New York City FC vs New England Revolution Prediction

Citi Field, New York·Allen Chapman, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
New York City FC Rest
5 days
New England Revolution Rest
3 days

New York City FC vs New England Revolution: result, form and history

New England Revolution beat New York City FC 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: New England Revolution had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for New York City FC.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Allen Chapman averages 3.51 cards a game, 0.88 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.50
X
25%3.50
2
35%2.64
Double Chance
1X
65%1.44
X2
60%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.54
No
33%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.22 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.66
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.17
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.58
Over 9.5
51%1.92
Over 10.5
39%2.46
Under 8.5
36%2.20
Under 9.5
49%1.77
Under 10.5
61%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.67
Over 4.5
40%2.27
Under 3.5
41%2.10
Under 4.5
60%1.54

Match Events

12'Carles Gil(Penalty)
18'Alhassan YusufFoul
19'Alhassan Yusuf INJackson Yueill out
31'Matt PolsterFoul
63'Aiden O'Neill INHannes Wolf out
63'Agustin Ojeda INLuighi Hanri Sousa Santos out
71'Luighi Hanri Sousa SantosAssist: Nicolás Fernández Mercau
72'Matt Polster INIlay Feingold out
72'Dor Turgeman INDániel Gazdag out
80'Jack Harrison INWilson Harris out
80'Peyton Miller INLuca Daniel·Langoni out
85'Goal cancelledDániel Gazdag
89'Bénie Adama Traoré INMalachi Jones out
90+3'Dániel GazdagAssist: Ilay Feingold
90+5'William Sands INTanner·Beason out

Lineups

New York City FC
4-3-3Coach: P. Jansen
New England Revolution
4-3-3Coach: M. Mićović
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.63
M. Freese6.949M. Freese
M. Ilenič6.935M. Ilenič
Thiago Martins6.713T. Martins
Raul Gustavo6.734R. Gustavo
K. O'Toole6.822K. O'Toole
N. Fernández Mercau7.77N. Fernández Mercau
A. O'Neill6.421A. O'Neill
J. Sands6.56J. Sands
A. Ojeda6.126A. Ojeda
B. Traoré6.89B. Traoré
A. Perea6.48A. Perea
M. Turner7.330M. Turner
M. Polster6.28M. Polster
E. Kohler7.022E. Kohler
M. Fofana7.02M. Fofana
W. Sands6.223W. Sands
Carles Gil7.110C. Gil
B. Raines6.621B. Raines
A. Yusuf6.080A. Yusuf
J. Harrison6.411J. Harrison
D. Turgeman5.899D. Turgeman
P. Miller6.825P. Miller

New York City FC Substitutes

16A. Martínez
24T. Gray
88M. Jones89'for Bénie Adama Traoré6.2
23Maxwell Murray
30T. Romero
32J. Shore
20Luighi Hanri63'for Agustin Ojeda71'8.2
17H. Wolf63'for Aiden O'Neill6.3
2Nico Cavallo

New England Revolution Substitutes

14J. Yueill19'for Alhassan Yusuf6.4
4T. Beason90+5'for William Sands
77D. Fagundez
12I. Feingold72'for Matt Polster6.9
16D. Gazdag72'for Dor Turgeman90+3'7.5
27W. Harris80'for Jack Harrison6.4
41L. Langoni80'for Peyton Miller6.5
33D. Parisian
7G. Yow

Match Stats

New York City FCNew England Revolution
65%Ball Possession35%
12Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots4
5Fouls10
3Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves6
608Total Passes321
535Passes Accurate252
88%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

New York City FCNew York City FC
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1586Elo Rating 1648
1.33Attack 1.96
1.46Defense 1.48
27%Hit Rate 86%
13.4Shots per Game 9.6
5.5Shots on Target 5.2
6.0Corners per Game 3.9
1.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York City FCNew York City FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

New York City FCNew York City FC4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/08/2026
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
11
Major League Soccer20/04/2025
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
20
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
New York City FCNew England Revolution
21
Major League Soccer26/05/2024
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
01
Major League Soccer14/04/2024
New York City FCNew England Revolution
20
Major League Soccer03/06/2023
New York City FCNew England Revolution
00
Major League Soccer02/04/2023
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
11
Major League Soccer05/09/2022
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
30
Major League Soccer09/07/2022
New York City FCNew England Revolution
42
US Open Cup26/05/2022
New York City FCNew England Revolution
1000

Referee Profile

Allen Chapman140 matches

3.51Cards per match
3.42Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allen Chapman3.51
Other referees4.39

3.51 cards a match, 0.88 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC33228369:25+4474WDWDW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami331611677:56+2159WDLWW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution331841155:46+958LWWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire331671061:50+1155WDWLL
5CharlotteCharlotte331581063:48+1553WWLDL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union331381262:51+1147LDLDW
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3312101167:73-646WDWWL
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew331351555:49+644WWWWW
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC331271462:78-1643LDDWD
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls331161645:62-1739LLWLL
11New York City FCNew York City FC339121248:45+339DWDDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC339121251:63-1239LWLWD
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC33961843:57-1433WLLLW
14DC UnitedDC United337121439:60-2133LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal33681937:67-3026DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3369:2574
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3377:5659
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3355:4658
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3361:5055
5CharlotteCharlotte3363:4853
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3362:5147
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3367:7346
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3355:4944
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3362:7843
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3345:6239
11New York City FCNew York City FC3348:4539
12Toronto FCToronto FC3351:6339
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3343:5733
14DC UnitedDC United3339:6033
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3337:6726
Promotion

About the New York City FC vs New England Revolution forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

New York City FC and New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, New England Revolution are 3rd and New York City FC 11th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: New York City FC 48-45, New England Revolution 55-46. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.