Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Coritiba
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Chapecoense-sc
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba·Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Coritiba Rest
8 days
Chapecoense-sc Rest
3 days

Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc: result, form and history

Coritiba beat Chapecoense-sc 2-1 in the Serie A on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.62
X
25%3.77
2
15%5.42
Double Chance
1X
85%1.15
X2
40%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.90
No
47%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.89 = 2.48
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.95
Over 3.5
27%3.35
Under 1.5
29%3.45
Under 2.5
52%1.85
Under 3.5
73%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.1 = 10.5
Over 8.5
66%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.65
Over 10.5
37%2.00
Under 8.5
34%2.79
Under 9.5
47%2.10
Under 10.5
63%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
59%1.37
Over 4.5
38%1.79
Under 3.5
41%2.63
Under 4.5
62%1.90

Match Events

31'Tiago Coser
32'Bruno MeloFoul
37'Josue INB. Ocampo out
38'Max Alves INTulio out
44'Goal Disallowed - offsideJacy
46'Bruno Melo INFelipe Jonatan out
48'B. Ocampo INVini Paulista out
48'Jacy INRodrigo Moledo out
56'Rubens RicoldiFoul
62'Marcinho INK. Ramirez out
62'Rubens Ricoldi INF. Rossi out
77'Fernando INBruno Pacheco out
78'Camilo Reijers INEnio out
82'Pedro RochaAssist: J. Lavega
84'Pedro Rocha INMaicon out
90+5'TulioAssist: K. Ramirez

Lineups

Coritiba
4-2-3-1Coach: Seabra Fernando
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Coach: Lacerda Rafael
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.63
Pedro Morisco6.31P. Morisco
Tinga6.92Tinga
Tiago Cóser7.623T. Cóser
Jacy MaranhãoC7.055J. Maranhão
Bruno Melo6.626B. Melo
Sebastian Gomez6.919S. Gomez
Thiago Santos7.521T. Santos
Joaquín Lavega6.67J. Lavega
Josué7.210Josué
Breno Lopes7.277B. Lopes
Pedro Rocha7.232P. Rocha
Anderson6.298Anderson
Everton6.326Everton
Eduardo DomaC6.63E. Doma
Kauan6.221Kauan
Fernando6.912Fernando
Camilo6.927Camilo
Bruno Matias7.016B. Matias
Rubens Tadeu6.270R. Tadeu
Max6.322Max
Marcinho6.37Marcinho
Giovanni Augusto7.010G. Augusto

Coritiba Substitutes

17Brian Ocampo37'for Josue48'for Vini Paulista6.5
6Felipe Jonatan46'for Bruno Melo6.3
4Rodrigo Moledo48'for Jacy6.9
36Vini Paulista48'replaced by B. Ocampo6.3
3Maicon84'for Pedro Rocha6.5
13Keiller
44João Pedro Chermont
50Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
18Paulo Roberto
28Fabinho
20Keno
99Rodrigo Rodrigues

Chapecoense-sc Substitutes

9Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira38'for Max Alves90+5'7.2
94Kevin Ramírez62'for Marcinho6.9
29Franco Rossi62'for Rubens Ricoldi6.7
91Bruno Pacheco77'for Fernando6.7
97Ênio78'for Camilo Reijers6.7
30Matheus
15Rafael Thyere
17Vinicius Balieiro
19David Antunes
50Kassio
18Neto Pessoa
39Rodrigo Endrio

Match Stats

CoritibaChapecoense-sc
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box8
6Blocked Shots4
14Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
277Total Passes497
215Passes Accurate424
78%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

CoritibaCoritiba
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
1607Elo Rating 1508
0.65Attack 0.54
0.47Defense 0.59
0%Hit Rate 0%
11.9Shots per Game 12.4
2.6Shots on Target 2.8
5.0Corners per Game 4.5
2.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CoritibaCoritiba
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CoritibaCoritiba2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc1Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie A11/02/2026
Chapecoense-scCoritiba
33
Serie B09/08/2025
CoritibaChapecoense-sc
00
Serie B12/04/2025
Chapecoense-scCoritiba
12
Serie B17/11/2024
Chapecoense-scCoritiba
21
Serie B27/07/2024
CoritibaChapecoense-sc
10

Recent Form

CoritibaCoritiba
2W2D6L
31/07/2026
CoritibaCruzeiro
01
L
26/07/2026
RB BragantinoCoritiba
00
D
23/07/2026
CoritibaPalmeiras
13
L
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
L
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
W
17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
03
W
14/05/2026
CoritibaSantos
02
L
09/05/2026
CoritibaInternacional
22
D
02/05/2026
VitoriaCoritiba
41
L
26/04/2026
GremioCoritiba
10
L
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
1W3D6L
06/08/2026
CruzeiroChapecoense-sc
20
L
02/08/2026
Chapecoense-scCruzeiro
00
D
25/07/2026
SantosChapecoense-sc
22
D
23/07/2026
Chapecoense-scFlamengo
04
L
18/07/2026
BahiaChapecoense-sc
20
L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
L
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
L
31/05/2026
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc
10
L
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
W

Referee Profile

Joao Vitor Gobi85 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Vitor Gobi4.81
Other referees5.06

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo32217464:27+3770WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWLWW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG321481044:38+650LWWDW
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
17GremioGremio328101435:44-934WLDDD
18CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3264:2770
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3244:3850
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
17GremioGremio3235:4434
18CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Coritiba are 12th and Chapecoense-sc 20th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Coritiba 38-50, Chapecoense-sc 32-66. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.