Deportivo Recoleta vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asuncion·Andres Matonte, Uruguay 19/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.96
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+12.9%
Deportivo Recoleta Rest
4 days
Boca Juniors Rest
2 days

Deportivo Recoleta vs Boca Juniors: result, form and history

Boca Juniors beat Deportivo Recoleta 4-0 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 18 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%6.10
X
26%4.15
2
56%1.51
Double Chance
1X
44%2.46
X2
82%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.90
No
55%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.59 = 2.80
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
41%1.82
Over 3.5
21%3.05
Under 1.5
28%3.75
Under 2.5
59%1.96
Under 3.5
79%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 4.7 = 8.4
Over 8.5
58%1.55
Over 9.5
45%1.93
Over 10.5
34%2.46
Under 8.5
42%2.29
Under 9.5
55%1.81
Under 10.5
66%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 3 + 2.3 = 5.3
Over 3.5
74%1.19
Over 4.5
56%1.44
Under 3.5
26%3.90
Under 4.5
44%2.57

Match Events

30'S. Ascacibar
43'S. Villa
46'T. Aranda INA. Velasco out
46'L. Cardozo INH. Lopez out
46'B. Medina INP. Charpentier out
50'R. DominguezRoughing
52'Miguel MerentielAssist: M. Delgado
57'M. Delgado INC. Rey Domenech out
57'Miguel Merentiel INE. Valencia out
65'S. Ascacibar INK. Zenon out
71'A. Silva INM. Pereira out
77'A. VelascoAssist: K. Zenon
78'A. Costa INF. Herrera out
81'N. FerreiraUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'R. Dominguez INF. Galeano out
83'K. Parzajuk INM. Schupp out

Lineups

Deportivo Recoleta
4-4-2Coach: Jorge Gonzalez
Boca Juniors
4-3-3Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating7.04
Nelson Ferreira12N. Ferreira
Blas Medina15B. Medina
Nicolás Marotta6.55N. Marotta
Lucas Monzon6.732L. Monzon
Luis Cardozo6.73L. Cardozo
Alejandro Silva6.410A. Silva
Jose Espinola6.96J. Espinola
Ronal Dominguez6.17R. Dominguez
Pedro Rios6.518P. Rios
Kevin Parzajuk6.111K. Parzajuk
Aldo Gonzalez33A. Gonzalez
Álvaro Montero7.41Á. Montero
Dylan Gorosito24D. Gorosito
Nicolás Figal7.04N. Figal
Ayrton Costa6.832A. Costa
Lautaro Blanco7.13L. Blanco
Santiago Ascacíbar8.125S. Ascacíbar
Tomás Belmonte6.78T. Belmonte
Milton Delgado7.118M. Delgado
Tomás Aranda10T. Aranda
Miguel Merentiel6.316M. Merentiel
Sebastián Villa7.022S. Villa

Deportivo Recoleta Substitutes

13Oscar Toledo
23Juan Nunez
27Julio Dominguez
4Marcos Pereira71'for A. Silva
20Marcelo Cañete
21Claudio Garay
8Fernando Galeano83'for R. Dominguez
19Héctor López46'for L. Cardozo
31Manuel Shupp83'for K. Parzajuk
24Thiago Vidal
9Richard Ortiz
30Paul Charpentier46'for B. Medina

Boca Juniors Substitutes

12Leandro Brey
42Facundo Herrera78'for A. Costa
2Lautaro Di Lollo
27Malcom Braida
20Alan Velasco46'for T. Aranda77'
23Camilo Rey Domenech57'for M. Delgado
21Kevin Zenón65'for S. Ascacibar
7Carlos Palacios
19Leonel Flores
9Milton Giménez
30Enner Valencia57'for Miguel Merentiel
11Ángel Romero

Match Stats

Deportivo RecoletaBoca Juniors
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal11
2Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls3
2Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves4
454Total Passes421
370Passes Accurate330
81%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
1453Elo Rating 1815
0.89Attack 2.02
2.24Defense 1.98
41%Hit Rate 64%
12.4Shots per Game 13.7
2.3Shots on Target 3.8
6.3Corners per Game 4.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana12/08/2026
Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta
31

Recent Form

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
4W2D4L
14/08/2026
Deportivo Recoleta2 de Mayo
12
L
12/08/2026
Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta
31
L
07/08/2026
Rubio NUDeportivo Recoleta
13
W
03/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaNacional Asuncion
32
W
30/07/2026
Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
41
L
25/07/2026
Deportivo RecoletaClub Sp. San Lorenzo
11
D
27/05/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
01
W
23/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaClub Guarani
21
W
20/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta
22
D
15/05/2026
OlimpiaDeportivo Recoleta
32
L
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
6W3D1L
16/08/2026
PlatenseBoca Juniors
11
D
12/08/2026
Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta
31
W
09/08/2026
Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield
11
D
06/08/2026
Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.
10
W
02/08/2026
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
22
D
31/07/2026
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
3140
W
27/07/2026
Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors
30
L
24/07/2026
Boca JuniorsO'Higgins
10
W
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
W
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
W

Referee Profile

Andres Matonte176 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andres Matonte5.39
Other referees5.26

5.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta61506:5+18WDDDD
2SantosSantos61418:6+27WDDDD
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo61416:5+17LDDDW
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca61323:7-46LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta66:58
2SantosSantos68:67
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo66:57
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca63:76
Promotion

About the Deportivo Recoleta vs Boca Juniors forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Deportivo Recoleta and Boca Juniors have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.