RB Bragantino vs Mirassol Prediction

RB Bragantino
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Mirassol
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza·Raphael Claus 08/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.66
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
RB Bragantino Rest
4 days
Mirassol Rest
18 days

RB Bragantino vs Mirassol: the result in context

RB Bragantino and Mirassol drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 7 Oct 2026. Mirassol had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for RB Bragantino.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Raphael Claus averages 4.32 cards a game, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.60
X
24%4.08
2
18%5.20
Double Chance
1X
82%1.15
X2
42%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.66
No
44%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.02 = 2.59
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.66
Over 3.5
34%2.60
Under 1.5
22%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
66%1.25
Over 9.5
59%1.50
Over 10.5
49%1.84
Under 8.5
34%3.27
Under 9.5
41%2.38
Under 10.5
51%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.45
Over 4.5
49%2.04
Under 3.5
33%2.63
Under 4.5
51%1.74

Match Events

28'João Victor Carroll Santana
30'Bruno Santos de Oliveira INLucas Oliveira out
45'Juninho Capixaba INJose Herrera out
45'Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos INIsidro Pitta out
51'Eduardo SashaAssist: Wallace Yan
57'Chico Kim INGabriel Knesowitsch out
57'Edson Carioca INAndré Luis out
57'Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve INAlesson dos Santos Batista out
70'André LuisAssist: Alesson dos Santos Batista
72'Wallace Yan INBruno Gonçalves de Jesus out
82'Denilson Alves Borges INWallisson out
82'Eduardo Sasha INVinicius out

Lineups

RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Coach: Vagner Mancini
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.61
Tiago Volpi6.918T. Volpi
Ryan Tavares7.452R. Tavares
Gustavo Marques7.516G. Marques
Guzmán Rodríguez7.02G. Rodríguez
Juninho Capixaba6.329J. Capixaba
Patrick Silva6.628P. Silva
Eric Ramires6.77E. Ramires
Lucas Barbosa7.221L. Barbosa
Wallace7.547Wallace
Fernando7.211Fernando
Eduardo Sasha8.18E. Sasha
Walter8.122Walter
Igor Formiga6.832I. Formiga
João Victor5.234J. Victor
Willian Machado6.13W. Machado
Reinaldo6.06Reinaldo
Neto Moura6.425N. Moura
Denilson6.427Denilson
Edson6.795Edson
Eduardo6.633Eduardo
Chico6.310Chico
Bruno Santos6.530B. Santos

RB Bragantino Substitutes

1Cleiton
3Eduardo Santos
19Bruninho72'for Wallace Yan6.8
5Fabinho
6Gabriel
22Gustavinho
32J. Herrera45'for Juninho Capixaba6.6
35Matheus Fernandes
9I. Pitta45'for Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos7.0
23A. Sant'Anna
12Vanderlan
17Vinicius82'for Eduardo Sasha6.8

Mirassol Substitutes

80Wallisson82'for Denilson Alves Borges6.4
96Carlos Eduardo
20Daniel Borges
44Gabriel57'for Chico Kim6.2
19Gustavo Silva
5Japa
2Lucas Oliveira30'for Bruno Santos de Oliveira6.5
7Shaylon
90Thomazella
12Victor Luís
77Alesson57'for Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve7.4
9André Luís57'for Edson Carioca70'8.2

Match Stats

RB BragantinoMirassol
71%Ball Possession29%
11Corner Kicks3
0Red Cards1
33Total Shots8
9Shots on Goal2
16Shots off Goal6
17Shots Inside Box5
16Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots0
9Fouls6
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves8
595Total Passes252
547Passes Accurate186
5Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
MirassolMirassol
1686Elo Rating 1649
1.81Attack 0.76
1.87Defense 1.93
44%Hit Rate 19%
19.8Shots per Game 11.9
7.5Shots on Target 2.9
7.2Corners per Game 3.9
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
MirassolMirassol2Wins · 20%
1.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Do Brasil14/05/2026
MirassolRB Bragantino
21
Copa Do Brasil23/04/2026
RB BragantinoMirassol
11
Serie A06/04/2026
MirassolRB Bragantino
01
Paulista - A122/01/2026
MirassolRB Bragantino
00
Serie A02/10/2025
MirassolRB Bragantino
11
Serie A06/05/2025
RB BragantinoMirassol
10
Paulista - A120/02/2025
RB BragantinoMirassol
30
Paulista - A112/02/2023
RB BragantinoMirassol
00
Paulista - A128/01/2022
MirassolRB Bragantino
31
Paulista - A118/04/2021
BragantinoMirassol
21

Referee Profile

Raphael Claus296 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Raphael Claus4.32
Other referees5.05

4.32 cards a match, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.05).

Cards come from 288 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the RB Bragantino vs Mirassol forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

RB Bragantino and Mirassol in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, RB Bragantino are 9th and Mirassol 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: RB Bragantino 42-38, Mirassol 37-47. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

RB Bragantino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.