Coritiba vs Mirassol Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 26
A. Policarpo Bento 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Coritiba Rest
5 days
Mirassol Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.52
X28%3.23
226%2.79
Double Chance
1X74%1.42
X254%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.84
No37%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.05 = 2.37
Over 1.572%1.36
Over 2.547%2.19
Over 3.525%4.00
Under 1.528%2.90
Under 2.553%1.67
Under 3.575%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.564%1.40
Over 9.551%1.72
Over 10.536%2.15
Under 8.536%2.58
Under 9.549%2.00
Under 10.564%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.556%1.36
Over 4.536%1.83
Under 3.544%2.93
Under 4.564%1.83
Match Events
27'Denilson Alves BorgesFoul
27'Daniel BorgesDissent
34'João Victor Carroll SantanaArgument
34'Thiago SantosArgument
58'Thiago Santos INVitor Gonçalves Tissi out
59'Breno Lopes INPaulo Roberto out
59'Jacy INMaicon out
61'Pedro RochaAssist: Fabinho
63'JP ChermontFoul
64'Gustavo Henric da SilvaAssist: Igor Formiga
73'JP Chermont INFelipe Jonatan out
76'Gustavo Henric da Silva INFernandinho out
77'Alesson dos Santos Batista INShaylon Kallyson Cardozo out
79'Fabinho INJosué out
82'Denilson Alves Borges INChico Kim out
82'Wallisson INGustavo Cazonatti out
84'Bruno Santos de OliveiraAssist: Igor Formiga
87'Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve INGabriel Knesowitsch out
90+2'Shaylon Kallyson CardozoTime wasting
90+8'Penalty cancelledRodrigo Moledo
Lineups
CoritibaMirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael GuanaesAvg ratingAvg rating
1P. Luccas
44J. Pedro Chermont
4R. Moledo
55Jacy
26B. Melo
21T. Santos
19S. Gómez
7J. Lavega
28Fabinho
77B. Lopes
32P. Rocha
23A. Muralha
32I. Formiga
34J. Victor
3W. Machado
6Reinaldo
80Wallisson
27Denilson
19G. Silva
33Eduardo
77Alesson
30B. SantosCoritiba Substitutes
50Tissi58'for Thiago Santos
99Rodrigo Rodrigues
22Pedro Rangel
18Paulo Roberto59'for Breno Lopes
3Maicon59'for Jacy
37L. Crepaldi
10Josué79'for Fabinho
39Gustavo
6Felipe Jonatan73'for JP Chermont
30Khensane Mpusane Eustaquio Machel
36Vini Paulista
14Gabriel Ibson Evangelista Da Silva
Mirassol Substitutes
96Carlos Eduardo
12Victor Luís
10Chico82'for Denilson Alves Borges
20Daniel Borges27'
17Fernandinho76'for Gustavo Henric da Silva
44Gabriel87'for Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
5Japa
2Lucas Oliveira
7Shaylon77'for Alesson dos Santos Batista90+2'
90Thomazella
9André Luís
55Gustavo Cazonatti82'for Wallisson
Match Stats
CoritibaMirassol 48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
414Total Passes460
340Passes Accurate393
82%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
CoritibaMirassol1607Elo Rating 1674
0.65Attack 1.18
0.47Defense 2.37
0%Hit Rate 37%
11.9Shots per Game 15.3
2.6Shots on Target 4.4
5.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Coritiba- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mirassol- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Coritiba1Wins · 33%Draws00%
Mirassol2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
19/03/2026MirassolCoritiba01
06/11/2024MirassolCoritiba41
20/07/2024CoritibaMirassol01
Recent Form
Coritiba5W2D3L
01/09/2026
RemoCoritibaCoritiba
CorinthiansCoritiba
Chapecoense-scCoritiba
Cruzeiro
RB BragantinoCoritibaCoritiba
Palmeiras
RemoCoritiba23
W24/08/2026CoritibaCorinthians21
W16/08/2026
Sao PauloCoritiba
09/08/2026Sao PauloCoritiba11
DCoritibaChapecoense-sc21
W31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
L26/07/2026RB BragantinoCoritiba00
D23/07/2026CoritibaPalmeiras13
L30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
FlamengoCoritiba30
L26/05/2026Coritiba
Bahia
CoritibaBahia32
W17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
SantosCoritiba03
WMirassol1W4D5L
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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About the Coritiba vs Mirassol forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Coritiba and Mirassol in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Coritiba are 12th and Mirassol 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Coritiba 38-50, Mirassol 37-45. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.