Fluminense vs Coritiba Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 29
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Fluminense Rest
18 days
Coritiba Rest
19 days
Fluminense vs Coritiba: the result in context
Fluminense beat Coritiba 4-0 in the Serie A on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.45
X20%4.50
215%6.96
Double Chance
1X85%1.10
X235%2.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.82
No48%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 0.9 = 2.82
Over 1.577%1.20
Over 2.555%1.72
Over 3.533%2.75
Under 1.523%4.10
Under 2.545%2.15
Under 3.567%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.4
Over 8.565%1.28
Over 9.554%1.52
Over 10.544%1.86
Under 8.535%3.23
Under 9.546%2.34
Under 10.556%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.8 = 4.8
Over 3.570%1.35
Over 4.552%1.76
Under 3.530%3.02
Under 4.548%2.00
Match Events
24'Jacy INRodrigo Moledo out
30'Jefferson David Savarino QuinteroAssist: Hulk
49'Jefferson David Savarino QuinteroAssist: Thiago Silva
62'Breno Lopes INFabinho out
62'Pedro Rocha INPaulo Roberto out
62'Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima INLuciano Acosta out
65'Jefferson David Savarino QuinteroAssist: Kevin Serna
74'Nicolas Fonseca INTinga out
74'Fabricio Bustos INVini Paulista out
79'Hércules Pereira do Nascimento INOtávio Henrique Passos Santos out
79'Claudio Rodrigues Gomes INSamuel Xavier Brito out
79'Jefferson David Savarino Quintero INRodrigo Castillo out
86'Bruno MeloFoul
89'Hulk INWesley Natã de Freitas Prado out
90+3'Luciano AcostaAssist: Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
Lineups
FluminenseCoritiba
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando SeabraAvg ratingAvg rating
1Fábio
23Guga
3T. Silva
29J. Millán
13G. Arana
35Hércules
8Martinelli
90K. Serna
10P. Ganso
11J. Savarino
7Hulk
22P. Rangel
14F. Bustos
55Jacy
26B. Melo
6F. Jonatan
21T. Santos
19S. Gómez
5N. Fonseca
10Josué
77B. Lopes
32P. RochaFluminense Substitutes
19R. Castillo79'for Jefferson David Savarino Quintero
32L. Acosta62'for Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima90+3'
22J. Freytes
46Julio Fidelis
94Otávio79'for Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
21Igor Rabello
44Jemmes
41Ruan Sales Oliveira
2Samuel Xavier79'for Claudio Rodrigues Gomes
4Ignacio
27Marcelo
34Wesley Nata89'for Hulk
Coritiba Substitutes
28Fabinho62'for Breno Lopes
78Renato Marques
4Rodrigo Moledo24'for Jacy
3Maicon
99Rodrigo Rodrigues
66Rodrigo Gelado
39Gustavo
13Keiller
18Paulo Roberto62'for Pedro Rocha
2Tinga74'for Nicolas Fonseca
36Vini Paulista74'for Fabricio Bustos
50Tissi
Match Stats
FluminenseCoritiba 68%Ball Possession32%
3Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots8
10Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
9Fouls8
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves6
864Total Passes398
807Passes Accurate341
8Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
FluminenseCoritiba1729Elo Rating 1589
1.27Attack 0.19
1.66Defense 0.94
46%Hit Rate 0%
11.6Shots per Game 10.6
3.7Shots on Target 2.5
5.8Corners per Game 4.7
1.4Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+140 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Fluminense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Coritiba- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Fluminense2Wins · 40%Draws120%
Coritiba2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%3.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5
Previous meetings
05/04/2026CoritibaFluminense11
26/11/2023FluminenseCoritiba21
25/07/2023CoritibaFluminense20
21/08/2022FluminenseCoritiba52
01/05/2022CoritibaFluminense32
Recent Form
Fluminense6W2D2L
20/09/2026
CorinthiansFluminense
PlatenseFluminense
Atletico-MGFluminenseFluminensePlatense
Atletico ParanaenseFluminenseFluminense
Remo
Independ. RivadaviaFluminenseFluminense
PalmeirasFluminenseIndepend. Rivadavia
CorinthiansFluminense13
W16/09/2026PlatenseFluminense21
L12/09/2026Atletico-MGFluminense31
L09/09/2026FluminensePlatense20
W06/09/2026Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
30/08/2026FluminenseVasco DA Gama10
WAtletico ParanaenseFluminense33
D22/08/2026FluminenseRemo21
W19/08/2026Independ. RivadaviaFluminense4151
W15/08/2026FluminensePalmeiras32
W12/08/2026FluminenseIndepend. Rivadavia00
DCoritiba3W3D4L
20/09/2026Vasco DA GamaCoritibaCoritibaAtletico ParanaenseCoritiba
MirassolRemoCoritibaCoritibaCorinthiansCoritiba
Chapecoense-scCoritiba
Cruzeiro
RB BragantinoCoritibaCoritibaPalmeiras
Vasco DA GamaCoritiba50
L12/09/2026CoritibaAtletico Paranaense33
D06/09/2026CoritibaMirassol12
L01/09/2026RemoCoritiba23
W24/08/2026CoritibaCorinthians21
W16/08/2026
Sao PauloCoritiba
09/08/2026Sao PauloCoritiba11
DCoritibaChapecoense-sc21
W31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
L26/07/2026RB BragantinoCoritiba00
D23/07/2026CoritibaPalmeiras13
LReferee Profile
5.34Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).
Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 37 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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About the Fluminense vs Coritiba forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fluminense and Coritiba in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Fluminense are 4th and Coritiba 12th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Fluminense 52-42, Coritiba 38-50. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.