Bahia vs Internacional Prediction

Bahia
3-2
Finished
HT 3-1
Internacional
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador·Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil 31/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Bahia Rest
7 days
Internacional Rest
2 days

Bahia vs Internacional: the result in context

Bahia beat Internacional 3-2 in the Serie A on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.90
X
31%3.55
2
21%3.90
Double Chance
1X
79%1.25
X2
52%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.04 = 2.52
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.85
Over 3.5
29%3.08
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
50%1.95
Under 3.5
71%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.31
Over 9.5
47%1.52
Over 10.5
35%1.93
Under 8.5
41%3.15
Under 9.5
53%2.35
Under 10.5
65%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 3.1 = 5.7
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%-

Match Events

16'Alan PatrickAssist: Thiago Maia
23'Erick PulgaAssist: Nicolás Acevedo
39'Cristian OliveraArgument
39'Alexandro BernabeiArgument
42'Erick PulgaAssist: Alejo Véliz
45+4'Erick

Lineups

Bahia
4-3-3Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Internacional
5-3-2Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.26
Ronaldo6.31Ronaldo
Román Gómez6.231R. Gómez
David Duarte6.733D. Duarte
Santiago Ramos Mingo6.321S. Ramos Mingo
Luciano Juba6.946L. Juba
Erick6.914Erick
Nicolás AcevedoC6.95N. Acevedo
Rodrigo Nestor6.911R. Nestor
Cristian Olivera7.299C. Olivera
Alejo Véliz6.99A. Véliz
Erick Pulga8.916E. Pulga
Matheus Cunha5.923M. Cunha
Braian Aguirre5.635B. Aguirre
Félix Torres6.24F. Torres
Guillermo Maripán6.23G. Maripán
Matheus Bahia6.36M. Bahia
Alexandro Bernabei5.626A. Bernabei
Bruno Henrique6.28B. Henrique
Ronaldo6.316Ronaldo
Thiago Maia6.529T. Maia
Vitinho6.228Vitinho
Alan PatrickC7.910A. Patrick

Bahia Substitutes

17Guido Herrera
66José Guilherme
44Marcos Victor
3Marco Moreno
4Kanu
57Kauê Furquim
77Ruan Pablo
15Michel Araújo
8Caio Alexandre
12Willian José
7Ademir
27Everaldo

Internacional Substitutes

12Anthoni
53Luiz Felipe
46Pedro Kauã
18Jose Juninho
5Rodrigo Villagra
52Gabriel Vinicius
44João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco
30Calebe Gonçalves
17Niclas Eliasson
7Johan Carbonero
9Alerrandro
19Antonio Sanabria

Match Stats

BahiaInternacional
57%Ball Possession43%
3Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
10Fouls17
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
541Total Passes411
474Passes Accurate344
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

BahiaBahia
InternacionalInternacional
1723Elo Rating 1632
1.20Attack 1.40
1.51Defense 1.76
44%Hit Rate 37%
13.0Shots per Game 14.6
2.6Shots on Target 5.2
5.9Corners per Game 5.1
2.2Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BahiaBahia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
InternacionalInternacional
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BahiaBahia3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
InternacionalInternacional4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A15/03/2026
InternacionalBahia
01
Serie A08/11/2025
InternacionalBahia
22
Serie A23/10/2025
BahiaInternacional
10
CONMEBOL Libertadores29/05/2025
InternacionalBahia
21
CONMEBOL Libertadores04/04/2025
BahiaInternacional
11
Serie A28/07/2024
BahiaInternacional
11
Serie A13/04/2024
InternacionalBahia
21
Serie A19/10/2023
BahiaInternacional
10
Serie A28/05/2023
InternacionalBahia
20
Serie A26/09/2021
InternacionalBahia
20

Referee Profile

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva211 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.28Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva5.67
Other referees5.13

5.67 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Bahia vs Internacional forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bahia and Internacional in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Bahia are 6th and Internacional 18th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Bahia 48-42, Internacional 37-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Internacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.