Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction

Flamengo
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Vitoria
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 10/08/2026
FlamengoFlamengo
2-0
Finished
VitoriaVitoria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+10.3%
Flamengo Rest
11 days
Vitoria Rest
2 days

Flamengo vs Vitoria: result, form and history

Flamengo beat Vitoria 2-0 in the Serie A on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Flamengo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Vitoria.

Flamengo have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Flamengo tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.1 for Vitoria.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.25
X
18%5.75
2
16%11.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.05
X2
34%3.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.10
No
47%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.93 = 2.61
Over 1.5
72%1.18
Over 2.5
53%1.62
Over 3.5
32%2.60
Under 1.5
28%4.60
Under 2.5
47%2.25
Under 3.5
68%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
60%1.42
Over 9.5
49%1.73
Over 10.5
37%2.12
Under 8.5
40%2.58
Under 9.5
51%2.00
Under 10.5
63%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
59%1.50
Over 4.5
38%2.04
Under 3.5
41%2.41
Under 4.5
62%1.68

Match Events

14'Erick PulgarAssist: Léo Pereira
44'Zé VitorFoul
46'Erick INDiego Tarzia out
46'Matheuzinho INMarinho out
65'Giorgian de Arrascaeta INLucas Paquetá out
69'Walace INTomás Pochettino out
74'Jorginho INEvertton Araujo out
74'Pedro INBruno Henrique out
74'Samuel Lino INGonzalo Plata out
79'Gonzalo PlataFoul
80'Bruno HenriqueAssist: Jorge Carrascal
80'Renê Sousa INFabrício Santos out
86'Jorge Carrascal INLorran out
90'Zé Vitor INEdenilson out

Lineups

Flamengo
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Vitoria
4-2-3-1Coach: Ventura Jair
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.61
Agustín Rossi6.91A. Rossi
Guillermo Varela6.92G. Varela
Léo Ortiz7.03L. Ortiz
Léo Pereira7.64L. Pereira
Ayrton Lucas7.36A. Lucas
Erick Pulgar8.05E. Pulgar
Jorginho7.321Jorginho
Jorge Carrascal8.715J. Carrascal
Giorgian de ArrascaetaC7.510G. de Arrascaeta
Samuel Lino6.616S. Lino
Pedro6.09Pedro
Lucas ArcanjoC7.01L. Arcanjo
Fabiano Souza6.370F. Souza
Caique Gonçalves7.395C. Gonçalves
Emanuel Brítez6.92E. Brítez
Jamerson6.783Jamerson
Emmanuel Martínez6.96E. Martínez
Walace6.215Walace
Erick6.333Erick
Zé Vitor6.288Z. Vitor
Matheuzinho6.310Matheuzinho
Renê Sousa6.391R. Sousa

Flamengo Substitutes

20Lucas Paquetá65'for Giorgian de Arrascaeta6.9
19Gonzalo Plata74'for Samuel Lino79'6.7
52Evertton Araujo74'for Jorginho6.9
27Bruno Henrique74'for Pedro80'7.9
99Lorran86'for Jorge Carrascal6.5
49Dyogo Alves
42Andrew
77Johnny Goes
13Danilo
22Emerson Royal
8Saúl Ñíguez
64Wallace Yan

Vitoria Substitutes

12Diego Tarzia46'for Erick6.2
7Marinho46'for Matheuzinho7.2
8Tomás Pochettino69'for Walace6.9
23Fabrício Santos80'for Renê Sousa6.5
26Edenilson90'for Zé Vitor
71Yuri Sena
35Alexandre Fintelman
13Ramon
98Mateusinho
11Osvaldo
79Renato Kayzer
41Wendell dos Santos Sacramento

Match Stats

FlamengoVitoria
63%Ball Possession37%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots2
13Fouls8
1Goalkeeper Saves4
669Total Passes387
598Passes Accurate319
89%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

FlamengoFlamengo
VitoriaVitoria
1908Elo Rating 1627
1.13Attack 1.50
2.72Defense 1.69
39%Hit Rate 17%
13.8Shots per Game 12.7
6.1Shots on Target 5.1
7.0Corners per Game 3.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+280 Elo
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FlamengoFlamengo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VitoriaVitoria
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

FlamengoFlamengo5Wins · 72%
Draws114%
VitoriaVitoria1Wins · 14%
3.7Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7

Previous meetings

Copa Do Brasil15/05/2026
VitoriaFlamengo
20
Copa Do Brasil23/04/2026
FlamengoVitoria
21
Serie A11/02/2026
VitoriaFlamengo
12
Serie A26/08/2025
FlamengoVitoria
80
Serie A06/04/2025
VitoriaFlamengo
12
Serie A08/12/2024
FlamengoVitoria
22
Serie A25/07/2024
VitoriaFlamengo
12

Recent Form

FlamengoFlamengo
6W3D1L
30/07/2026
InternacionalFlamengo
11
D
26/07/2026
FlamengoSao Paulo
11
D
23/07/2026
Chapecoense-scFlamengo
04
W
18/07/2026
FlamengoOlimpia
42
W
11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
12
W
08/07/2026
FlamengoLausanne
20
W
03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
22
D
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
W
27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
30
W
24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
03
L
VitoriaVitoria
5W1D4L

Referee Profile

Wilton Pereira Sampaio312 matches

5.06Cards per match
4.84Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wilton Pereira Sampaio5.06
Other referees5.05

5.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.05).

Cards come from 255 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo32217464:27+3770WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWWLW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG321481044:38+650LWWDW
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
17GremioGremio328101435:44-934WLDDD
18CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3264:2770
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3244:3850
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
17GremioGremio3235:4434
18CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
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About the Flamengo vs Vitoria forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Flamengo and Vitoria in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Flamengo are 1st and Vitoria 14th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Flamengo 64-27, Vitoria 35-46. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vitoria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.