Fluminense vs Platense Prediction

Fluminense
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Platense

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Fluminense Rest
2 days
Platense Rest
4 days

Fluminense vs Platense: result, form and history

Fluminense beat Platense 2-0 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Platense tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 3.9 for Fluminense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.63
X
8%3.39
2
17%6.38
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
25%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.50
No
54%1.49
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 0.68 = 2.71
Over 1.5
70%1.55
Over 2.5
39%2.69
Over 3.5
20%5.50
Under 1.5
30%2.40
Under 2.5
61%1.45
Under 3.5
80%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.6 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.83
Over 9.5
45%2.31
Over 10.5
35%3.06
Under 8.5
42%1.89
Under 9.5
55%1.50
Under 10.5
65%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.21
Over 4.5
36%1.48
Under 3.5
44%3.77
Under 4.5
64%2.32

Match Events

21'Gustavo Nonato SantanaAssist: Hulk
31'HulkAssist: Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
58'GastĂłn Togni INBautista Merlini out
59'Guido Mainero INJuan Carlos Gauto out
60'Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima INLuciano Acosta out
67'VĂ­ctor CuestaFoul
77'Hulk INGermán Ezequiel Cano Recalde out
77'Yeferson Soteldo INJefferson David Savarino Quintero out
77'Matheus Martinelli Lima INHércules Pereira do Nascimento out
79'Jefferson David Savarino QuinteroFoul
84'Bruno Christian Sepulveda INAugusto Lotti out
84'Kevin Retamar INFranco Zapiola Yamartino out
90'RenĂŞ Rodrigues Martins INGuilherme Arana out
90+2'Gustavo Nonato SantanaFoul

Lineups

Fluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: MarcĂŁo
Platense
4-4-2Coach: M. Palermo
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.22
Fábio6.61Fábio
Guga7.423Guga
Thiago Silva7.33T. Silva
J. Millán7.229J. Millán
RenĂŞ6.86RenĂŞ
Nonato8.216Nonato
Martinelli6.78Martinelli
K. Serna6.390K. Serna
PH Ganso7.710P. Ganso
Y. Soteldo6.330Y. Soteldo
Hulk8.27Hulk
J. Cozzani5.830J. Cozzani
A. Lagos6.74A. Lagos
I. Vázquez6.413I. Vázquez
V. Cuesta6.231V. Cuesta
T. Silva5.53T. Silva
G. Mainero5.77G. Mainero
P. Ferreira6.626P. Ferreira
M. Barrios6.724M. Barrios
G. Togni6.216G. Togni
B. SepĂşlveda6.479B. SepĂşlveda
N. Retamar6.143N. Retamar

Fluminense Substitutes

13Guilherme Arana90'for RenĂŞ Rodrigues Martins
32L. Acosta60'for Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima6.5
14G. Cano77'for Hulk6.4
19R. Castillo
22J. Freytes
46Julio Fidelis
94Otávio
35Hércules77'for Matheus Martinelli Lima7.0
21Igor Rabello
11J. Savarino77'for Yeferson Soteldo79'6.4
28Riquelme
27Marcelo

Platense Substitutes

33J. Gauto59'for Guido Mainero6.5
5I. GĂłmez
38Celías Adán Ingenthron
99G. Lencina
21A. Lotti84'for Bruno Christian Sepulveda6.3
11N. LĂłpez
34M. Mendia
18B. Merlini58'for GastĂłn Togni6.3
25J. Saborido
22N. Sumavil
10F. Zapiola84'for Kevin Retamar6.0
15M. Amarfil

Match Stats

FluminensePlatense
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
4Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal1
1Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots8
7Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
607Total Passes384
536Passes Accurate289
9Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FluminenseFluminense
PlatensePlatense
1742Elo Rating 1608
1.26Attack 1.21
1.99Defense 1.98
41%Hit Rate 41%
10.0Shots per Game 17.5
3.5Shots on Target 5.0
3.9Corners per Game 8.6
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
đź’ŽValue Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FluminenseFluminense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PlatensePlatense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Referee Profile

A. M. Matonte Cabrera176 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. M. Matonte Cabrera5.39
Other referees5.26

5.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

Group C

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia651015:6+916WWDWW
2FluminenseFluminense62227:708WWDLL
3BolĂ­varBolĂ­var61236:8-25LLDWD
4Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira60336:13-73LLDLD

Group E

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CorinthiansCorinthians63218:4+411LDDWW
2PlatensePlatense63128:7+110WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe62226:7-18WWDLL
4PenarolPenarol60334:8-43LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CorinthiansCorinthians68:411
2PlatensePlatense68:710
3Santa FeSanta Fe66:78
4PenarolPenarol64:83

About the Fluminense vs Platense forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Libertadores

More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.4 out of 10 by our context model. Fluminense and Platense have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.