RB Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction

RB Bragantino
2-3
Finished
HT 2-2
Bahia
M. Lima Barbosa 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.87
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
RB Bragantino Rest
6 days
Bahia Rest
5 days

RB Bragantino vs Bahia: result, form and history

Bahia beat RB Bragantino 3-2 in the Serie A on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. RB Bragantino tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.5 for Bahia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.05
X
28%3.50
2
31%3.50
Double Chance
1X
69%1.29
X2
59%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 0.96 = 2.35
Over 1.5
72%1.27
Over 2.5
48%1.86
Over 3.5
24%3.10
Under 1.5
28%3.60
Under 2.5
52%1.95
Under 3.5
76%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
68%1.36
Over 9.5
54%1.62
Over 10.5
42%2.02
Under 8.5
32%2.80
Under 9.5
46%2.17
Under 10.5
58%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.31
Over 4.5
39%1.62
Under 3.5
41%3.25
Under 4.5
61%2.20

Match Events

14'Lucas Henrique BarbosaAssist: Wallace Yan
34'Luciano(Penalty)
38'Alejo VelizAssist: Rodrigo Nestor
43'Fernando dos Santos PedroDissent
45+1'Ramos MingoOG
50'Erick Luis Conrado CarvalhoAssist: Rodrigo Nestor
51'Erick Luis Conrado CarvalhoFoul
62'LucianoFoul
68'Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho INJean Lucas out
68'erick pulga INAdemir out
68'Jose Herrera INHenry Mosquera out
78'Rodrigo Nestor INMichel Araujo out
78'Nicolas Acevedo INCaio Alexandre out
82'Alejo Veliz INWillian José out
82'Lucas Henrique Barbosa INJhuan Nunes Coelho out
82'José Hurtado Cheme INRyan Augusto out
82'Wallace Yan INVinicius out
90+4'Rodriguinho INGustavo Neves out

Lineups

RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Coach: Vagner Mancini
Bahia
4-3-3Coach: Rogério Ceni
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.73
Tiago Volpi5.618T. Volpi
J. Hurtado6.634J. Hurtado
Alix6.54Alix
Gustavo Marques6.916G. Marques
Juninho Capixaba6.529J. Capixaba
Fabinho6.25Fabinho
Rodriguinho6.820Rodriguinho
J. Herrera6.232J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa8.021L. Barbosa
Wallace7.747Wallace
Fernando6.411Fernando
Ronaldo8.61Ronaldo
Roman Gomez6.231R. Gomez
David Duarte6.633D. Duarte
S. Ramos5.821S. Ramos
Luciano Juba6.946L. Juba
Erick7.314Erick
N. Acevedo6.35N. Acevedo
Rodrigo Nestor8.311R. Nestor
C. Olivera6.399C. Olivera
A. Véliz8.09A. Véliz
Erick Pulga6.516E. Pulga

RB Bragantino Substitutes

1Cleiton
17Vinicius82'for Wallace Yan6.7
52Ryan Tavares82'for José Hurtado Cheme6.1
2Guzmán Rodríguez
14Pedro Henrique
30Henry Mosquera68'for Jose Herrera6.4
35Matheus Fernandes
51Cauê Nascimento Santos
7Eric Ramires
6Gabriel
22Gustavinho90+4'for Rodriguinho
67Jhuan Nunes Coelho82'replaced by Lucas Henrique Barbosa

Bahia Substitutes

66Zé Guilherme
7Ademir68'for erick pulga6.6
8Caio Alexandre78'for Nicolas Acevedo6.0
12Willian José82'for Alejo Veliz6.4
77Ruan Pablo
15M. Araújo78'for Rodrigo Nestor5.9
44Marcos Victor
57Çağatay Yılmaz
4Kanu
6Jean Lucas68'for Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho6.1
17G. Herrera
10Éverton Ribeiro

Match Stats

RB BragantinoBahia
51%Ball Possession49%
10Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots11
10Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box10
12Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls17
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves9
390Total Passes378
326Passes Accurate311
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
BahiaBahia
1683Elo Rating 1706
1.52Attack 0.68
1.63Defense 1.52
23%Hit Rate 37%
21.2Shots per Game 12.1
7.5Shots on Target 3.2
6.9Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BahiaBahia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2Wins · 22%
Draws222%
BahiaBahia5Wins · 56%
3.0Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A18/03/2026
BahiaRB Bragantino
20
Serie A02/11/2025
BahiaRB Bragantino
21
Serie A13/06/2025
RB BragantinoBahia
03
Serie A01/09/2024
RB BragantinoBahia
21
Serie A12/05/2024
BahiaRB Bragantino
10
Serie A20/08/2023
BahiaRB Bragantino
40
Serie A15/04/2023
RB BragantinoBahia
21
Serie A19/09/2021
BahiaRB Bragantino
11
Serie A06/06/2021
RB BragantinoBahia
33

Referee Profile

M. Lima Barbosa90 matches

5.74Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Lima Barbosa5.74
Other referees5.31

5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo32217464:27+3770WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32209356:22+3469WWWWD
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWLWW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense32149950:41+951LLLWW
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG321481044:38+650LWWDW
7BahiaBahia321311845:40+550DLWLL
8SantosSantos3212101049:47+246DWLDW
9Sao PauloSao Paulo321271337:36+143DWWLL
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino321181339:38+141LDWDL
11BotafogoBotafogo321091344:51-739LWDLL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional328111336:40-435WLDWL
17GremioGremio328101435:44-934WLDDD
18CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
19RemoRemo325111634:50-1626LDDDL
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc31491832:63-3121LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3264:2770
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3256:2269
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3250:4151
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3244:3850
7BahiaBahia3245:4050
8SantosSantos3249:4746
9Sao PauloSao Paulo3237:3643
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3239:3841
11BotafogoBotafogo3244:5139
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3236:4035
17GremioGremio3235:4434
18CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
19RemoRemo3234:5026
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3132:6321
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About the RB Bragantino vs Bahia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

RB Bragantino and Bahia in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Bahia are 7th and RB Bragantino 10th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: RB Bragantino 39-38, Bahia 45-40. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.