Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 25
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro·Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 30/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
2 days
Cruzeiro Rest
4 days
Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro: result, form and history
Vasco DA Gama beat Cruzeiro 3-1 in the Serie A on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.30
X33%3.25
227%3.00
Double Chance
1X73%1.36
X260%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.75
No44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.1 = 2.43
Over 1.573%1.30
Over 2.546%2.03
Over 3.524%3.50
Under 1.527%3.25
Under 2.554%1.75
Under 3.576%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.555%1.50
Over 9.542%1.93
Over 10.529%2.36
Under 8.545%2.45
Under 9.558%1.82
Under 10.571%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.543%-
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.557%-
Match Events
24'Joao MarceloHolding
27'AdsonRoughing
33'Tche Tche
55'Lucas FreitasAssist: Lucas Piton
62'L. Rodriguez INMatheus Pereira out
62'J. Costa INWesley out
70'Adson INJ. Rodriguez out
79'S. Sosa INCauan Barros out
79'F. Colidio INDavid out
79'Kenji INFelipe Morais out
79'Ze Lucas INLucas Silva out
84'N. Villarreal INWanderson out
85'A. Gomez INM. Hinestroza out
85'Tche Tche INRamon Rique out
90+2'DavidAssist: Ramon Rique
90+4'Cauan BarrosHolding
90+5'Felipe MoraisAssist: Matheus Pereira
Lineups
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge ArturAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Jardim
96P. Henrique
46C. Cuesta
43L. Freitas
6L. Piton
5S. Sosa
28Adson
3T. Tchê
C23T. Mendes
11A. Gómez
9F. Colidio
81O. Costa
C12W. Furtado
43J. Marcelo
34J. Jesus
27G. Rojas
5Z. Lucas
7M. Henrique
67J. Costa
97L. Rodríguez
70K. Kenji
22N. VillarrealVasco DA Gama Substitutes
2Puma Rodríguez70'for Adson
88Cauan Barros79'for S. Sosa90+4'
7David79'for F. Colidio90+2'
18Marino Hinestroza85'for A. Gomez
83Ramon Rique85'for Tche Tche
13Daniel Fuzato
4Alan Saldivia
82Riquelme Avellar
80Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro
17Nuno Moreira
77Claudio Spinelli
Cruzeiro Substitutes
10Matheus Pereira62'for L. Rodriguez
20Wesley62'for J. Costa
38Felipe Morais79'for Kenji90+5'
16Lucas Silva79'for Ze Lucas
94Wanderson84'for N. Villarreal
1Cássio
25Lucas Villalba
2Kauã Moraes
23Fagner
11Marquinhos
29Lucas Romero
19Kaio Jorge
Match Stats
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro 46%Ball Possession54%
11Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal1
17Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots4
15Fouls12
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves7
386Total Passes470
311Passes Accurate400
81%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro1731Elo Rating 1781
0.75Attack 2.33
1.82Defense 1.62
34%Hit Rate 81%
13.2Shots per Game 15.9
3.3Shots on Target 7.2
5.4Corners per Game 6.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vasco DA Gama- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Vasco DA Gama2Wins · 20%Draws550%
Cruzeiro3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
16/03/2026CruzeiroVasco DA Gama33
27/09/2025Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro20
27/04/2025CruzeiroVasco DA Gama10
29/09/2024CruzeiroVasco DA Gama11
16/06/2024Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro00
22/11/2023CruzeiroVasco DA Gama22
08/07/2023Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro01
22/09/2022CruzeiroVasco DA Gama30
12/06/2022Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro10
19/09/2021Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro11
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama4W4D2L
27/08/2026Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
23/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria10
W
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama41
L21/08/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama14
W16/08/2026Vasco DA Gama
Santos
14/08/2026Vasco DA GamaSantos03
LVasco DA GamaOlimpia00
D09/08/2026
BahiaVasco DA Gama00
D06/08/2026
FluminenseVasco DA Gama13
W01/08/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense00
D30/07/2026Vasco DA Gama
Independiente Medellin10
W26/07/2026Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol11
DCruzeiro5W3D2L
26/08/2026Cruzeiro
Atletico-MGCruzeiro
FlamengoFlamengoCruzeiro
CorinthiansCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroMirassolCruzeiro
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scCruzeiro
CoritibaCruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
CruzeiroAtletico-MG11
D23/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo21
W20/08/2026FlamengoCruzeiro21
L17/08/2026CorinthiansCruzeiro12
W13/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo11
D09/08/2026CruzeiroMirassol31
W06/08/2026CruzeiroChapecoense-sc20
W02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
D31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
W26/07/2026CruzeiroBotafogo01
LReferee Profile
5.19Cards per match
4.94Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).
Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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About the Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vasco DA Gama and Cruzeiro in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Vasco DA Gama 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Vasco DA Gama 39-45, Cruzeiro 51-46. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.