Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Prediction
World · Round of 16CupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Flamengo Rest
3 days
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro: the result in context
Flamengo beat Cruzeiro 2-1 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.65
X35%3.60
212%5.35
Double Chance
1X88%1.15
X247%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%1.90
No55%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 0.94 = 2.55
Over 1.572%1.30
Over 2.539%1.96
Over 3.520%3.40
Under 1.528%3.30
Under 2.561%1.83
Under 3.580%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 2.9 = 8.1
Over 8.557%1.52
Over 9.545%1.83
Over 10.534%2.30
Under 8.543%2.36
Under 9.555%1.87
Under 10.566%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.1 = 5.4
Over 3.575%-
Over 4.557%1.44
Under 3.525%-
Under 4.543%2.48
Match Events
35'G. de ArrascaetaAssist: Pedro
48'Goal Disallowed - video reviewKaio Jorge
51'L. RomeroAssist: Gerson
62'Samuel LinoAssist: Pedro
63'G. de Arrascaeta INLucas Paqueta out
64'G. Plata INJ. Carrascal out
66'Wesley INJ. Costa out
70'William FurtadoFoul
76'Pedro INBruno Henrique out
76'Ayrton Lucas ING. Varela out
79'William Furtado INFagner out
80'G. Rojas INL. Rodriguez out
80'Jorginho INEvertton Araujo out
85'Gerson INBruno Rodrigues out
90+3'Bruno HenriqueFoul
90+4'J. CostaFoul
Lineups
FlamengoCruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge ArturAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Rossi
22E. Royal
3L. Ortiz
4L. Pereira
6A. Lucas
5E. Pulgar
21Jorginho
19G. Plata
C10G. de Arrascaeta
16S. Lino
9P. Guilherme
81O. Costa
12W. Furtado
15F. Bruno
34J. Jesus
27G. Rojas
C29L. Romero
8Gerson
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
20Wesley
19K. JorgeFlamengo Substitutes
20Lucas Paquetá63'for G. de Arrascaeta
15Jorge Carrascal64'for G. Plata
2Guillermo Varela76'for Ayrton Lucas
27Bruno Henrique76'for Pedro90+3'
52Evertton Araujo80'for Jorginho
42Andrew
77Johnny Goes
13Danilo
7Luiz AraĂşjo
99Lorran
8SaĂşl Ă‘Ăguez
64Wallace Yan
Cruzeiro Substitutes
67JoĂŁo Costa66'for Wesley90+4'
23Fagner79'for William Furtado
97Luciano RodrĂguez80'for G. Rojas
9Bruno Rodrigues85'for Gerson
1Cássio
43JoĂŁo Marcelo
25Lucas Villalba
5ZĂ© Lucas
38Felipe Morais
94Wanderson
16Lucas Silva
70Kaique Kenji
Match Stats
FlamengoCruzeiro 52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots14
9Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box9
4Blocked Shots5
9Fouls13
2Goalkeeper Saves7
463Total Passes422
386Passes Accurate346
83%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
FlamengoCruzeiro1908Elo Rating 1781
1.13Attack 2.33
2.72Defense 1.62
39%Hit Rate 81%
13.8Shots per Game 15.9
6.1Shots on Target 7.2
7.0Corners per Game 6.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+127 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Flamengo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Flamengo4Wins · 50%Draws338%
Cruzeiro1Wins · 12%
1Wins · 12%1.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
13/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo11
12/03/2026FlamengoCruzeiro20
03/10/2025FlamengoCruzeiro00
04/05/2025CruzeiroFlamengo21
07/11/2024CruzeiroFlamengo01
30/06/2024FlamengoCruzeiro21
20/10/2023CruzeiroFlamengo02
27/05/2023FlamengoCruzeiro11
Recent Form
Flamengo6W4D0L
16/08/2026
MirassolFlamengo
13/08/2026MirassolFlamengo15
WCruzeiroFlamengo11
D10/08/2026Flamengo
Vitoria20
W30/07/2026
InternacionalFlamengo11
D26/07/2026Flamengo
Sao Paulo11
D23/07/2026
Chapecoense-scFlamengo04
W18/07/2026Flamengo
Olimpia
FlamengoOlimpia42
W11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
BenficaFlamengo12
W08/07/2026Flamengo
Lausanne
FlamengoLausanne20
W03/07/2026Flamengo
River Plate
FlamengoRiver Plate22
DCruzeiro7W2D1L
17/08/2026
CorinthiansCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroMirassolCruzeiroChapecoense-scChapecoense-scCruzeiro
CoritibaCruzeiroCruzeiro
BotafogoInternacionalCruzeiro
CorinthiansCruzeiro12
W13/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo11
D09/08/2026CruzeiroMirassol31
W06/08/2026CruzeiroChapecoense-sc20
W02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
D31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
W26/07/2026CruzeiroBotafogo01
L23/07/2026InternacionalCruzeiro12
W12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
W04/07/2026Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
WReferee Profile
4.99Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.99 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.33).
Cards come from 83 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
League Table
Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | +12 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | WLDDW |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 14:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Cusco | 6 | 4:12 | 1 |
Group D
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 11 | WDDWL |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 4 |  Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2:12 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- Flamengo Predictions
- Cruzeiro Predictions
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Standings
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Stats 2026
- CONMEBOL Libertadores top scorers
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Knockout Rounds
- CONMEBOL Libertadores Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More CONMEBOL Libertadores matches
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense 19/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle 19/08/26
- U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P. 19/08/26
- Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras 20/08/26
- LDU de Quito vs Mirassol 21/08/26
- Corinthians vs Rosario Central 21/08/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima 26/08/26
- Fluminense vs Platense 09/09/26
About the Flamengo vs Cruzeiro forecast
As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About CONMEBOL Libertadores
More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.