Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

Estadio Eva Perón, Junin·Nicolas Lamolina, Argentina 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Sarmiento Junin Rest
6 days
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
4 days

Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.: result, form and history

Sarmiento Junin beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Estudiantes L.P. have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%3.30
X
27%2.94
2
37%2.37
Double Chance
1X
63%1.57
X2
64%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.10
No
50%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.21 = 2.23
Over 1.5
72%1.51
Over 2.5
45%2.60
Over 3.5
22%5.25
Under 1.5
28%2.50
Under 2.5
55%1.47
Under 3.5
78%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.73
Over 9.5
40%2.15
Over 10.5
29%2.88
Under 8.5
45%2.01
Under 9.5
60%1.61
Under 10.5
71%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 3 + 2.6 = 5.6
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%1.49
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%2.34

Match Events

6'Lucas AlarioArgument
18'M. MartinezAssist: J. Mavilla
26'Julian ContreraFoul
40'Joaquin PereyraFoul
46'E. Meza INE. Mancuso out
46'Perez Fabricio INE. Cetre out
54'Lucas SuárezFoul
58'J. Contrera INU. Gimenez out
65'J. Pereyra INJ. Sosa out
65'B. Aguirre INJ. Burgos out
68'J. Herrera INDiego Churin out
68'J. Mavilla ING. Gonzalez out
75'A. Castro ING. Carrillo out
80'G. GonzalezAssist: J. Marabel
82'Joaquín CorreaArgument
82'J. Marabel ING. Arturia out
85'Penalty confirmedJoaquín Tobio Burgos
86'Joaquín Correa(Penalty missed)
90+3'Eros MancusoFoul

Lineups

Sarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo Sava
Estudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.65
T. Ayala9.612T. Ayala
S. Salle7.08S. Salle
R. Orihuela6.544R. Orihuela
J. InsaurraldeC6.92J. Insaurralde
L. Suarez7.23L. Suarez
J. Contrera6.619J. Contrera
C. Zabala7.515C. Zabala
M. Martinez8.216M. Martinez
J. Mavilla6.921J. Mavilla
J. Marabel6.927J. Marabel
J. Herrera7.224J. Herrera
F. Muslera7.216F. Muslera
E. Meza6.320E. Meza
V. Pierani6.935V. Pierani
T. Palacios6.524T. Palacios
J. Pereyra6.536J. Pereyra
A. Castro6.522A. Castro
L. Piovi7.321L. Piovi
Perez Fabricio6.229P. Fabricio
J. CorreaC6.332J. Correa
B. Aguirre6.528B. Aguirre
L. Alario6.227L. Alario

Sarmiento Junin Substitutes

1I. Arboleda
77N. Pasquini
20U. Gimenez58'for J. Contrera6.6
6G. Arturia82'for J. Marabel6.6
33G. Diaz
29T. Santamaria
23E. Gimenez
17A. Nadruz
5M. Garcia
7P. Magnin
9Diego Churin68'for J. Herrera6.6
11G. Gonzalez68'for J. Mavilla80'7.3

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

1F. Iacovich
26R. Funes Mori
13G. Benedetti
40E. Mancuso46'for E. Meza90+3'6.9
4S. Nunez
7J. Sosa65'for J. Pereyra6.7
8Gabriel Neves
11F. Farias
31B. Rodriguez
18E. Cetre46'for Perez Fabricio7.2
9G. Carrillo75'for A. Castro6.9
17J. Burgos65'for B. Aguirre6.3

Match Stats

Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
24%Ball Possession76%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots4
17Fouls9
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
179Total Passes578
106Passes Accurate509
59%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
1624Elo Rating 1691
1.06Attack 0.98
1.45Defense 2.21
17%Hit Rate 14%
10.8Shots per Game 13.6
2.7Shots on Target 4.1
3.5Corners per Game 4.8
3.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3Wins · 60%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina20/02/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento Junin
10
Liga Profesional Argentina14/06/2024
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
20
Liga Profesional Argentina25/02/2023
Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento Junin
11
Liga Profesional Argentina15/06/2022
Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento Junin
21
Liga Profesional Argentina17/07/2021
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
03

Recent Form

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
4W0D6L
16/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninHuracan
20
W
08/08/2026
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin
12
W
03/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia
21
W
29/07/2026
BanfieldSarmiento Junin
32
L
24/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS
23
L
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
L
03/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin
40
L
26/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninTigre
10
W
20/04/2026
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin
21
L
13/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
12
L

Referee Profile

Nicolas Lamolina122 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Lamolina5.48
Other referees5.27

5.48 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

About the Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.