Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Corinthians
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Chapecoense-sc
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo·W. do Nascimento 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.99
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Corinthians Rest
7 days
Chapecoense-sc Rest
7 days

Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc: the result in context

Chapecoense-sc beat Corinthians 2-1 in the Serie A on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 0.7 goals a game. Corinthians tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.5 for Chapecoense-sc.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.45
X
21%4.45
2
16%7.20
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
37%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.99
No
46%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.9 = 2.58
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.88
Over 3.5
31%3.13
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
46%1.93
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.34
Over 9.5
51%1.61
Over 10.5
39%1.99
Under 8.5
35%2.80
Under 9.5
49%2.13
Under 10.5
61%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.39
Over 4.5
40%1.83
Under 3.5
40%2.80
Under 4.5
60%1.83

Match Events

1'Yago FelipeFoul
2'Matheus BiduAssist: Gustavo Henrique
40'Marcio Antonio de Sousa JuniorAssist: Heitor
45+1'Goal cancelledBreno Bidon
45+4'Tulio Eduardo Silva De OliveiraFoul
57'Giovanni AugustoFoul
61'Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira INYannick Bolasie out
61'Giovanni Augusto INMiguel Carvalho Vianna out
66'Memphis Depay INGui Negão out
66'Allan INJesse Lingard out
73'Kauan FariaTime wasting
74'Yago Felipe INEverton Souza da Cruz out
74'Heitor INBruno Matias out
77'Marcio Antonio de Sousa JuniorAssist: Yannick Bolasie
82'Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior INDavid Antunes da Silva out
84'Rodrigo Garro INPedro Raul out
84'André Carrillo INMatheus Pereira out
90'Kaio César INDieguinho out

Lineups

Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael Lacerda
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.56
Kauê Camargo6.951K. Camargo
Matheuzinho7.12Matheuzinho
João Pedro6.54J. Pedro
Gustavo Henrique7.013G. Henrique
Matheus Bidu7.721M. Bidu
A. Carrillo6.519A. Carrillo
Allan6.329Allan
Kaio César6.637K. César
R. Garro6.18R. Garro
Breno6.77Breno
M. Depay6.310M. Depay
Anderson7.598Anderson
Heitor7.15Heitor
Kauan Faria Gomes6.221K. Faria Gomes
Doma6.63Doma
Fernando5.912Fernando
Yago Felipe6.088Y. Felipe
Camilo6.727Camilo
Marcinho8.67Marcinho
Giovanni Augusto6.110G. Augusto
Garcez5.831Garcez
99T. Eduardo Silva De Oliveira

Corinthians Substitutes

18Pedro Raul84'for Rodrigo Garro6.4
46Hugo
77J. Lingard66'for Allan6.0
40Felipe Longo
80Alex Santana
20P. Milans
23Matheus Pereira84'for André Carrillo6.1
35Charles
56Guilherme Inácio66'for Memphis Depay6.4
61Dieguinho90'for Kaio César
55I. Machado
26F. Angileri

Chapecoense-sc Substitutes

15Rafael Thyere
26Everton74'for Yago Felipe6.3
29F. Rossi
6Mancha
30Matheus Aurélio
70Rubens
80Miguel Carvalho61'for Giovanni Augusto6.1
77D. Borrero
11Y. Bolasie61'replaced by Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira6.9
19David Antunes82'for Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior6.3
16Bruno Matias74'for Heitor6.5

Match Stats

CorinthiansChapecoense-sc
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots1
9Fouls21
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
674Total Passes426
610Passes Accurate352
91%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CorinthiansCorinthians
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
1607Elo Rating 1508
0.86Attack 0.54
0.79Defense 0.59
0%Hit Rate 0%
17.3Shots per Game 12.4
5.1Shots on Target 2.8
7.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CorinthiansCorinthians2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc0Wins · 0%
0.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A20/03/2026
Chapecoense-scCorinthians
00
Serie A02/11/2021
CorinthiansChapecoense-sc
10
Serie A09/07/2021
Chapecoense-scCorinthians
01

Referee Profile

W. do Nascimento223 matches

5.58Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

W. do Nascimento5.58
Other referees5.23

5.58 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 177 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo32217464:27+3770WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32209356:22+3469WWWWD
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWLWW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense32149950:41+951LLLWW
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG321481044:38+650LWWDW
7BahiaBahia321311845:40+550DLWLL
8SantosSantos3212101049:47+246DWLDW
9Sao PauloSao Paulo321271337:36+143DWWLL
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino321181339:38+141LDWDL
11BotafogoBotafogo321091344:51-739LWDLL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional328111336:40-435WLDWL
17GremioGremio328101435:44-934WLDDD
18CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
19RemoRemo325111634:50-1626LDDDL
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc31491832:63-3121LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3264:2770
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3256:2269
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3250:4151
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3244:3850
7BahiaBahia3245:4050
8SantosSantos3249:4746
9Sao PauloSao Paulo3237:3643
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3239:3841
11BotafogoBotafogo3244:5139
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3236:4035
17GremioGremio3235:4434
18CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
19RemoRemo3234:5026
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3132:6321
PromotionRelegation

About the Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Corinthians and Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A table

Corinthians and Chapecoense-sc are close in the Serie A table, 18th and 20th, with 12 points between them. League goal record so far: Corinthians 34-42, Chapecoense-sc 32-63. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.