Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Prediction
World · Round of 16CupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days
Flamengo Rest
3 days
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: result, form and history
Cruzeiro and Flamengo drew 1-1 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 13 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 7 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.94
X35%2.98
228%2.60
Double Chance
1X72%1.47
X263%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes44%1.95
No56%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.96 = 2.28
Over 1.569%1.44
Over 2.537%2.37
Over 3.518%4.45
Under 1.531%2.70
Under 2.563%1.57
Under 3.582%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 7 + 3.2 = 10.2
Over 8.557%1.88
Over 9.545%2.39
Over 10.534%3.24
Under 8.543%1.84
Under 9.555%1.52
Under 10.566%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.573%1.27
Over 4.549%1.55
Under 3.527%3.55
Under 4.551%2.35
Match Events
11'Matheus HenriqueTripping
30'G. de ArrascaetaTripping
53'K. ArroyoAssist: William Furtado
65'Wesley INKenji out
65'Bruno Henrique INPedro out
66'G. de Arrascaeta INLucas Paqueta out
66'Fabricio BrunoTripping
67'Lucas Paqueta
69'Artur Jorge
78'K. Arroyo INJ. Costa out
78'Matheus Henrique INZe Lucas out
84'Samuel Lino INJ. Carrascal out
89'G. Plata ING. Varela out
Lineups
CruzeiroFlamengo
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo JardimAvg ratingAvg rating
81O. Costa
C12W. Furtado
15F. Bruno
34J. Jesus
27G. Rojas
7M. Henrique
8Gerson
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
20Wesley
19K. Jorge
1A. Rossi
22E. Royal
3L. Ortiz
4L. Pereira
6A. Lucas
5E. Pulgar
21Jorginho
19G. Plata
10G. de Arrascaeta
16S. Lino
C27B. HenriqueCruzeiro Substitutes
70Kaique Kenji65'for Wesley
5Zé Lucas78'for Matheus Henrique
67João Costa78'for K. Arroyo
51Vitor Lamounier Rego
2Kauã Moraes
43João Marcelo
25Lucas Villalba
11Marquinhos
38Felipe Morais
16Lucas Silva
97Luciano Rodríguez
9Bruno Rodrigues
Flamengo Substitutes
9Pedro Guilherme65'for Bruno Henrique
20Lucas Paquetá66'for G. de Arrascaeta67'
15Jorge Carrascal84'for Samuel Lino
2Guillermo Varela89'for G. Plata
42Andrew
49Dyogo Alves
77Johnny Goes
13Danilo
52Evertton Araujo
99Lorran
18Nicolás de la Cruz
8Saúl Ñíguez
Match Stats
CruzeiroFlamengo 47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots4
11Fouls14
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves0
434Total Passes508
377Passes Accurate437
87%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
CruzeiroFlamengo1781Elo Rating 1908
2.33Attack 1.13
1.62Defense 2.72
81%Hit Rate 39%
15.9Shots per Game 13.8
7.2Shots on Target 6.1
6.7Corners per Game 7.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend43% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Flamengo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Cruzeiro1Wins · 14%Draws229%
Flamengo4Wins · 57%
4Wins · 57%1.9Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7
Previous meetings
12/03/2026FlamengoCruzeiro20
03/10/2025FlamengoCruzeiro00
04/05/2025CruzeiroFlamengo21
07/11/2024CruzeiroFlamengo01
30/06/2024FlamengoCruzeiro21
20/10/2023CruzeiroFlamengo02
27/05/2023FlamengoCruzeiro11
Recent Form
Cruzeiro7W2D1L
09/08/2026Cruzeiro
MirassolCruzeiro
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scCruzeiro
CoritibaCruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
InternacionalCruzeiro
CruzeiroMirassol31
W06/08/2026CruzeiroChapecoense-sc20
W02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
D31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
W26/07/2026CruzeiroBotafogo01
L23/07/2026InternacionalCruzeiro12
W12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
W04/07/2026Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
W01/06/2026Cruzeiro
Fluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D29/05/2026Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
CruzeiroBarcelona SC40
WFlamengo7W3D0L
10/08/2026Flamengo
VitoriaInternacionalFlamengoFlamengo
Sao PauloChapecoense-scFlamengo
FlamengoVitoria20
W30/07/2026InternacionalFlamengo11
D26/07/2026FlamengoSao Paulo11
D23/07/2026Chapecoense-scFlamengo04
W18/07/2026Flamengo
Olimpia
FlamengoOlimpia42
W11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
BenficaFlamengo12
W08/07/2026Flamengo
Lausanne
FlamengoLausanne20
W03/07/2026Flamengo
River Plate
FlamengoRiver Plate22
D30/05/2026FlamengoCoritiba
FlamengoCoritiba30
W27/05/2026Flamengo
Cusco
FlamengoCusco30
WReferee Profile
5.46Cards per match
5.22Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.46 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 178 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
League Table
Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | +12 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | WLDDW |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 4 | Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 14:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Cusco | 6 | 4:12 | 1 |
Group D
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 11 | WDDWL |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2:12 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- Cruzeiro Predictions
- Flamengo Predictions
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Standings
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Stats 2026
- CONMEBOL Libertadores top scorers
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Knockout Rounds
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More CONMEBOL Libertadores matches
- Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia 12/08/26
- Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica 12/08/26
- Platense vs Coquimbo Unido 13/08/26
- Mirassol vs LDU de Quito 14/08/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense 19/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle 19/08/26
- U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P. 19/08/26
- Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras 20/08/26
About the Cruzeiro vs Flamengo forecast
As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About CONMEBOL Libertadores
More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.