Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia: the result in context
Chapecoense-sc and Bahia drew 3-3 in the Serie A on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Bahia have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
98Anderson
5Heitor
21Kauan
C3E. Doma
12Fernando
88Y. Felipe
27Camilo
16B. Matias
94K. Ramírez
10G. Augusto
7Marcinho
1Ronaldo
31R. Gómez
33D. Duarte
21S. Ramos Mingo
C5N. Acevedo
57K. Furquim
6J. Lucas
46L. Juba
11R. Nestor
9A. Véliz
16E. PulgaChapecoense-sc Substitutes
Bahia Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- No tendency data available
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.57 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.85).
Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD | |
| 3 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW | |
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW | |
| 5 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW | |
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW | |
| 7 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL | |
| 8 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW | |
| 9 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL | |
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL | |
| 11 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL | |
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL | |
| 13 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW | |
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL | |
| 15 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW | |
| 16 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL | |
| 17 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD | |
| 18 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL | |
| 19 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL | |
| 20 | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 64:27 | 70 | |
| 2 | 32 | 56:22 | 69 | |
| 3 | 32 | 51:46 | 54 | |
| 4 | 32 | 50:38 | 54 | |
| 5 | 32 | 50:41 | 51 | |
| 6 | 32 | 44:38 | 50 | |
| 7 | 32 | 45:40 | 50 | |
| 8 | 32 | 49:47 | 46 | |
| 9 | 32 | 37:36 | 43 | |
| 10 | 32 | 39:38 | 41 | |
| 11 | 32 | 44:51 | 39 | |
| 12 | 32 | 38:50 | 39 | |
| 13 | 31 | 39:45 | 38 | |
| 14 | 32 | 35:46 | 38 | |
| 15 | 32 | 37:45 | 37 | |
| 16 | 32 | 36:40 | 35 | |
| 17 | 32 | 35:44 | 34 | |
| 18 | 32 | 34:42 | 33 | |
| 19 | 32 | 34:50 | 26 | |
| 20 | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chapecoense-sc and Bahia in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Bahia are 7th and Chapecoense-sc 20th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Chapecoense-sc 32-63, Bahia 45-40. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


