Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia Prediction

Vasco DA Gama
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Olimpia
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro·Dario Herrera, Argentina 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseHighGap+6.0%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
4 days
Olimpia Rest
5 days

Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia: result, form and history

Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia drew 0-0 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 13 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Dario Herrera averages 5.87 cards a game, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.75
X
34%3.35
2
22%5.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
56%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.15
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 0.84 = 2.23
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
38%2.39
Over 3.5
19%4.50
Under 1.5
30%2.62
Under 2.5
62%1.56
Under 3.5
81%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.5
57%1.45
Over 9.5
45%1.77
Over 10.5
34%2.23
Under 8.5
43%2.51
Under 9.5
55%1.97
Under 10.5
66%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.17
Over 4.5
57%1.48
Under 3.5
26%3.70
Under 4.5
43%2.35

Match Events

34'F. CardozoUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'Thiago MendesUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'J. RojasTripping
55'S. Quintana INF. Alfonso out
56'F. AlfonsoFoul
57'N. Moreira INM. Hinestroza out
57'Adson INC. Spinelli out
64'B. Romero INT. I. Caballero Fleytas out
64'R. Benitez INR. Lezcano out
67'Thiago Mendes INRamon Rique out
67'Cuiabano INLucas Piton out
84'David INLukas Zuccarello out
86'E. Delmas INA. F. Rodriguez Armoa out
86'R. Sanchez INR. Ortiz out

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
4-3-3Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Olimpia
4-1-4-1Coach: Pablo Sanchez
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating6.64
Léo Jardim6.71L. Jardim
Puma RodrĂ­guez6.92P. RodrĂ­guez
Alan Saldivia7.94A. Saldivia
Robert Renan8.330R. Renan
Cuiabano7.366Cuiabano
Johan Rojas6.610J. Rojas
Cauan Barros6.988C. Barros
Thiago MendesC7.323T. Mendes
Adson6.928Adson
David6.37David
Nuno Moreira6.617N. Moreira
GastĂłn OlveiraC7.51G. Olveira
Raúl Cáceres7.027R. Cáceres
Brayan Bentaberry7.02B. Bentaberry
Mateo Gamarra6.915M. Gamarra
Esteban Matus6.923E. Matus
Richard Sánchez6.526R. Sánchez
Eduardo Delmas6.320E. Delmas
Fernando Cardozo6.67F. Cardozo
Sebastián Quintana6.718S. Quintana
Romeo BenĂ­tez6.237R. BenĂ­tez
Braian Romero6.231B. Romero

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

18Marino Hinestroza57'for N. Moreira6.6
77Claudio Spinelli57'for Adson6.5
6Lucas Piton67'for Cuiabano6.7
83Ramon Rique67'for Thiago Mendes6.3
13Daniel Fuzato
43Lucas Freitas
82Riquelme Avellar
80Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro
96Paulo Henrique
86Lukas Zuccarello84'for David6.3
67Samuel Jesus
3TchĂŞ TchĂŞ

Olimpia Substitutes

35Franco Alfonso55'for S. Quintana56'6.2
19Rubén Lezcano64'for R. Benitez6.3
24Tiago Caballero64'for B. Romero6.7
25Sebastián Lentinelly
14Gustavo Vargas
22Juan Vera
4Tim Payne
30Alan RodrĂ­guez86'for E. Delmas
17Pedro Zarza
6Richard Ortiz86'for R. Sanchez
9Hugo Sandoval
11Sebastián Ferreira

Match Stats

Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
75%Ball Possession25%
11Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots2
7Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box1
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
4Fouls8
0Goalkeeper Saves7
612Total Passes219
550Passes Accurate124
90%Pass Accuracy57%

Team Comparison

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
OlimpiaOlimpia
1731Elo Rating 1663
0.75Attack 1.31
1.82Defense 2.64
34%Hit Rate 41%
13.2Shots per Game 23.5
3.3Shots on Target 6.7
5.4Corners per Game 6.2
1.6Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
OlimpiaOlimpia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
OlimpiaOlimpia1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
31
CONMEBOL Sudamericana01/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
30

Recent Form

OlimpiaOlimpia
5W0D5L
08/08/2026
2 de MayoOlimpia
10
L
02/08/2026
OlimpiaRubio NU
50
W
29/07/2026
Nacional AsuncionOlimpia
20
L
26/07/2026
OlimpiaLibertad Asuncion
01
L
18/07/2026
FlamengoOlimpia
42
L
28/05/2026
OlimpiaA. Italiano
31
W
23/05/2026
Sportivo LuquenoOlimpia
12
W
21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
31
W
15/05/2026
OlimpiaDeportivo Recoleta
32
W
10/05/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoOlimpia
10
L

Referee Profile

Dario Herrera261 matches

5.87Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dario Herrera5.87
Other referees5.13

5.87 cards a match, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia641110:6+413WWWLD
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama631210:6+410WLWWL
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano62137:9-27LWLDW
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central60332:8-63LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia610:613
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama610:610
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano67:97
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central62:83
Promotion

About the Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Olimpia are 1st in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, 3 points ahead of Vasco DA Gama in 2nd. League goal record so far: Vasco DA Gama 10-6, Olimpia 10-6. The full standings are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.