Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 26
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG: the result in context
Sao Paulo beat Atletico-MG 2-0 in the Serie A on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee B. Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Sao Paulo
Avg ratingAvg rating
23Rafael
22D. Duarte
5R. Arboleda
35Sabino
19L. Ramon
94Danielzinho
8M. Antônio
18Wendell
37Artur
43G. Santana
10Luciano
1G. Delfim
2Natanael
21A. Franco
28T. Cuello
30V. Hugo
5Alexsander
6R. Lodi
15K. Castaño
19Reinier
11BernardSao Paulo Substitutes
Atletico-MG Substitutes
Match Stats
Sao PauloAtletico-MG Team Comparison
Sao PauloAtletico-MGAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sao Paulo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atletico-MG- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sao Paulo1Wins · 10%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
19/03/2026Atletico-MGSao Paulo25/08/2025Sao PauloAtletico-MG06/04/2025Atletico-MGSao Paulo24/11/2024Sao PauloAtletico-MG
13/09/2024Atletico-MGSao Paulo29/08/2024Sao PauloAtletico-MG12/07/2024Atletico-MGSao Paulo03/12/2023Atletico-MGSao Paulo06/08/2023Sao PauloAtletico-MG02/11/2022Sao PauloAtletico-MGRecent Form
Sao PauloSao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-scSao PauloSao Paulo
BolívarSao Paulo
CoritibaBolívarSao Paulo
GremioSao Paulo
FlamengoSao PauloSao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
RemoSao PauloSao Paulo
Boston RiverAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
CruzeiroAtletico-MG
VitoriaCruzeiroAtletico-MG
InternacionalAtletico-MGAtletico-MGRB BragantinoAtletico-MGGremioRB BragantinoAtletico-MGRemoAtletico-MG
JuventudeAtletico-MGAtletico-MGJuventudeReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).
Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sao Paulo and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG are 7th and Sao Paulo 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sao Paulo 39-39, Atletico-MG 44-38. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.