Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians Prediction

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata·Esteban Ostojich, Uruguay 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseHighGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseHighGap+5.0%
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
4 days
Corinthians Rest
3 days

Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians: the result in context

Estudiantes L.P. and Corinthians drew 1-1 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Esteban Ostojich averages 6.62 cards a game, 1.44 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.33
X
41%2.71
2
23%3.75
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
63%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.63
No
54%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.91 = 2.18
Over 1.5
68%1.84
Over 2.5
36%3.54
Over 3.5
19%8.00
Under 1.5
32%1.96
Under 2.5
64%1.28
Under 3.5
81%1.07
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 2.9 = 8.5
Over 8.5
55%1.70
Over 9.5
44%2.14
Over 10.5
33%2.81
Under 8.5
45%2.03
Under 9.5
56%1.63
Under 10.5
67%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3 = 6.2
Over 3.5
87%1.18
Over 4.5
75%1.42
Under 3.5
13%4.00
Under 4.5
25%2.60

Match Events

4'Alexis CastroAssist: Eros Nazareno Mancuso
6'Fabrizio AngileriDissent
10'Kaio CésarArgument
28'Guido CarrilloArgument
28'Breno BidonArgument
32'GastĂłn BenedettiFoul
33'Gustavo HenriqueFoul
49'Kaio CésarAssist: Rodrigo Garro
61'Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez INFabricio Pérez out
71'André Carrillo INCharles out
79'GastĂłn Benedetti INEric Meza out
86'JoaquĂ­n Tobio Burgos INEdwuin Cetre out
86'Lucas Piovi INJalil Elias out
86'Eros Nazareno MancusoFoul
87'Rodrigo Garro INMatheus Pereira out
90'Memphis Depay INPedro Raul out

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.61
F. Muslera6.516F. Muslera
E. Mancuso6.340E. Mancuso
S. Núñez6.54S. Núñez
L. González6.714L. González
G. Benedetti6.013G. Benedetti
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi6.121L. Ezequiel Piovi
A. Castro8.022A. Castro
B. Gallego6.431B. Gallego
J. Correa6.832J. Correa
J. Burgos7.217J. Burgos
G. Carrillo6.49G. Carrillo
Hugo Souza6.91H. Souza
Matheuzinho7.12Matheuzinho
Gabriel Paulista6.43G. Paulista
Gustavo Henrique6.113G. Henrique
Matheus Bidu6.621M. Bidu
Allan6.729Allan
A. Carrillo6.419A. Carrillo
Kaio César7.337K. César
R. Garro7.48R. Garro
Breno6.17Breno
M. Depay6.510M. Depay

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

18E. Cetré86'for Joaquín Tobio Burgos6.6
28B. Aguirre
39J. ElĂ­as86'for Lucas Piovi6.2
19A. Gaich
1F. Iacovich
52B. Kociubinski
20E. Meza79'for GastĂłn Benedetti6.3
34M. Monsalve
8G. Neves
35V. Pierani
29F. Pérez Escudero61'for Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez7.0
7J. Sosa

Corinthians Substitutes

4JoĂŁo Pedro
55I. Machado
61Dieguinho
56Guilherme Inácio
35Charles71'for André Carrillo6.2
23Matheus Pereira87'for Rodrigo Garro6.2
20P. Milans
63Alex Santana
77J. Lingard
18Pedro Raul90'for Memphis Depay
26F. Angileri6'
51KauĂŞ Camargo

Match Stats

Estudiantes L.P.Corinthians
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots0
16Fouls18
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
402Total Passes396
326Passes Accurate312
16Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
CorinthiansCorinthians
1691Elo Rating 1607
0.98Attack 0.86
2.21Defense 0.79
14%Hit Rate 0%
13.6Shots per Game 17.3
4.1Shots on Target 5.1
4.8Corners per Game 7.7
2.9Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
CorinthiansCorinthians1Wins · 50%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana30/08/2023
Estudiantes L.P.Corinthians
2130
CONMEBOL Sudamericana23/08/2023
CorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.
10

Referee Profile

Esteban Ostojich179 matches

6.62Cards per match
6.24Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Esteban Ostojich6.62
Other referees5.18

6.62 cards a match, 1.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).

Cards come from 110 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo651014:2+1216WWWDW
2Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.62316:5+19WLDDW
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin62136:11-57LWLWL
4CuscoCusco60154:12-81LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo614:216
2Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.66:59
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin66:117
4CuscoCusco64:121

Group E

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CorinthiansCorinthians63218:4+411LDDWW
2PlatensePlatense63128:7+110WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe62226:7-18WWDLL
4PenarolPenarol60334:8-43LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CorinthiansCorinthians68:411
2PlatensePlatense68:710
3Santa FeSanta Fe66:78
4PenarolPenarol64:83

About the Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Libertadores

More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.4 out of 10 by our context model. Estudiantes L.P. and Corinthians have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.