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
W26/07/2026CruzeiroBotafogo01
L23/07/2026InternacionalCruzeiro12
W12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
W04/07/2026Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
W01/06/2026Cruzeiro
Fluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D29/05/2026Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
CruzeiroBarcelona SC40
W20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
D17/05/2026
PalmeirasCruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro11
DChapecoense-sc1W3D6L
02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro
SantosChapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
Flamengo
BahiaChapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
Avai
Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
D25/07/2026SantosChapecoense-sc22
D23/07/2026Chapecoense-scFlamengo04
L18/07/2026BahiaChapecoense-sc20
L07/06/2026Chapecoense-scAvai4350
L04/06/2026AvaiChapecoense-sc
AvaiChapecoense-sc30
L31/05/2026PalmeirasChapecoense-sc
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc10
L28/05/2026Chapecoense-sc
Novorizontino
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino22
D21/05/2026NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc02
W17/05/2026Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-scRemo23
LReferee Profile
4.59Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.59 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
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Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13BotafogoChapecoense-sc
Sao PauloGremio
Corinthians
Vasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacional
RB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengo
Vitoria
Atletico-MGPalmeiras
Atletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico GoianienseNovorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila NovaAvai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePalmeiras-Vasco DA Gama-Explore more predictions
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About the Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.