Austin vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

Austin
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Colorado Rapids
Q2 Stadium, Austin·Sergii Demianchuk, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Austin Rest
4 days
Colorado Rapids Rest
4 days

Austin vs Colorado Rapids: result, form and history

Austin and Colorado Rapids drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.46
X
28%3.40
2
33%2.70
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
61%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.62
No
30%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.27 = 2.80
Over 1.5
78%1.25
Over 2.5
55%1.81
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
22%3.80
Under 2.5
45%2.00
Under 3.5
66%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
55%1.46
Over 9.5
43%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.15
Under 8.5
45%2.55
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.36
Over 4.5
43%1.79
Under 3.5
38%2.83
Under 4.5
57%1.91

Match Events

22'Paxten Aaronson
27'Youssef Maziz INJoshua Atencio out
45'Ilie Sánchez INJorge Alastuey out
45+4'Joshua AtencioFoul
58'Brandon Vazquez INChristian Ramirez out
58'Jon Gallagher INŽan Kolmanič out
62'Reggie CannonFoul
69'Donavan Phillip INGeorgi Minoungou out
79'Facundo Daniel Torres PerezAssist: Žan Kolmanič
82'Besard Sabovic INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
86'Darren Yapi INAlexander Dean Harris out
86'Miguel Navarro INJackson Travis out

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Coach: Matt Wells
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.74
B. Stuver6.71B. Stuver
M. Desler6.53M. Desler
J. Bell7.015J. Bell
Guilherme Biro6.629G. Biro
J. Rosales6.430J. Rosales
Ilie Sánchez6.26I. Sánchez
B. Šabović6.414B. Šabović
J. Gallagher6.917J. Gallagher
F. Torres7.911F. Torres
B. Vázquez6.69B. Vázquez
Ervin Torres6.338E. Torres
N. Defreitas7.241N. Defreitas
R. Cannon6.74R. Cannon
R. Holding6.96R. Holding
Loïc Williams6.95L. Williams
M. Navarro6.829M. Navarro
H. Ojediran6.68H. Ojediran
Y. Maziz6.888Y. Maziz
W. Frederick II6.513W. Frederick II
D. Phillip6.532D. Phillip
D. Yapi6.277D. Yapi
P. Aaronson8.210P. Aaronson

Austin Substitutes

24Jorge Alastuey45'for Ilie Sánchez6.3
32M. Burton
35M. Đorđević
4B. Hines-Ike
23Ž. Kolmanič58'for Jon Gallagher7.5
12D. Las
77P. Płacheta82'for Besard Sabovic5.9
21C. Ramirez58'for Brandon Vazquez6.8
5O. Svatok

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

99J. Travis86'for Miguel Navarro7.0
33K. Thompson
2K. Rosenberry
93G. Minoungou69'for Donavan Phillip6.6
16A. Harris86'for Darren Yapi6.4
61B. Dowd
24N. Cobb
31A. Beaudry
12J. Atencio27'for Youssef Maziz45+4'6.1

Match Stats

AustinColorado Rapids
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
8Fouls18
7Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
487Total Passes477
429Passes Accurate422
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1542Elo Rating 1556
1.19Attack 1.41
0.50Defense 1.43
0%Hit Rate 0%
11.1Shots per Game 12.4
4.7Shots on Target 4.8
4.5Corners per Game 5.4
0.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AustinAustin3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer02/08/2026
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
Major League Soccer08/06/2025
Colorado RapidsAustin
02
Major League Soccer09/03/2025
AustinColorado Rapids
01
Major League Soccer20/10/2024
AustinColorado Rapids
32
Major League Soccer16/06/2024
Colorado RapidsAustin
20
Major League Soccer01/10/2023
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
Major League Soccer26/03/2023
AustinColorado Rapids
11
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
AustinColorado Rapids
11
Major League Soccer05/07/2022
Colorado RapidsAustin
23
Major League Soccer30/09/2021
Colorado RapidsAustin
30

Referee Profile

Sergii Demianchuk116 matches

4.13Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sergii Demianchuk4.13
Other referees4.23

4.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 30 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
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About the Austin vs Colorado Rapids forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Austin and Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Colorado Rapids are 7th and Austin 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Austin 41-59, Colorado Rapids 44-43. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Colorado Rapids have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.