Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 29
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama: result, form and history
Vasco DA Gama beat Botafogo 2-1 in the Serie A on 8 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vasco DA Gama had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Botafogo.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Bruno Arleu averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Botafogo
Avg ratingAvg rating
12G. Batista
2Vitinho
5N. Ferraresi
3A. Chaves
13A. Telles
75Huguinho
8D. Santos
6C. Medina
22H. Ziyech
11M. Martins
19A. Cabral
1L. Jardim
96P. Henrique
4A. Saldivia
30R. Renan
66Cuiabano
5S. Sosa
18M. Hinestroza
22A. Lescano
23T. Mendes
9F. Colidio
19B. DuarteBotafogo Substitutes
Vasco DA Gama Substitutes
Match Stats
BotafogoVasco DA Gama Team Comparison
BotafogoVasco DA GamaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Botafogo- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vasco DA Gama- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Botafogo4Wins · 40%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
05/04/2026Vasco DA GamaBotafogo
08/02/2026Vasco DA GamaBotafogo05/11/2025BotafogoVasco DA Gama
12/09/2025BotafogoVasco DA Gama28/08/2025Vasco DA GamaBotafogo12/07/2025Vasco DA GamaBotafogo23/02/2025Vasco DA GamaBotafogo06/11/2024BotafogoVasco DA Gama29/06/2024Vasco DA GamaBotafogo18/02/2024BotafogoVasco DA GamaRecent Form
Botafogo
MirassolBotafogoBotafogo
GremioBotafogo
RB BragantinoBotafogo
Palmeiras
FlamengoBotafogoBotafogo
Atletico ParanaenseBotafogo
Cienciano
VitoriaBotafogoCiencianoBotafogoBotafogo
FluminenseVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
CoritibaVasco DA Gama
Santa FeGremioVasco DA GamaSanta FeVasco DA GamaFluminenseVasco DA GamaVitoriaVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
CruzeiroVasco DA GamaVitoriaPalmeirasVasco DA Gama
OlimpiaVasco DA GamaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.67 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).
Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 |  Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 |  Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama forecast
As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A table
Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama are close in the Serie A table, 11th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Botafogo 44-51, Vasco DA Gama 39-45. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.